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* E-mail: [email protected]
Affiliations Department of Psychology, National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan, Research Center for Mind, Brain, and Learning, National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan
Affiliation Division of Social Science, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong S.A.R., China
Affiliation Election Study Center, National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan
Affiliation Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Asia University, Taichung, Taiwan
Affiliation Department of Computer Science, National Chengchi University, Taipei, Taiwan
Human rationality–the ability to behave in order to maximize the achievement of their presumed goals (i.e., their optimal choices)–is the foundation for democracy. Research evidence has suggested that voters may not make decisions after exhaustively processing relevant information; instead, our decision-making capacity may be restricted by our own biases and the environment. In this paper, we investigate the extent to which humans in a democratic society can be rational when making decisions in a serious, complex situation–voting in a local political election. We believe examining human rationality in a political election is important, because a well-functioning democracy rests largely upon the rational choices of individual voters. Previous research has shown that explicit political attitudes predict voting intention and choices (i.e., actual votes) in democratic societies, indicating that people are able to reason comprehensively when making voting decisions. Other work, though, has demonstrated that the attitudes of which we may not be aware, such as our implicit (e.g., subconscious) preferences, can predict voting choices, which may question the well-functioning democracy. In this study, we systematically examined predictors on voting intention and choices in the 2014 mayoral election in Taipei, Taiwan. Results indicate that explicit political party preferences had the largest impact on voting intention and choices. Moreover, implicit political party preferences interacted with explicit political party preferences in accounting for voting intention, and in turn predicted voting choices. Ethnic identity and perceived voting intention of significant others were found to predict voting choices, but not voting intention. In sum, to the comfort of democracy, voters appeared to engage mainly explicit, controlled processes in making their decisions; but findings on ethnic identity and perceived voting intention of significant others may suggest otherwise.
Citation: Lee I-C, Chen EE, Tsai C-H, Yen N-S, Chen ALP, Lin W-C (2016) Voting Intention and Choices: Are Voters Always Rational and Deliberative? PLoS ONE 11(2): e0148643. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643
Editor: Koustuv Dalal, Örebro University, SWEDEN
Received: July 3, 2015; Accepted: January 10, 2016; Published: February 17, 2016
Copyright: © 2016 Lee et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Data Availability: All relevant data are within the paper and in https://drive.google.com/open?id=0Bxjyvx9UN3aOZWhBQVY3RkJFX3c .
Funding: This work was supported by MOST 103-2221-E-004 -007 -MY3 to Dr. Arbee C. P. Chen in hiring WCL to assist with the project. It was also supported by MOST 102-2420-H-004 -014 -MY3 to Dr. Lee in hiring research assistants to do literature search and for the PLOS ONE publication fee. Financial assistance (no grant numbers were given) from the the Research Center for Mind, Brain, and Learning at National Chengchi University covered expanses for IRB approval and participants' incentives.
Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
Throughout history, human rationality–the ability to behave in order to maximize the achievement of their presumed goals (i.e., their optimal choices [ 1 ])–has fascinated scholars studying human cognition in myriad fields (e.g., economics, sociology, psychology, political sciences). It is also a foundation of the democratic systems. That is, voting is largely considered to be a “deliberate act” [ 2 ]: The ability and capacity of individuals to vote with their preferences after deliberation, without having their voting choices (i.e., actual votes) forcibly restricted by external forces, are crucial to the well-being of any democracy [ 2 – 3 ]. In our research, we investigate human rationality in decision-making processes for situations as complicated and consequential as political elections. Understanding how voting decisions in elections may be impacted allows us to evaluate human rationality and the potency of democratic systems.
The degree to which we can make decisions rationally has long been debated. On the one hand, many economists have adopted a utilitarian concept of rationality and have argued for comprehensive rationality stance: Human decisions are made in order to maximize the net benefits of the decisions [ 4 ]. On the other hand, researchers studying human cognition have found evidence for a bounded rationality stance: The ability to make decisions is constrained by environmental restrictions and human capacities [ 4 – 6 ].
However, carefully examining the evidence for the rationality debate has revealed that there are different operational definitions for rationality. For instance, researchers may define optimization differently, depending on the fields in which they investigate rationality. Researchers may rely on mathematical rules (e.g., expected values [ 7 ]) or individuals’ subjective views (e.g., preferences in rational choices theory [ 8 ], purposes [ 9 ], consistency [ 10 ]). Although mathematical rules are a common operationalization of rationality, not every choice could be or should be defined in numerical terms.
Therefore, in this study, we define rationality as the ability to behave so that the likelihood of achieving one’s goals is maximized [ 6 , 8 ]; that is, one behaves in accordance with one’s intentions to achieve a particular goal. If environmental cues and human capacities affect one’s choices outside of one’s intentions, the evidence suggests that one’s rationality is bounded. For example, a person may consider environmental sustainability the most important issue and national security a non-issue when evaluating candidates. As a result, he intends to vote for Candidate A, whose platform includes increased protections for the environment (i.e., voting intention ). However, on voting day, he votes for Candidate B instead (i.e., voting behavior ), because the situational cues (e.g., a recent terrorist attack) have prompted his fears regarding national security; he was therefore persuaded by Candidate B’s promises to prioritize national security above all. His vote is not rational, but is bounded by his fears about national security. Thus, we consider an inconsistency between voting intention and voting behavior to be an indication of bounded rationality; consistency between voting intention and voting behavior, on the other hand, would be evidence for comprehensive rationality (e.g., if the person in the above example follows through with his intentions and votes for Candidate A). Independently, factors previously found to affect one’s voting choices (e.g., political party preference) are not necessarily indicators of comprehensive rationality or bounded rationality. If these factors successfully impact both people’s intentions and behavior, they could be considered as support for the comprehensive rationality stance on human cognition. If not, these factors could be considered as evidence for the bounded rationality stance. We aim not only to provide insight into the comprehensive rationality versus bounded rationality debate, but also to evaluate the relevancy of the two types of human rationality in an actual election.
Previous research has found two primary factors in accounting for voting behavior in Taiwan: political party preference and ethnic identity (see [ 11 ] for a review). The Taiwanese political parties can be classified into two categories. The pan-Blue political parties, dominated by the Kuomintang Party (KMT), are largely considered to be more supportive of a closer relationship with the People’s Republic of China [ 12 ]. The pan-Green parties, dominated by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), are generally thought to be more supportive of Taiwanese independence [ 12 ]. Historically, Taipei–the capital of Taiwan–has been a KMT stronghold. However, social events and controversies in the recent years have led to rising public sentiment against the KMT-led government (culminating in the 2014 Sunflower Movement, which saw mass protests in Taipei [ 13 – 14 ]). As a result, during the 2014 Taipei mayoral elections period, support for Wen-Je Ko, an independent candidate perceived to be representing pan-Green interests, grew rapidly; Ko proceeded to successfully challenge the KMT candidate, Sean Lien.
Because elections are often driven by political parties in Taiwan, we separately examined explicit and implicit political party preferences . Explicit political party preferences for either the pan-Blue or pan-Green camps have been found to be strongly related to voting intention [ 15 ] and choices [ 16 ], consistent with the comprehensive rationality stance. Explicit political party preferences have also been found to predict voters’ choices elsewhere [ 17 – 19 ]. Accordingly, our first hypothesis was that explicit political party preference should significantly predict voting intention and choices. That is, when respondents favor the DPP over the KMT, they should be likely to express an intention and actually vote for the candidate Ko, and vice versa if they favored the KMT over DPP (expressing an intention and subsequently voting for Lien).
We focused on the more general explicit political party preferences, rather than evaluations of the specific candidates, partisanship, or party identification for three reasons. First, we did not target evaluations of the specific candidates to avoid conceptual conflation with voting intention. Second, we did not target partisanship or party identification because a good proportion of Taiwanese voters (e.g., about 40%) often do not reveal their partisanship [ 20 ], especially when their parties become unpopular [ 21 ]. Third, less educated Taiwanese people tend not to consider themselves partisans [ 21 ]. If the general explicit political party preferences of voters predict both their voting intention and choices, these results support the comprehensive rationality stance.
In addition to explicit political party preference, we examined implicit political party preference. The impact of implicit political party preference on voting intention and choices is more difficult to predict. Galdi and colleagues [ 22 ] examined voting intention during an election to determine whether a U.S. military base located in Vicenza, Italy should be expanded. The explicit attitudes regarding the base expansion enlargement best predicted decided respondents’ voting intentions. However, the implicit attitudes regarding the base expansion enlargement best predicted the voting intentions of respondents who stated that they were undecided on the issue. Conversely, when examining voting intention and choices in the 2006 Italian national elections, Roccato and Zogmaister [ 23 ] found that although explicit voting intention was the most important predictor for voting choices, respondents’ explicit and implicit political party preferences had separate influences. Specifically, the more respondents favored their preferred political party, explicitly or implicitly, the more likely they intended to vote for the candidate belonging to that party. The researchers also found that when the explicit and implicit political party preferences of the respondents were inconsistent with each other, respondents took more time to make a decision.
Thus, based on the available literature, it is difficult to determine the precise role of implicit political party preference (and the degree of rationality involved) in voting intention and choices. Therefore, we explore the relationship of implicit political party preference with both voting intention and choices. If implicit political party preference can predict both voting intention and voting choices, this evidence would lend support to the comprehensive rationality stance; if implicit political party preference predicted voting choices but not voting intention, then the evidence would provide support to the bounded rationality stance.
In addition to political party preferences, the shift in public opinion before and during the election campaign period in Taipei meant that other factors were also likely to have a sizable impact on voting intention and choices. Thus, we examined two other factors: ethnic identity and the perceived voting intention of significant others . Ethnic identity (i.e., whether respondents identify as Taiwanese or Chinese) has been found to predict voting choices in Taiwanese presidential elections, in that voters who identify as Taiwanese are more supportive of a pan-Green candidate while those who identify as Chinese are more supportive of a pan-Blue candidate [ 24 ]. Because cross-strait issues should be less prominent in the Taipei mayoral election (compared to a nation-wide presidential election), we expect that if ethnic identity should have an effect, its impact would be in line with the bounded rationality stance. That is, although individuals may not deliberately consider their ethnic identity when voting, they may be more likely to vote for the candidate Ko (the DPP-leaning candidate) if they identify more strongly as Taiwanese.
The fourth and final factor we examined is the impact of people who are significant to an individual (i.e., one’s significant others). Taiwan is a society that emphasizes social relationships [ 25 – 26 ]; thus, significant others may impact respondents’ voting intention and subsequent behavior. There is evidence that discussion with other people can lead to shifts in one’s voting choices (e.g., in the U.S. presidential elections [ 3 , 27 ]). Therefore, we examined the impact of the perceived voting intention of significant others on voters’ intention and choices. If the perceived voting intention of significant others predicted both voters’ intention and subsequent choices, the results would support the comprehensive rationality stance. Conversely, if the perceived voting intention of significant others predicted only voters’ choices but not intention, the bounded rationality stance would be supported.
To summarize, we examined four predictors that are likely to be key in predicting voting intention and voting choices, focusing on the 2014 Taipei mayoral elections: (a) explicit political party preference, (b) implicit political party preference, (c) ethnic identity, and (d) the perceived voting intention of significant others. To our knowledge, our study is the first to systematically examine human rationality by investigating the impact of these four predictors on both voting intention and choices. The inclusion of all four predictors is crucial because doing so allows us to assess whether voters incorporate different types of information into their decisions. The inclusion of both voting intention and choices allows us to assess whether or not voters’ behavior reflect their intentions, which in turn allows us to evaluate the rationality of these individuals’ cognitive processes. If all four predictors were associated with voting intention and choices, the results would suggest that voters are capable of marshalling all relevant information to make their decisions before and during the voting period. However, if the predictors were associated with voter choices but not intention, it is possible that voters may experience some cognitive limitations when considering the information presented to them before they vote, thus casting doubt on our capability for comprehensive rationality.
Ethic approval.
This research was supported by a grant (MOS 103-2221-E-004-007-MY3) to one of the authors (A. L. P. C.) and by financial assistance from the Research Center for Mind, Brain, and Learning, National Chengchi University. The research was approved by the Research Ethics Committee, National Taiwan University (NTU-REC No. 201402EM023). Participants provided written informed consent before they began the study.
We targeted residents from all twelve districts in Taipei, Taiwan. We advertised our study using various social media platforms (i.e., Facebook and the Bulletin Board System, platforms that are popular in Taiwan) and through personal connections. In total, 124 respondents (64 males) were recruited. Respondents were eligible voters, and 86.3% were young adults (i.e., adults younger than 40 years of age). Most of the respondents (40.3%) did not indicate any party identification; 38.7% identified with the DPP party; and 19.4% identified with the KMT party. The majority of the respondents (71.0%) had voted in the 2012 presidential election, the last major election in Taiwan.
Approximately one month before the 2014 mayoral elections in Taipei, respondents were invited by phone to complete a survey and an implicit association test (IAT) at a public university in Taipei. The survey (see items in Table 1 ) asked participants to answer questions on their party identification, explicit political party preference, ethnic identity, and voting intention. Participants also had to report the perceived voting intention for their significant others. To provide a parallel comparison with implicit political party preference (as measured by the IAT), explicit political party preference was calculated by contrasting the respondents’ preference for the DPP over the KMT; that is, the higher the survey scores, the more the respondents preferred the DPP over the KMT. Voting intention and perceived voting intention of significant others were calculated using the same rationale. Voting intention was measured by two items, one item for their intended candidate and one item for the certainty of such a decision. Intended candidate was coded as follows: 1 for the candidate Ko, -1 for the candidate Lien, and 0 for all other candidates. The strength of voting intention was calculated by multiplying the intended choice with the degree of certainty. Similarly, the perceived voting intention of significant others was estimated by multiplying the perceived significant other’s intended candidate choice (coded the same way as for the participant’s intended candidate) with the perceived certainty of the significant other. Higher scores indicate a preference for Ko over Lien, as well as stronger certainty.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.t001
Following the survey, respondents took a political party preferences IAT (see S1 Appendix for a detailed description of how the test was developed). The IAT tapped respondents’ implicit associations of valence with the main political parties in Taiwan, the KMT and DPP, by measuring how positive and negative words may reduce or prolong the reaction time of stimuli representing either party. We calculated the resulting D-scores so that higher D-scores indicated a stronger preference for the DPP (i.e., DPP = good). The order of the blocks (i.e., Blocks 3 and 5; see S1 Appendix ) within the IAT did not affect respondents’ implicit political party preference scores ( p = .88).
One week after the conclusion of the Taipei mayoral elections, respondents were contacted again by phone to report their actual voting choice. Responses were coded the same way as in intended candidate: 1 for the candidate Ko, -1 for the candidate Lien, and 0 for all other candidates.
On average, respondents explicitly stated that they favored the DPP over the KMT ( M D = 1.28, SD = 4.02), t (122) = 3.52, p = .001, but they showed no implicit preference for either party ( M = 0.01, p = .82). The explicit political party preferences were consistent with respondents’ party identity. Participants who identified with the DPP showed the most explicit preference toward the DPP over KMT ( M = 4.38, on a scale of -10 to 10). By contrast, participants who identified with the KMT and participants who did not identify with a party showed significantly less explicit preference for the DPP ( M = -4.08 and M = 0.88, respectively), all pairwise contrasts at p s < .01. Furthermore, implicit political party preferences were also consistent with respondents’ party identity, with the DPP identifiers showing the strongest implicit preference toward the DPP ( M = 0.29), no-party identifiers showing little preference for either party ( M = 0.02), and KMT identifiers showing a preference for the KMT ( M = -0.58), all pairwise contrasts at p s < .01.
The majority of the respondents identified as Taiwanese only (72.7%). On a scale of 1 (Chinese only) to 3 (Taiwanese only), respondents scored M = 2.60, SD = 0.67. Most of the respondents (83.6%) indicated that they would vote in the mayoral election, and 69.4% indicated that they would vote for the candidate Ko. Participants were very certain of their decision before the election (on a scale from 0 to10, with 0 indicating strong uncertainty and 10 indicating strong certainty; M = 8.22, SD = 2.69). Over half (56.4%) also reported that their significant other would vote for the candidate Ko, and that these significant others were also very certain of their choices ( M = 8.65, SD = 2.25).
To examine the degree to which the four predictors–explicit political party preference, implicit political party preference, ethnic identity, and perceived voting intention of significant others–can predict voting intention and choices, we first ran hierarchical regression analyses on voting intention, as well as on choices, respectively. In the first step, we entered respondent gender and education level (with a STEPWISE method). In the second step, we entered the explicit and implicit political party preference scores (with an ENTER method). Finally, we entered ethnic identity, perceived voting intention of significant others, as well as the interaction of the explicit and implicit political party preferences (with a STEPWISE method).
Respondents’ explicit political party preferences predicted their voting intention, standardized B = 0.49, p < .001, suggesting that the more respondents favored the DPP over the KMT, the more likely they expressed an intention to vote for the candidate Ko. There was also a significant interaction between explicit and the implicit political party preferences, B = -0.22, p = .001. As seen in Fig 1 , there was a steeper slope of respondents with low implicit DPP preference compared to those with high implicit DPP preference. Respondents who had consistently both low explicit and implicit DPP preferences were least likely to express an intention to vote for the candidate Ko. Respondents who had high explicit DPP preference were most likely to express an intention to vote for the candidate Ko, regardless of their implicit DPP preferences. The perceived voting intention of significant others, B = 0.15, p = .047, and implicit DPP preference, B = 0.13, p = .07, also predicted respondents’ intention to vote. The more respondents perceived significant others’ intent to vote for the candidate Ko, as well as the more respondents preferred DPP implicitly, the more likely (marginally for implicit preference) they expressed an intention to vote for candidate Ko. No other variables were significant, and the model accounted for 54.8% of the variance.
Solid diamond: low implicit DPP preference. Solid square: high implicit DPP preference.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.g001
The explicit political party preference of respondents, B = 0.22, p = .028, and an interaction between explicit and implicit political party preferences, B = -0.21, p = .01, significantly predicted their voting choices (see Fig 2 ), replicating the findings in the analyses for voting intention. Ethnic identity, B = 0.23, p = .007, and the perceived voting intention of significant others, B = 0.19, p = .031, were also found to be robust predictors. The interpretations of the effects of explicit political party preferences, the interaction between explicit and implicit political party preferences, and the perceived voting intention of significant others on voting choices were identical to those on voting intention. Respondents who identified themselves as Taiwanese were more likely to vote for the candidate Ko compared to respondents who identified themselves as Chinese. No other variables were significant, and the model accounted for 39.0% of the variance.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.g002
We conducted a path model analysis with a bootstrapping method (see Fig 3 and the correlation matrix in S2 Appendix ). Based on the findings in the regression analyses, explicit political party preferences, implicit political party preferences, the interactions between the two types of party preferences, and the perceived voting intention of significant others were proposed to predict voting intention and choices, respectively. Ethnic identity was proposed to predict voting choices. Because ethnic identity and different levels of political party preferences were often intertwined in political discourse, the error terms of ethnic identity, explicit political party preferences, implicit political party preferences and the interaction term of the two kinds of political party preferences were covaried. Lastly, respondents’ explicit political party preference may affect with whom they would like to be associated. Thus, a path from explicit political party preference to the perceived voting intention of significant others was drawn. When fitting the model with the participants’ responses, the model has a good fit, χ 2 (7) = 8.82, p = .27; CFI = 0.99, RMSEA = 0.046. The paths are listed in Table 2 .
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.g003
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.t002
Consistent with the findings from hierarchical regression modeling, the explicit political party preferences of the respondents and the interaction between explicit and implicit political party preferences predicted voting intention. Once voting intention was taken into account, respondents’ explicit political party preference and the interaction term were no longer significant predictors for voting choices. Thus, voting intention served as the complete mediator between (a) the explicit political party preferences to voting choices, Sobel Z = 3.67, p = .0002, and (b) between the interaction of implicit and explicit political party preferences to voting choices, Sobel Z = -2.43, p = .015. Lastly, the associations of ethnic identity and perceived voting intention of significant others on voting choices remained significant after controlling for voting intention.
We tested whether an interaction between explicit and implicit political party preferences may account for reticent or undecided voters, as was reported in Roccato and Zogmaister [ 23 ]. Following Roccato and Zogmaister’s conceptualization of reticent and undecided voters, participants who refused or were unable to indicate their intended candidate (coded 1 as reticent or undecided) were separated from those who indicated their intended candidate (coded 0). Indeed, a logistic regression model showed that when participants had lower explicit political party preference for the DPP, B = -1.23, p = .001, lower implicit political party preference for the DPP, B = -0.70, p = .037, and when their explicit and implicit political party preferences were inconsistent with one another, B = -1.15, p = .007, they were less likely to have made a voting decision when questioned prior to the elections (see Fig 4 ).
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.g004
The present study weighs evidence for the comprehensive rationality stance and the bounded rationality stance on human cognition through an examination of voting intention and choices in the 2014 Taipei mayoral elections. In this regional election, we found evidence for comprehensive rationality: Taiwanese voters were largely rational and deliberative, with explicit political party preferences serving as the best predictor of their voting intentions, which in turn served as the best predictor of their voting choices. In addition, voting intention mediated the effects of explicit and implicit political party preferences on voting choices. Our evidence suggests that although implicit attitudes are often treated as a challenge to human rationality [ 5 ], this may not be the case [ 19 ]. We replicated Roccato and Zogmaister’s findings [ 23 ], demonstrating that when participants’ explicit and implicit political preferences did not ally, participants were less likely to express their intended candidates. In other words, taken together with the results from Roccato and Zogmaister [ 23 ], the impact of implicit preferences on voting appears to be present across different cultures, which may signal to individuals that they need to process information more cautiously when deciding for whom to vote.
However, we also found evidence to support bounded rationality. The voting choices of our participants were affected by their ethnic identity, even though it was not directly associated with the voting intentions of the participants. There are several plausible explanations for these findings. First, voters may not be aware of the impact of ethnic identity on their decisions. Alternatively, political candidates (e.g., Ko, Lien) may have exerted their efforts in the final days prior to the day of the election to sway the decisions of participants, appealing indirectly to voters’ ethnic identity through their campaigns. Finally, participants may have actively denied the possibility of ethnic identity exerting an influence when reporting on their voting intention, because they found it irrelevant to the mayoral election; but when they actually voted, they were unable to resist the impact of their ethnic identity.
Given that an individual’s social network is often composed of social ingroup members (e.g., those who belong to the same ethnicity), it is perhaps unsurprising that ethnic identity has been found to predict political activities, such as voting preference among Latino populations in the U.S. [ 28 – 29 ] and political involvement among immigrants in Germany [ 30 ]. Ethnic identity has often been treated as a group marker in which voters opt for candidates who are members of the same ethnic group. Graves and Lee [ 28 ] delineated a theory of ethnic voting, stating that ethnicity may affect voters’ partisanship and candidate evaluation, which in turn affects their voting preferences. That is, voters may favor a political party and candidates endorsed by their ethnic members (e.g., the Latino population typically supports the Democratic Party and its candidates in the U.S.). Voters may evaluate candidates from their ethnic group more favorably than those from different ethnic groups, perceiving these candidates to be more supportive of issues related to their ethnic group (e.g., Latino political candidates may have a more lenient view on immigration).
Additionally, ethnic identity may be viewed as a politicized collective identity [ 31 ]. That is, in a society where social power is divided along ethnic lines, members of subordinate ethnic groups may collectively blame an outgroup (or outgroups) for their groups’ predicament. As a result, these group members may engage in political activities to enact change. Our findings suggest that the impact of ethnic identity may be more in line with bounded rationality, as its effects were not predicted by one’s voting intention prior to the election. Thus, it is plausible that individuals vote for a candidate who shares the same ethnic (e.g., Taiwanese) identity without consciously deciding to do so. If individuals vote in blind support of their ethnic ingroup or in opposition of ethnic outgroups, their decisions will not involve substantial systematic processing, potentially undermining the principles and effectiveness of the democratic system.
Lastly, according to the path model, the voting choices of our participants were affected by the perceived voting intention of their significant others, but it was not associated with voting intention after all other variables were simultaneously controlled. The finding suggests that the association between voting intention and perceived voting intention of significant others may be pseudo. Previous research has shown that significant others may affect one’s political behavior, such as voter turnout [ 32 – 36 ], voting consistency [ 37 ], and voting choices [ 35 , 38 ]. The effects of significant others are often conceptualized as a rational act. Significant others may enforce a participation norm so people are more likely to vote [ 32 , 36 ]. Through discussion, people may gain political information and knowledge from their significant others and may be more likely to vote as a result [ 34 , 36 ]. Previous research has also shown that when people are in a social network that favors their preferred candidates, they are more likely to vote for them [ 35 – 36 ]. Schmitt-Beck [ 38 ] also found that significant others may serve as a filter to reinforce or block media information on the candidates. Thus, it appears that voting is not an individual choice but is embedded in one’s social network. However, in our research, the evidence of perceived significant other’s voting intention may be more in line with bounded rationality, as its effects on voting choices were not mediated by one’s voting intention prior to the election. Our findings suggest that there are ways that significant others may affect us that have not been recognized before. More research investigating the impact of significant others beyond individuals’ awareness will be needed to further understand voters’ behavior.
In summary, although the explicit and implicit political preferences of individuals do exert a powerful influence on their voting intention and behavior, other factors–the ethnic identity and the perceived voting intention of their significant others–play important roles as well. There is a need to explore the influence of social groups and significant others, especially in different types of political systems. Future studies should further examine the degree to which relatively sensitive issues (e.g., ethnic identity) and mainstream cultural values (e.g., the extent of other people’s influence in collectivistic societies and in individualistic societies, such as Taiwan and the U.S. respectively) affect the results of an election. Overall, our findings indicate that although the effectiveness of a democracy should rely on the rational and careful decisions of individual voters, actual democratic societies are imperfect systems, shaped by the issues faced by various social groups within the system and by the mutual impact their citizens have on one another. When looking towards the future of democracy, both in Chinese societies and beyond, we must acknowledge the impact of these factors and incorporate our understanding into the way we educate and motivate the citizens who form the fabric of democratic societies across the world.
S1 appendix. the development of the political party preferences implicit association test (iat)..
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.s001
a missing data were estimated by interpolation method. b standardized scores in the correlations and raw scores in the means and standard deviations. **: p < .001, + : p < .08.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0148643.s002
Conceived and designed the experiments: ICL EEC CHT NSY ALPC. Performed the experiments: WCL. Analyzed the data: ICL WCL. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: ICL CHT NSY ALPC. Wrote the paper: ICL EEC CHT NSY.
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We have been privileged to work with a distinguished group of current and former election officials and experts in election administration, who collaborated over many months in producing this report, Ethical Standards for Election Administration.
Executive Summary
Elections in the United States are conducted by dedicated election officials committed to ensuring fairness, accuracy, accessibility, and security. For most election officials, ethical standards are based on personal ethical convictions, commitment to abide by state ethics laws, and dedication to follow their oath of office. While no unified set of ethical principles exists in the field, some state associations and training programs address ethics, and the National Association of Election Officials (the Election Center) maintains a set of standards for its members.
Articulating ethical principles for election officials offers numerous advantages.
Election officials already adhere to various ethical principles and codes of conduct, such as state ethics laws and oaths of office. However, none specifically address the unique circumstances of election administration. Consequently, there is a collective obligation for election officials to define and adopt ethical principles and codes tailored to their profession.
After reviewing existing principles in public service and election administration, we recommend seven core principles for adoption by the profession:
These principles should be accompanied by a corresponding set of standards of conduct that reflect realistic scenarios encountered by election officials at different levels of election administration. For instance, to implement the principle of adherence to the law, a county election director might be directed to seek legal counsel when the law is ambiguous, while a polling place officer might be directed to seek guidance from the local election office when the official is uncertain how to handle a situation at the polls. To implement the principle of practicing the highest level of ethics and stewardship, procedures could be developed in the local election office to encourage an open expression of views and “whistleblower” protections, whereas for temporary election workers, it would be important to spell out clearly how they should respond if they encountered a breach of ethical principles or law while voting was being conducted.
Proposals to enhance the ethical integrity of election administration in the United States have included ending the common practice of selecting senior election officials through elections, especially partisan ones. However, the deeply ingrained adversarial system, often tied to partisanship, is unlikely to be changed soon. Moreover, the same ethical standards apply to all election officials, regardless of how they are selected. Laws and practices, therefore, need to be established that allow election officials to provide notice of potential conflicts of interest and to recuse themselves from decisions that pose a conflict or appearance of conflict. Counterintuitively, conflicts of interest may be most evident in local jurisdictions, especially smaller ones.
Given the decentralized nature of U.S. election administration, state associations of local officials are best positioned to articulate and educate their members on ethical principles. Notably, the Election Center has integrated ethical principles into its certification program.
While ethical principles should guide the passage of state election law, their content should not be legislatively mandated. Enforcement of ethical principles is a serious matter, and organizations adopting such principles should carefully consider enforcement actions, ranging from informal correction to expulsion, always keeping due process rights in mind.
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This introductory chapter provides an overview of voting ethics. Voting is the principal way that citizens influence the quality of government. As such, individual voters have moral obligations concerning how they vote. Indeed, how individuals vote can help or harm people. Electoral outcomes can lead to a bad government, which can exploit the minority for the benefit of the majority. This book argues that citizens must vote well or abstain instead. Voters ought to vote for what they justifiedly believe promotes the common good. Even if many voters intend to promote the common good, they all too often lack sufficient evidence to justify the beliefs they advocate. When they do vote, they pollute democracy with their votes and make it more likely that people will have to suffer from bad governance.
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… Inclusion: Societal and Organizational Implications for …
Wolter Pieters
Fifth international conference on Cultural Attitudes …
Magdalena Musial-Karg
From the 1970s, the world has been undergoing the so-called “digital revolution” generally understood as the change from the me chanical and electronic technologies to the high tech, digital ones. The role of ICT has so gained in importance that some theoreticians of democracy speak of the necessity of paradigm changing as regards both the understanding of a democratic system and introdu-cing the notion of electronic democracy (e-democracy). The aim of this text is analyzing the electronic voting (e-voting) as one of important forms of electronic democracy. The article attempts at approaching several research questions. First, what is the impact of ICT on voting procedures? Secondly, what is the essence of electronic voting and what are its main features? Finally, what are the advantages and fears related to e-voting systems? This paper gives a theoretical overview of the electronic democracy and electronic voting, and demonstrates their essence, characteristics, goals. The author tries to present and critically assess the main drawbacks and problems of the existing e-voting systems. The theoretical considerations framework is based mainly on the concept of electronic democracy created by Martin Hagen. With reference to electronic voting, the author of this article uses definitions as given either by the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance, or the Competence Center for Electronic Voting and Participation. She also uses definitions constructed by Andrzej Kaczmarczyk, an e-voting expert.
Electronic Voting and Democracy. A Comparative Analysis.
Hubertus Buchstein
Przegląd Politologiczny
Maciej Górny
The aim of the article is to present the opportunities and threats resulting from the implementation of voting via the Internet (i-voting) and to discuss the conditions for effective implementation of this alternative voting procedure on the example of Estonia and Switzerland. Estonia is the only country in the world where i-voting is widely used. In Switzerland, on the other hand, this voting method has been used most often, although its use has been suspended for several years due to legal, infrastructural and political problems. What are the conditions for successfully implementing Internet voting? The attempt to answer this research question was possible thanks to the use of the following research methods: comparative, formal-dogmatic, behavioral and modified historical method. The key conclusion is that the implementation of i-voting must be preceded by many years of political, legal, infrastructural and social activities, and that the created system must be as transparent as p...
Dmytro Khutkyy
The aim of this paper is to identify, structure, and remit the risks of electronic voting by offering practical solutions for countering them. In the context of a wider electoral reform, after a cost-benefit analysis has been performed and the introduction of internet voting has been decided upon, this policy paper can help foresee presumable challenges and refute ungrounded objections. In contrast to most publications that either focus on particular risks or describe proper i-voting, this paper inspects multiple challenges and addresses them. It is intended as a reference for politicians, public officials, civic activists, and citizens overall for preventing, detecting, and mitigating i-voting misuse, safeguarding e-democracy against distortions, and strengthening good governance. This study is based on a desk review of existing academic and policy research and the analysis of the available secondary data on i-voting statistics. The conclusions are drawn from national and local cases, and therefore are potentially applicable to a range of remote i-voting designs in diverse political contexts.
EIIC 2014. The 3rd Electronic International Interdisciplinary Conference, Proceedings in Electronic International Interdisciplinary Conference, eds. M. Mokrys, S. Badura, A. Lieskovsky, EDIS – Publishing Institution of the University of Zilina, Slovakia, ss. 311-315, ISSN 978-80-554-0921-4.
Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) constitute a crucial element of globalisation and computerization processes. ICT are not exclusively present in the economy, entertainment, trade or banking, but they are also used in politics or social area. Public institutions employ ICT (particularly the Internet) for informational and educational purposes as well as for improving the efficiency of state institutions and bodies. With the availability of new (apart from traditional) forms of participation, such as e.g. electronic community consultations, electronic people's initiatives, participatory budgeting, e-voting, the citizens are offered the possibility to increase their activity on the political scene and their real influence on the decision-making process. It’s due to the fact that modern technologies can improve the interactions occurring between voters and political institutions, political parties, or politicians. One of such interaction is the process of voting, which in some countries is supported by ICT (e-voting). This article aims primarily at providing answers for questions: about the most important problems connected with introduction of this more and more popular way of civic participation in politics and with the use of e-voting in general elections, as well as about the most crucial and most frequent uncertainties that e-voting implies.
Robert Krimmer
Journal of Information Security and Applications
Karen Renaud
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ELECTRONIC VOTING: A TOOL OF DIGITAL DEMOCRACY
Tomáš Janči
Kåre Vollan
DR. Ge . Ayman R . Elzeiny
SSRN Electronic Journal
peter van den besselaar
Jan Klasinc
Trust Management
Kimo Cavdar , Veno Pachovski , Marko Andonov
Javnost - The Public
leontine loeber
IEEE Transactions on Information Forensics and Security
Edward E R N E S T Brown
Lilian Mitrou , Sokratis Katsikas
… 2005. HICSS'05. Proceedings of the …
Ann Macintosh
JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH
Kimo Cavdar
International Journal of Electronic Government Research
Hanan Al Mubarak
Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Theory and Practice of Electronic Governance - ICEGOV '11
Eric Dubuis
Markus Traxl , Robert Krimmer
Jordi Barrat
Discover the world's research
in Constitutional Resilience in South Asia (Jhaveri et al. eds, Bloomsbury 2023).
37 Pages Posted: 9 Apr 2020 Last revised: 5 May 2024
Queen Mary University of London, School of Law; Yale Law School
Date Written: February 1, 2020
The scholars of comparative law and politics have acknowledged the Election Commission of India (‘the ECI’) as the institution that has played a central role in maintaining electoral fairness and integrity in India. The ECI has consistently acquired wider powers, covering the administration of elections as well as a range of allied activities. Despite its important, there is a dearth of constitutional theorising about the institution. This also extends to the question of the ECI’s constitutional accountability. The severe criticism of the institution’s functioning by the opposition parties and the civil society particularly in the 2019 national elections necessitates a serious investigation into these institutional questions. This chapter critiques the Indian Supreme Court’s elections jurisprudence from the perspective of the ECI’s constitutional accountability, and argues that it has sidelined this serious aspect. In a series of celebrated judgments, the Court adopted the framework of discursive democracy that enhanced the demands of transparency and accountability of political actors. These judgments simultaneously strengthened the ECI but left its accountability unattended. The Court adopted a different framework with respect to the ECI. This framework was based on trust that relied on institutional competence and commitment. The chapter argues that the framework of trust has failed to address the serious concerns of the ECI’s accountability and transparency. It proposes that the Court must adopt tools from the framework of democracy to strengthen these values.
Keywords: India, electoral commissions, election commission of india, democracy, accountability, trust, NMIs, non-majoritarian institutions, bureaucracy, expert bodies, Supreme Court of India, public trust, electoral integrity, EVMs
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Queen mary university of london, school of law ( email ).
Mile End Road Lincoln's Inn Fields London, London E1 4NS United Kingdom
P.O. Box 208215 New Haven, CT 06520-8215 United States
Paper statistics, related ejournals, comparative & non-u.s. constitutional law ejournal.
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Political behavior: voting & public opinion ejournal, india law ejournal, political economy - development: political institutions ejournal, election law & voting rights ejournal.
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IMAGES
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At most, they have duties of beneficence and reciprocity that can be discharged any number of ways besides voting. 2. In general, voters should vote for things that tend to promote the common good rather than try to promote narrow self-interest at the expense of the common good. 3. Voters face epistemic requirements.
I N T R O D U C T I O N. Voting as an Ethic. l Issue Why Voting MattersWhen we vote, we can make. government better or worse. In turn, our votes can make peopl. 's lives better or worse.If we make bad choices at the polls, we get racist, s. xist, and homopho-bic laws. Economic opportunities va. ish or fail to materialize. We fi ght.
The expressive theory of voting (G. Brennan and Lomasky 1993) holds that voters vote in order to express themselves. On the expressive theory, voting is a consumption activity rather than a productive activity; it is more like reading a book for pleasure than it is like reading a book to develop a new skill.
For the German federal election of 2017, the fifth wave—taking 8,864 eligible voters into account—has been tailored to multivariate analyses. For the parliamentary election of the Bundestag in 2013, Wave 3 (4,404 eligible voters) has been chosen, and for the 2009 federal election, the first two waves have been used (3,696 eligible voters).
It shows that, on average, respondents become 1.39 points (dashed line) more trusting of elections on a 0-32 scale. Though small, the difference is statistically significant from 0 (t (2285) = 13.44, p < 0.001). Figure 1. Electoral trust in the pre- and post-electoral wave.
Human rationality-the ability to behave in order to maximize the achievement of their presumed goals (i.e., their optimal choices)-is the foundation for democracy. Research evidence has suggested that voters may not make decisions after exhaustively processing relevant information; instead, our decision-making capacity may be restricted by our own biases and the environment. In this paper ...
Elections in the United States are conducted by dedicated election officials committed to ensuring fairness, accuracy, accessibility, and security. For most election officials, ethical standards are based on personal ethical convictions, commitment to abide by state ethics laws, and dedication to follow their oath of office.
The Ethics of Voting. Nothing is more integral to democracy than voting. Most people believe that every citizen has the civic duty or moral obligation to vote, that any sincere vote is morally acceptable, and that buying, selling, or trading votes is inherently wrong. In this provocative book, Jason Brennan challenges our fundamental ...
As we have set out in the previous sections, given the importance of electoral management for election integrity, this is a vital research agenda that needs to be taken forward. The articles in this special issue do this, each investigating a part of this puzzle, as we outline in the conclusion section. ... EMB performance and outcomes are ...
Voting is the principal way that citizens influence the quality of government. As such, individual voters have moral obligations concerning how they vote. Indeed, how individuals vote can help or harm people. Electoral outcomes can lead to a bad government, which can exploit the minority for the benefit of the majority.
of the code of ethics by election organizers. Article 111 paragraph (3) of Law Number 15 of ... This paper is in the form of legal research in literature studies in the form of books and journals ...
Ethics of e-voting An essay on requirements and values in Internet elections W. Pieters Institute for computing and information sciences Radboud University Nijmegen P.O. Box 9010 6500 GL Nijmegen The Netherlands tel. +31 24 365 25 99 fax +31 24 365 31 37 [email protected] M.J. Becker Centre for ethics Radboud University Nijmegen P.O. Box 9103 6500 HD Nijmegen The Netherlands tel. +31 24 361 62 ...
Electoral Studies is an international journal dedicated to the study of elections and voting in different parts of the world. With a reputation established over more than 35 years of publication, Electoral Studies is widely recognised as a major journal in the field. It publishes theoretically informed and empirically robust research on all ...
This meta-analytic study reviews empirical research published from 2007 to 2013 with an aim of providing robust conclusions about the relationship between social media use and citizen engagement.
Deepfakes have significant implications for the integrity of many social domains including that of elections. Focusing on the 2020 U.S. presidential election and using an anticipatory approach, this paper examines the ethical issues raised by deepfakes and discusses strategies for addressing these issues.
Third, CA was mentioned to participate in the 2017 elections in Kenya. The company design ed the electoral campaign, as well as took part in its rebranding and research on more than 50 thousand
Abstract. Social media has been a part of election campaigns for more than a decade. In this special issue, we combine longitudinal and cross-national studies of social media in election campaigns, expanding the time span as well as number of countries compared to former comparative studies. The four papers present examples of longitudinal ...
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Research ethics review has become an integral component of medical and social science research. Almost every postsecondary institution supports at least one research ethics board (REB), also called research ethics committee (REC) or institutional review board (IRB), and larger institutions may have multiple boards serving different areas of research (e.g. biomedical, social sciences).
The scholars of comparative law and politics have acknowledged the Election Commission of India ('the ECI') as the institution that has played a central role in maintaining electoral fairness and integrity in India. The ECI has consistently acquired wider powers, covering the administration of elections as well as a range of allied activities.