Null Hypothesis Examples

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In statistical analysis, the null hypothesis assumes there is no meaningful relationship between two variables. Testing the null hypothesis can tell you whether your results are due to the effect of manipulating ​a dependent variable or due to chance. It's often used in conjunction with an alternative hypothesis, which assumes there is, in fact, a relationship between two variables.

The null hypothesis is among the easiest hypothesis to test using statistical analysis, making it perhaps the most valuable hypothesis for the scientific method. By evaluating a null hypothesis in addition to another hypothesis, researchers can support their conclusions with a higher level of confidence. Below are examples of how you might formulate a null hypothesis to fit certain questions.

What Is the Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis states there is no relationship between the measured phenomenon (the dependent variable ) and the independent variable , which is the variable an experimenter typically controls or changes. You do not​ need to believe that the null hypothesis is true to test it. On the contrary, you will likely suspect there is a relationship between a set of variables. One way to prove that this is the case is to reject the null hypothesis. Rejecting a hypothesis does not mean an experiment was "bad" or that it didn't produce results. In fact, it is often one of the first steps toward further inquiry.

To distinguish it from other hypotheses , the null hypothesis is written as ​ H 0  (which is read as “H-nought,” "H-null," or "H-zero"). A significance test is used to determine the likelihood that the results supporting the null hypothesis are not due to chance. A confidence level of 95% or 99% is common. Keep in mind, even if the confidence level is high, there is still a small chance the null hypothesis is not true, perhaps because the experimenter did not account for a critical factor or because of chance. This is one reason why it's important to repeat experiments.

Examples of the Null Hypothesis

To write a null hypothesis, first start by asking a question. Rephrase that question in a form that assumes no relationship between the variables. In other words, assume a treatment has no effect. Write your hypothesis in a way that reflects this.

Other Types of Hypotheses

In addition to the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis is also a staple in traditional significance tests . It's essentially the opposite of the null hypothesis because it assumes the claim in question is true. For the first item in the table above, for example, an alternative hypothesis might be "Age does have an effect on mathematical ability."

Key Takeaways

  • In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis assumes no relationship between two variables, providing a baseline for statistical analysis.
  • Rejecting the null hypothesis suggests there is evidence of a relationship between variables.
  • By formulating a null hypothesis, researchers can systematically test assumptions and draw more reliable conclusions from their experiments.
  • What 'Fail to Reject' Means in a Hypothesis Test
  • What Is a Hypothesis? (Science)
  • Null Hypothesis Definition and Examples
  • What Are the Elements of a Good Hypothesis?
  • Scientific Method Vocabulary Terms
  • Definition of a Hypothesis
  • Six Steps of the Scientific Method
  • What Is the Difference Between Alpha and P-Values?
  • Hypothesis Test for the Difference of Two Population Proportions
  • Understanding Simple vs Controlled Experiments
  • Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis
  • What Are Examples of a Hypothesis?
  • What It Means When a Variable Is Spurious
  • Hypothesis Test Example
  • How to Conduct a Hypothesis Test
  • What Is a P-Value?

Statology

Statistics Made Easy

How to Write a Null Hypothesis (5 Examples)

A hypothesis test uses sample data to determine whether or not some claim about a population parameter is true.

Whenever we perform a hypothesis test, we always write a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis, which take the following forms:

H 0 (Null Hypothesis): Population parameter =,  ≤, ≥ some value

H A  (Alternative Hypothesis): Population parameter <, >, ≠ some value

Note that the null hypothesis always contains the equal sign .

We interpret the hypotheses as follows:

Null hypothesis: The sample data provides no evidence to support some claim being made by an individual.

Alternative hypothesis: The sample data  does provide sufficient evidence to support the claim being made by an individual.

For example, suppose it’s assumed that the average height of a certain species of plant is 20 inches tall. However, one botanist claims the true average height is greater than 20 inches.

To test this claim, she may go out and collect a random sample of plants. She can then use this sample data to perform a hypothesis test using the following two hypotheses:

H 0 : μ ≤ 20 (the true mean height of plants is equal to or even less than 20 inches)

H A : μ > 20 (the true mean height of plants is greater than 20 inches)

If the sample data gathered by the botanist shows that the mean height of this species of plants is significantly greater than 20 inches, she can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the mean height is greater than 20 inches.

Read through the following examples to gain a better understanding of how to write a null hypothesis in different situations.

Example 1: Weight of Turtles

A biologist wants to test whether or not the true mean weight of a certain species of turtles is 300 pounds. To test this, he goes out and measures the weight of a random sample of 40 turtles.

Here is how to write the null and alternative hypotheses for this scenario:

H 0 : μ = 300 (the true mean weight is equal to 300 pounds)

H A : μ ≠ 300 (the true mean weight is not equal to 300 pounds)

Example 2: Height of Males

It’s assumed that the mean height of males in a certain city is 68 inches. However, an independent researcher believes the true mean height is greater than 68 inches. To test this, he goes out and collects the height of 50 males in the city.

H 0 : μ ≤ 68 (the true mean height is equal to or even less than 68 inches)

H A : μ > 68 (the true mean height is greater than 68 inches)

Example 3: Graduation Rates

A university states that 80% of all students graduate on time. However, an independent researcher believes that less than 80% of all students graduate on time. To test this, she collects data on the proportion of students who graduated on time last year at the university.

H 0 : p ≥ 0.80 (the true proportion of students who graduate on time is 80% or higher)

H A : μ < 0.80 (the true proportion of students who graduate on time is less than 80%)

Example 4: Burger Weights

A food researcher wants to test whether or not the true mean weight of a burger at a certain restaurant is 7 ounces. To test this, he goes out and measures the weight of a random sample of 20 burgers from this restaurant.

H 0 : μ = 7 (the true mean weight is equal to 7 ounces)

H A : μ ≠ 7 (the true mean weight is not equal to 7 ounces)

Example 5: Citizen Support

A politician claims that less than 30% of citizens in a certain town support a certain law. To test this, he goes out and surveys 200 citizens on whether or not they support the law.

H 0 : p ≥ .30 (the true proportion of citizens who support the law is greater than or equal to 30%)

H A : μ < 0.30 (the true proportion of citizens who support the law is less than 30%)

Additional Resources

Introduction to Hypothesis Testing Introduction to Confidence Intervals An Explanation of P-Values and Statistical Significance

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Hey there. My name is Zach Bobbitt. I have a Masters of Science degree in Applied Statistics and I’ve worked on machine learning algorithms for professional businesses in both healthcare and retail. I’m passionate about statistics, machine learning, and data visualization and I created Statology to be a resource for both students and teachers alike.  My goal with this site is to help you learn statistics through using simple terms, plenty of real-world examples, and helpful illustrations.

2 Replies to “How to Write a Null Hypothesis (5 Examples)”

you are amazing, thank you so much

Say I am a botanist hypothesizing the average height of daisies is 20 inches, or not? Does T = (ave – 20 inches) / √ variance / (80 / 4)? … This assumes 40 real measures + 40 fake = 80 n, but that seems questionable. Please advise.

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  • Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Null and Alternative Hypotheses | Definitions & Examples

Published on 5 October 2022 by Shaun Turney . Revised on 6 December 2022.

The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test :

  • Null hypothesis (H 0 ): There’s no effect in the population .
  • Alternative hypothesis (H A ): There’s an effect in the population.

The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent variable .

Table of contents

Answering your research question with hypotheses, what is a null hypothesis, what is an alternative hypothesis, differences between null and alternative hypotheses, how to write null and alternative hypotheses, frequently asked questions about null and alternative hypotheses.

The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question . When the research question asks “Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?”, the null hypothesis (H 0 ) answers “No, there’s no effect in the population.” On the other hand, the alternative hypothesis (H A ) answers “Yes, there is an effect in the population.”

The null and alternative are always claims about the population. That’s because the goal of hypothesis testing is to make inferences about a population based on a sample . Often, we infer whether there’s an effect in the population by looking at differences between groups or relationships between variables in the sample.

You can use a statistical test to decide whether the evidence favors the null or alternative hypothesis. Each type of statistical test comes with a specific way of phrasing the null and alternative hypothesis. However, the hypotheses can also be phrased in a general way that applies to any test.

The null hypothesis is the claim that there’s no effect in the population.

If the sample provides enough evidence against the claim that there’s no effect in the population ( p ≤ α), then we can reject the null hypothesis . Otherwise, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

Although “fail to reject” may sound awkward, it’s the only wording that statisticians accept. Be careful not to say you “prove” or “accept” the null hypothesis.

Null hypotheses often include phrases such as “no effect”, “no difference”, or “no relationship”. When written in mathematical terms, they always include an equality (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

Examples of null hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and null hypotheses. There’s always more than one way to answer a research question, but these null hypotheses can help you get started.

*Note that some researchers prefer to always write the null hypothesis in terms of “no effect” and “=”. It would be fine to say that daily meditation has no effect on the incidence of depression and p 1 = p 2 .

The alternative hypothesis (H A ) is the other answer to your research question . It claims that there’s an effect in the population.

Often, your alternative hypothesis is the same as your research hypothesis. In other words, it’s the claim that you expect or hope will be true.

The alternative hypothesis is the complement to the null hypothesis. Null and alternative hypotheses are exhaustive, meaning that together they cover every possible outcome. They are also mutually exclusive, meaning that only one can be true at a time.

Alternative hypotheses often include phrases such as “an effect”, “a difference”, or “a relationship”. When alternative hypotheses are written in mathematical terms, they always include an inequality (usually ≠, but sometimes > or <). As with null hypotheses, there are many acceptable ways to phrase an alternative hypothesis.

Examples of alternative hypotheses

The table below gives examples of research questions and alternative hypotheses to help you get started with formulating your own.

Null and alternative hypotheses are similar in some ways:

  • They’re both answers to the research question
  • They both make claims about the population
  • They’re both evaluated by statistical tests.

However, there are important differences between the two types of hypotheses, summarized in the following table.

To help you write your hypotheses, you can use the template sentences below. If you know which statistical test you’re going to use, you can use the test-specific template sentences. Otherwise, you can use the general template sentences.

The only thing you need to know to use these general template sentences are your dependent and independent variables. To write your research question, null hypothesis, and alternative hypothesis, fill in the following sentences with your variables:

Does independent variable affect dependent variable ?

  • Null hypothesis (H 0 ): Independent variable does not affect dependent variable .
  • Alternative hypothesis (H A ): Independent variable affects dependent variable .

Test-specific

Once you know the statistical test you’ll be using, you can write your hypotheses in a more precise and mathematical way specific to the test you chose. The table below provides template sentences for common statistical tests.

Note: The template sentences above assume that you’re performing one-tailed tests . One-tailed tests are appropriate for most studies.

The null hypothesis is often abbreviated as H 0 . When the null hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an equality symbol (usually =, but sometimes ≥ or ≤).

The alternative hypothesis is often abbreviated as H a or H 1 . When the alternative hypothesis is written using mathematical symbols, it always includes an inequality symbol (usually ≠, but sometimes < or >).

A research hypothesis is your proposed answer to your research question. The research hypothesis usually includes an explanation (‘ x affects y because …’).

A statistical hypothesis, on the other hand, is a mathematical statement about a population parameter. Statistical hypotheses always come in pairs: the null and alternative hypotheses. In a well-designed study , the statistical hypotheses correspond logically to the research hypothesis.

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Writing Null Hypotheses in Research and Statistics

Last Updated: January 17, 2024 Fact Checked

This article was co-authored by Joseph Quinones and by wikiHow staff writer, Jennifer Mueller, JD . Joseph Quinones is a High School Physics Teacher working at South Bronx Community Charter High School. Joseph specializes in astronomy and astrophysics and is interested in science education and science outreach, currently practicing ways to make physics accessible to more students with the goal of bringing more students of color into the STEM fields. He has experience working on Astrophysics research projects at the Museum of Natural History (AMNH). Joseph recieved his Bachelor's degree in Physics from Lehman College and his Masters in Physics Education from City College of New York (CCNY). He is also a member of a network called New York City Men Teach. There are 7 references cited in this article, which can be found at the bottom of the page. This article has been fact-checked, ensuring the accuracy of any cited facts and confirming the authority of its sources. This article has been viewed 25,408 times.

Are you working on a research project and struggling with how to write a null hypothesis? Well, you've come to the right place! Start by recognizing that the basic definition of "null" is "none" or "zero"—that's your biggest clue as to what a null hypothesis should say. Keep reading to learn everything you need to know about the null hypothesis, including how it relates to your research question and your alternative hypothesis as well as how to use it in different types of studies.

Things You Should Know

  • Write a research null hypothesis as a statement that the studied variables have no relationship to each other, or that there's no difference between 2 groups.

{\displaystyle \mu _{1}=\mu _{2}}

  • Adjust the format of your null hypothesis to match the statistical method you used to test it, such as using "mean" if you're comparing the mean between 2 groups.

What is a null hypothesis?

A null hypothesis states that there's no relationship between 2 variables.

  • Research hypothesis: States in plain language that there's no relationship between the 2 variables or there's no difference between the 2 groups being studied.
  • Statistical hypothesis: States the predicted outcome of statistical analysis through a mathematical equation related to the statistical method you're using.

Examples of Null Hypotheses

Step 1 Research question:

Null Hypothesis vs. Alternative Hypothesis

Step 1 Null hypotheses and alternative hypotheses are mutually exclusive.

  • For example, your alternative hypothesis could state a positive correlation between 2 variables while your null hypothesis states there's no relationship. If there's a negative correlation, then both hypotheses are false.

Step 2 Proving the null hypothesis false is a precursor to proving the alternative.

  • You need additional data or evidence to show that your alternative hypothesis is correct—proving the null hypothesis false is just the first step.
  • In smaller studies, sometimes it's enough to show that there's some relationship and your hypothesis could be correct—you can leave the additional proof as an open question for other researchers to tackle.

How do I test a null hypothesis?

Use statistical methods on collected data to test the null hypothesis.

  • Group means: Compare the mean of the variable in your sample with the mean of the variable in the general population. [6] X Research source
  • Group proportions: Compare the proportion of the variable in your sample with the proportion of the variable in the general population. [7] X Research source
  • Correlation: Correlation analysis looks at the relationship between 2 variables—specifically, whether they tend to happen together. [8] X Research source
  • Regression: Regression analysis reveals the correlation between 2 variables while also controlling for the effect of other, interrelated variables. [9] X Research source

Templates for Null Hypotheses

Step 1 Group means

  • Research null hypothesis: There is no difference in the mean [dependent variable] between [group 1] and [group 2].

{\displaystyle \mu _{1}+\mu _{2}=0}

  • Research null hypothesis: The proportion of [dependent variable] in [group 1] and [group 2] is the same.

{\displaystyle p_{1}=p_{2}}

  • Research null hypothesis: There is no correlation between [independent variable] and [dependent variable] in the population.

\rho =0

  • Research null hypothesis: There is no relationship between [independent variable] and [dependent variable] in the population.

{\displaystyle \beta =0}

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  • ↑ https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat100/lesson/10/10.1
  • ↑ https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat501/lesson/2/2.12
  • ↑ https://support.minitab.com/en-us/minitab/21/help-and-how-to/statistics/basic-statistics/supporting-topics/basics/null-and-alternative-hypotheses/
  • ↑ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5635437/
  • ↑ https://online.stat.psu.edu/statprogram/reviews/statistical-concepts/hypothesis-testing
  • ↑ https://education.arcus.chop.edu/null-hypothesis-testing/
  • ↑ https://sphweb.bumc.bu.edu/otlt/mph-modules/bs/bs704_hypothesistest-means-proportions/bs704_hypothesistest-means-proportions_print.html

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9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 , the — null hypothesis: a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions or no difference between a sample mean or proportion and a population mean or proportion. In other words, the difference equals 0.

H a —, the alternative hypothesis: a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make a decision. There are two options for a decision. They are reject H 0 if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or do not reject H 0 or decline to reject H 0 if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

Example 9.1

H 0 : No more than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30 H a : More than 30 percent of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

Example 9.2

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ = 2.0 H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

  • H 0 : μ __ 66
  • H a : μ __ 66

Example 9.3

We want to test if college students take fewer than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are the following: H 0 : μ ≥ 5 H a : μ < 5

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

  • H 0 : μ __ 45
  • H a : μ __ 45

Example 9.4

An article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third of the students pass. The same article stated that 6.6 percent of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4 percent pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6 percent. State the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p ≤ 0.066 H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40 percent pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40 percent pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses.

  • H 0 : p __ 0.40
  • H a : p __ 0.40

Collaborative Exercise

Bring to class a newspaper, some news magazines, and some internet articles. In groups, find articles from which your group can write null and alternative hypotheses. Discuss your hypotheses with the rest of the class.

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Null Hypothesis Examples

Null Hypothesis Example

The null hypothesis (H 0 ) is the hypothesis that states there is no statistical difference between two sample sets. In other words, it assumes the independent variable does not have an effect on the dependent variable in a scientific experiment .

The null hypothesis is the most powerful type of hypothesis in the scientific method because it’s the easiest one to test with a high confidence level using statistics. If the null hypothesis is accepted, then it’s evidence any observed differences between two experiment groups are due to random chance. If the null hypothesis is rejected, then it’s strong evidence there is a true difference between test sets or that the independent variable affects the dependent variable.

  • The null hypothesis is a nullifiable hypothesis. A researcher seeks to reject it because this result strongly indicates observed differences are real and not just due to chance.
  • The null hypothesis may be accepted or rejected, but not proven. There is always a level of confidence in the outcome.

What Is the Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis is written as H 0 , which is read as H-zero, H-nought, or H-null. It is associated with another hypothesis, called the alternate or alternative hypothesis H A or H 1 . When the null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis are written mathematically, they cover all possible outcomes of an experiment.

An experimenter tests the null hypothesis with a statistical analysis called a significance test. The significance test determines the likelihood that the results of the test are not due to chance. Usually, a researcher uses a confidence level of 95% or 99% (p-value of 0.05 or 0.01). But, even if the confidence in the test is high, there is always a small chance the outcome is incorrect. This means you can’t prove a null hypothesis. It’s also a good reason why it’s important to repeat experiments.

Exact and Inexact Null Hypothesis

The most common type of null hypothesis assumes no difference between two samples or groups or no measurable effect of a treatment. This is the exact hypothesis . If you’re asked to state a null hypothesis for a science class, this is the one to write. It is the easiest type of hypothesis to test and is the only one accepted for certain types of analysis. Examples include:

There is no difference between two groups H 0 : μ 1  = μ 2 (where H 0  = the null hypothesis, μ 1  = the mean of population 1, and μ 2  = the mean of population 2)

Both groups have value of 100 (or any number or quality) H 0 : μ = 100

However, sometimes a researcher may test an inexact hypothesis . This type of hypothesis specifies ranges or intervals. Examples include:

Recovery time from a treatment is the same or worse than a placebo: H 0 : μ ≥ placebo time

There is a 5% or less difference between two groups: H 0 : 95 ≤ μ ≤ 105

An inexact hypothesis offers “directionality” about a phenomenon. For example, an exact hypothesis can indicate whether or not a treatment has an effect, while an inexact hypothesis can tell whether an effect is positive of negative. However, an inexact hypothesis may be harder to test and some scientists and statisticians disagree about whether it’s a true null hypothesis .

How to State the Null Hypothesis

To state the null hypothesis, first state what you expect the experiment to show. Then, rephrase the statement in a form that assumes there is no relationship between the variables or that a treatment has no effect.

Example: A researcher tests whether a new drug speeds recovery time from a certain disease. The average recovery time without treatment is 3 weeks.

  • State the goal of the experiment: “I hope the average recovery time with the new drug will be less than 3 weeks.”
  • Rephrase the hypothesis to assume the treatment has no effect: “If the drug doesn’t shorten recovery time, then the average time will be 3 weeks or longer.” Mathematically: H 0 : μ ≥ 3

This null hypothesis (inexact hypothesis) covers both the scenario in which the drug has no effect and the one in which the drugs makes the recovery time longer. The alternate hypothesis is that average recovery time will be less than three weeks:

H A : μ < 3

Of course, the researcher could test the no-effect hypothesis (exact null hypothesis): H 0 : μ = 3

The danger of testing this hypothesis is that rejecting it only implies the drug affected recovery time (not whether it made it better or worse). This is because the alternate hypothesis is:

H A : μ ≠ 3 (which includes μ <3 and μ >3)

Even though the no-effect null hypothesis yields less information, it’s used because it’s easier to test using statistics. Basically, testing whether something is unchanged/changed is easier than trying to quantify the nature of the change.

Remember, a researcher hopes to reject the null hypothesis because this supports the alternate hypothesis. Also, be sure the null and alternate hypothesis cover all outcomes. Finally, remember a simple true/false, equal/unequal, yes/no exact hypothesis is easier to test than a more complex inexact hypothesis.

  • Adèr, H. J.; Mellenbergh, G. J. & Hand, D. J. (2007).  Advising on Research Methods: A Consultant’s Companion . Huizen, The Netherlands: Johannes van Kessel Publishing. ISBN  978-90-79418-01-5 .
  • Cox, D. R. (2006).  Principles of Statistical Inference . Cambridge University Press. ISBN  978-0-521-68567-2 .
  • Everitt, Brian (1998).  The Cambridge Dictionary of Statistics . Cambridge, UK New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0521593465.
  • Weiss, Neil A. (1999).  Introductory Statistics  (5th ed.). ISBN 9780201598773.

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Course: ap®︎/college statistics   >   unit 10.

  • Idea behind hypothesis testing

Examples of null and alternative hypotheses

  • Writing null and alternative hypotheses
  • P-values and significance tests
  • Comparing P-values to different significance levels
  • Estimating a P-value from a simulation
  • Estimating P-values from simulations
  • Using P-values to make conclusions

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7.3: The Null Hypothesis

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  • Foster et al.
  • University of Missouri-St. Louis, Rice University, & University of Houston, Downtown Campus via University of Missouri’s Affordable and Open Access Educational Resources Initiative

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The hypothesis that an apparent effect is due to chance is called the null hypothesis, written \(H_0\) (“H-naught”). In the Physicians' Reactions example, the null hypothesis is that in the population of physicians, the mean time expected to be spent with obese patients is equal to the mean time expected to be spent with average-weight patients. This null hypothesis can be written as:

\[\mathrm{H}_{0}: \mu_{\mathrm{obese}}-\mu_{\mathrm{average}}=0 \]

The null hypothesis in a correlational study of the relationship between high school grades and college grades would typically be that the population correlation is 0. This can be written as

\[\mathrm{H}_{0}: \rho=0 \]

where \(ρ\) is the population correlation, which we will cover in chapter 12.

Although the null hypothesis is usually that the value of a parameter is 0, there are occasions in which the null hypothesis is a value other than 0. For example, if we are working with mothers in the U.S. whose children are at risk of low birth weight, we can use 7.47 pounds, the average birthweight in the US, as our null value and test for differences against that.

For now, we will focus on testing a value of a single mean against what we expect from the population. Using birthweight as an example, our null hypothesis takes the form:

\[\mathrm{H}_{0}: \mu=7.47 \nonumber \]

The number on the right hand side is our null hypothesis value that is informed by our research question. Notice that we are testing the value for \(μ\), the population parameter, NOT the sample statistic \(\overline{\mathrm{X}}\). This is for two reasons: 1) once we collect data, we know what the value of \(\overline{\mathrm{X}}\) is – it’s not a mystery or a question, it is observed and used for the second reason, which is 2) we are interested in understanding the population, not just our sample.

Keep in mind that the null hypothesis is typically the opposite of the researcher's hypothesis. In the Physicians' Reactions study, the researchers hypothesized that physicians would expect to spend less time with obese patients. The null hypothesis that the two types of patients are treated identically is put forward with the hope that it can be discredited and therefore rejected. If the null hypothesis were true, a difference as large or larger than the sample difference of 6.7 minutes would be very unlikely to occur. Therefore, the researchers rejected the null hypothesis of no difference and concluded that in the population, physicians intend to spend less time with obese patients.

In general, the null hypothesis is the idea that nothing is going on: there is no effect of our treatment, no relation between our variables, and no difference in our sample mean from what we expected about the population mean. This is always our baseline starting assumption, and it is what we seek to reject. If we are trying to treat depression, we want to find a difference in average symptoms between our treatment and control groups. If we are trying to predict job performance, we want to find a relation between conscientiousness and evaluation scores. However, until we have evidence against it, we must use the null hypothesis as our starting point.

Module 9: Hypothesis Testing With One Sample

Null and alternative hypotheses, learning outcomes.

  • Describe hypothesis testing in general and in practice

The actual test begins by considering two  hypotheses . They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis . These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints.

H 0 : The null hypothesis: It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.

H a : The alternative hypothesis : It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to H 0 and what we conclude when we reject H 0 .

Since the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, you must examine evidence to decide if you have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not. The evidence is in the form of sample data.

After you have determined which hypothesis the sample supports, you make adecision. There are two options for a  decision . They are “reject H 0 ” if the sample information favors the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject H 0 ” or “decline to reject H 0 ” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.

Mathematical Symbols Used in  H 0 and H a :

H 0 always has a symbol with an equal in it. H a never has a symbol with an equal in it. The choice of symbol depends on the wording of the hypothesis test. However, be aware that many researchers (including one of the co-authors in research work) use = in the null hypothesis, even with > or < as the symbol in the alternative hypothesis. This practice is acceptable because we only make the decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis.

H 0 : No more than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p ≤ 30

H a : More than 30% of the registered voters in Santa Clara County voted in the primary election. p > 30

A medical trial is conducted to test whether or not a new medicine reduces cholesterol by 25%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : The drug reduces cholesterol by 25%. p = 0.25

H a : The drug does not reduce cholesterol by 25%. p ≠ 0.25

We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in American colleges is different from 2.0 (out of 4.0). The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ = 2.0

H a : μ ≠ 2.0

We want to test whether the mean height of eighth graders is 66 inches. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : μ __ 66 H a : μ __ 66

  • H 0 : μ = 66
  • H a : μ ≠ 66

We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on the average. The null and alternative hypotheses are:

H 0 : μ ≥ 5

H a : μ < 5

We want to test if it takes fewer than 45 minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses. Fill in the correct symbol ( =, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : μ __ 45 H a : μ __ 45

  • H 0 : μ ≥ 45
  • H a : μ < 45

In an issue of U.S. News and World Report , an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams and a third pass. The same article stated that 6.6% of U.S. students take advanced placement exams and 4.4% pass. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than 6.6%. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

H 0 : p ≤ 0.066

H a : p > 0.066

On a state driver’s test, about 40% pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than 40% pass on the first try. Fill in the correct symbol (=, ≠, ≥, <, ≤, >) for the null and alternative hypotheses. H 0 : p __ 0.40 H a : p __ 0.40

  • H 0 : p = 0.40
  • H a : p > 0.40

Concept Review

In a  hypothesis test , sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim. If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis , typically denoted with H 0 . The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise. The null statement must always contain some form of equality (=, ≤ or ≥) Always write the alternative hypothesis , typically denoted with H a or H 1 , using less than, greater than, or not equals symbols, i.e., (≠, >, or <). If we reject the null hypothesis, then we can assume there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. Never state that a claim is proven true or false. Keep in mind the underlying fact that hypothesis testing is based on probability laws; therefore, we can talk only in terms of non-absolute certainties.

Formula Review

H 0 and H a are contradictory.

  • OpenStax, Statistics, Null and Alternative Hypotheses. Provided by : OpenStax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]:58/Introductory_Statistics . License : CC BY: Attribution
  • Introductory Statistics . Authored by : Barbara Illowski, Susan Dean. Provided by : Open Stax. Located at : http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected] . License : CC BY: Attribution . License Terms : Download for free at http://cnx.org/contents/[email protected]
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5.2 - writing hypotheses.

The first step in conducting a hypothesis test is to write the hypothesis statements that are going to be tested. For each test you will have a null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) and an alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\)).

When writing hypotheses there are three things that we need to know: (1) the parameter that we are testing (2) the direction of the test (non-directional, right-tailed or left-tailed), and (3) the value of the hypothesized parameter.

  • At this point we can write hypotheses for a single mean (\(\mu\)), paired means(\(\mu_d\)), a single proportion (\(p\)), the difference between two independent means (\(\mu_1-\mu_2\)), the difference between two proportions (\(p_1-p_2\)), a simple linear regression slope (\(\beta\)), and a correlation (\(\rho\)). 
  • The research question will give us the information necessary to determine if the test is two-tailed (e.g., "different from," "not equal to"), right-tailed (e.g., "greater than," "more than"), or left-tailed (e.g., "less than," "fewer than").
  • The research question will also give us the hypothesized parameter value. This is the number that goes in the hypothesis statements (i.e., \(\mu_0\) and \(p_0\)). For the difference between two groups, regression, and correlation, this value is typically 0.

Hypotheses are always written in terms of population parameters (e.g., \(p\) and \(\mu\)).  The tables below display all of the possible hypotheses for the parameters that we have learned thus far. Note that the null hypothesis always includes the equality (i.e., =).

Null Hypothesis

Null hypothesis is used to make decisions based on data and by using statistical tests. Null hypothesis is represented using H o and it states that there is no difference between the characteristics of two samples. Null hypothesis is generally a statement of no difference. The rejection of null hypothesis is equivalent to the acceptance of the alternate hypothesis.

Let us learn more about null hypotheses, tests for null hypotheses, the difference between null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis, with the help of examples, FAQs.

What Is Null Hypothesis?

Null hypothesis states that there is no significant difference between the observed characteristics across two sample sets. Null hypothesis states the observed population parameters or variables is the same across the samples. The null hypothesis states that there is no relationship between the sample parameters, the independent variable, and the dependent variable. The term null hypothesis is used in instances to mean that there is no differences in the two means, or that the difference is not so significant.

Null Hypothesis - Representation

If the experimental outcome is the same as the theoretical outcome then the null hypothesis holds good. But if there are any differences in the observed parameters across the samples then the null hypothesis is rejected, and we consider an alternate hypothesis. The rejection of the null hypothesis does not mean that there were flaws in the basic experimentation, but it sets the stage for further research. Generally, the strength of the evidence is tested against the null hypothesis.

Null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis are the two approaches used across statistics. The alternate hypothesis states that there is a significant difference between the parameters across the samples. The alternate hypothesis is the inverse of null hypothesis. An important reason to reject the null hypothesis and consider the alternate hypothesis is due to experimental or sampling errors.

Tests For Null Hypothesis

The two important approaches of statistical interference of null hypothesis are significance testing and hypothesis testing. The null hypothesis is a theoretical hypothesis and is based on insufficient evidence, which requires further testing to prove if it is true or false.

Significance Testing

The aim of significance testing is to provide evidence to reject the null hypothesis. If the difference is strong enough then reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternate hypothesis. The testing is designed to test the strength of the evidence against the hypothesis. The four important steps of significance testing are as follows.

  • First state the null and alternate hypotheses.
  • Calculate the test statistics.
  • Find the p-value.
  • Test the p-value with the α and decide if the null hypothesis should be rejected or accepted.

If the p-value is lesser than the significance level α, then the null hypothesis is rejected. And if the p-value is greater than the significance level α, then the null hypothesis is accepted.

  • Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis testing takes the parameters from the sample and makes a derivation about the population. A hypothesis is an educated guess about a sample, which can be tested either through an experiment or an observation. Initially, a tentative assumption is made about the sample in the form of a null hypothesis.

There are four steps to perform hypothesis testing. They are:

  • Identify the null hypothesis.
  • Define the null hypothesis statement.
  • Choose the test to be performed.
  • Accept the null hypothesis or the alternate hypothesis.

There are often errors in the process of testing the hypothesis. The two important errors observed in hypothesis testing is as follows.

  • Type - I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is actually true.
  • Type - II error is accepting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is actually false.

Difference Between Null Hypothesis And Alternate Hypothesis

The difference between null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis can be understood through the following points.

  • The opposite of the null hypothesis is the alternate hypothesis and it is the claim which is being proved by research to be true.
  • The null hypothesis states that the two samples of the population are the same, and the alternate hypothesis states that there is a significant difference between the two samples of the population.
  • The null hypothesis is designated as H o and the alternate hypothesis is designated as H a .
  • For the null hypothesis, the same means are assumed to be equal, and we have H 0 : µ 1 = µ 2. And for the alternate hypothesis, the sample means are unequal, and we have H a : µ 1 ≠ µ 2.
  • The observed population parameters and variables are the same across the samples, for a null hypothesis, but in an alternate hypothesis, there is a significant difference between the observed parameters and variables across the samples.

☛ Related Topics

The following topics help in a better understanding of the null hypothesis.

  • Probability and Statistics
  • Basic Statistics Formula
  • Sample Space

Examples on Null Hypothesis

Example 1: A medical experiment and trial is conducted to check if a particular drug can serve as the vaccine for Covid-19, and can prevent from occurrence of Corona. Write the null hypothesis and the alternate hypothesis for this situation.

The given situation refers to a possible new drug and its effectiveness of being a vaccine for Covid-19 or not. The null hypothesis (H o ) and alternate hypothesis (H a ) for this medical experiment is as follows.

  • H 0 : The use of the new drug is not helpful for the prevention of Covid-19.
  • H a : The use of the new drug serves as a vaccine and helps for the prevention of Covid-19.

Example 2: The teacher has prepared a set of important questions and informs the student that preparing these questions helps in scoring more than 60% marks in the board exams. Write the null hypothesis and the alternate hypothesis for this situation.

The given situation refers to the teacher who has claimed that her important questions helps to score more than 60% marks in the board exams. The null hypothesis(H o ) and alternate hypothesis(H a ) for this situation is as follows.

  • H o : The important questions given by the teacher does not really help the students to get a score of more than 60% in the board exams.
  • H a : The important questions given by the teacher is helpful for the students to score more than 60% marks in the board exams.

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Practice Questions on Null Hypothesis

Faqs on null hypothesis, what is null hypothesis in maths.

Null hypothesis is used in statistics and it states if there is any significant difference between the two samples. The acceptance of null hypothesis mean that there is no significant difference between the two samples. And the rejection of null hypothesis means that the two samples are different, and we need to accept the alternate hypothesis. The null hypothesis statement is represented as H 0 and the alternate hypothesis is represented as H a .

How Do You Test Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis is broadly tested using two methods. The null hypothesis can be tested using significance testing and hypothesis testing.Broadly the test for null hypothesis is performed across four stages. First the null hypothesis is identified, secondly the null hypothesis is defined. Next a suitable test is used to test the hypothesis, and finally either the null hypothesis or the alternate hypothesis is accepted.

How To Accept or Reject Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis is accepted or rejected based on the result of the hypothesis testing. The p value is found and the significance level is defined. If the p-value is lesser than the significance level α, then the null hypothesis is rejected. And if the p-value is greater than the significance level α, then the null hypothesis is accepted.

What Is the Difference Between Null Hypothesis And Alternate Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis states that there is no significant difference between the two samples, and the alternate hypothesis states that there is a significant difference between the two samples. The null hypothesis is referred using H o and the alternate hypothesis is referred using H a . As per null hypothesis the observed variables and parameters are the same across the samples, but as per alternate hypothesis there is a significant difference between the observed variables and parameters across the samples.

What Is Null Hypothesis Example?

A few quick examples of null hypothesis are as follows.

  • The salary of a person is independent of his profession, is an example of null hypothesis. And the salary is dependent on the profession of a person, is an alternate hypothesis.
  • The performance of the students in Maths from two different classes is a null hypothesis. And the performance of the students from each of the classes is different, is an example of alternate hypothesis.
  • The nutrient content of mango and a mango milk shake is equal and it can be taken as a null hypothesis. The test to prove the different nutrient content of the two is referred to as alternate hypothesis.
  • Math Article

Null Hypothesis

In mathematics, Statistics deals with the study of research and surveys on the numerical data. For taking surveys, we have to define the hypothesis. Generally, there are two types of hypothesis. One is a null hypothesis, and another is an alternative hypothesis .

In probability and statistics, the null hypothesis is a comprehensive statement or default status that there is zero happening or nothing happening. For example, there is no connection among groups or no association between two measured events. It is generally assumed here that the hypothesis is true until any other proof has been brought into the light to deny the hypothesis. Let us learn more here with definition, symbol, principle, types and example, in this article.

Table of contents:

  • Comparison with Alternative Hypothesis

Null Hypothesis Definition

The null hypothesis is a kind of hypothesis which explains the population parameter whose purpose is to test the validity of the given experimental data. This hypothesis is either rejected or not rejected based on the viability of the given population or sample . In other words, the null hypothesis is a hypothesis in which the sample observations results from the chance. It is said to be a statement in which the surveyors wants to examine the data. It is denoted by H 0 .

Null Hypothesis Symbol

In statistics, the null hypothesis is usually denoted by letter H with subscript ‘0’ (zero), such that H 0 . It is pronounced as H-null or H-zero or H-nought. At the same time, the alternative hypothesis expresses the observations determined by the non-random cause. It is represented by H 1 or H a .

Null Hypothesis Principle

The principle followed for null hypothesis testing is, collecting the data and determining the chances of a given set of data during the study on some random sample, assuming that the null hypothesis is true. In case if the given data does not face the expected null hypothesis, then the outcome will be quite weaker, and they conclude by saying that the given set of data does not provide strong evidence against the null hypothesis because of insufficient evidence. Finally, the researchers tend to reject that.

Null Hypothesis Formula

Here, the hypothesis test formulas are given below for reference.

The formula for the null hypothesis is:

H 0 :  p = p 0

The formula for the alternative hypothesis is:

H a = p >p 0 , < p 0 ≠ p 0

The formula for the test static is:

Remember that,  p 0  is the null hypothesis and p – hat is the sample proportion.

Also, read:

Types of Null Hypothesis

There are different types of hypothesis. They are:

Simple Hypothesis

It completely specifies the population distribution. In this method, the sampling distribution is the function of the sample size.

Composite Hypothesis

The composite hypothesis is one that does not completely specify the population distribution.

Exact Hypothesis

Exact hypothesis defines the exact value of the parameter. For example μ= 50

Inexact Hypothesis

This type of hypothesis does not define the exact value of the parameter. But it denotes a specific range or interval. For example 45< μ <60

Null Hypothesis Rejection

Sometimes the null hypothesis is rejected too. If this hypothesis is rejected means, that research could be invalid. Many researchers will neglect this hypothesis as it is merely opposite to the alternate hypothesis. It is a better practice to create a hypothesis and test it. The goal of researchers is not to reject the hypothesis. But it is evident that a perfect statistical model is always associated with the failure to reject the null hypothesis.

How do you Find the Null Hypothesis?

The null hypothesis says there is no correlation between the measured event (the dependent variable) and the independent variable. We don’t have to believe that the null hypothesis is true to test it. On the contrast, you will possibly assume that there is a connection between a set of variables ( dependent and independent).

When is Null Hypothesis Rejected?

The null hypothesis is rejected using the P-value approach. If the P-value is less than or equal to the α, there should be a rejection of the null hypothesis in favour of the alternate hypothesis. In case, if P-value is greater than α, the null hypothesis is not rejected.

Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis

Now, let us discuss the difference between the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

Null Hypothesis Examples

Here, some of the examples of the null hypothesis are given below. Go through the below ones to understand the concept of the null hypothesis in a better way.

If a medicine reduces the risk of cardiac stroke, then the null hypothesis should be “the medicine does not reduce the chance of cardiac stroke”. This testing can be performed by the administration of a drug to a certain group of people in a controlled way. If the survey shows that there is a significant change in the people, then the hypothesis is rejected.

Few more examples are:

1). Are there is 100% chance of getting affected by dengue?

Ans: There could be chances of getting affected by dengue but not 100%.

2). Do teenagers are using mobile phones more than grown-ups to access the internet?

Ans: Age has no limit on using mobile phones to access the internet.

3). Does having apple daily will not cause fever?

Ans: Having apple daily does not assure of not having fever, but increases the immunity to fight against such diseases.

4). Do the children more good in doing mathematical calculations than grown-ups?

Ans: Age has no effect on Mathematical skills.

In many common applications, the choice of the null hypothesis is not automated, but the testing and calculations may be automated. Also, the choice of the null hypothesis is completely based on previous experiences and inconsistent advice. The choice can be more complicated and based on the variety of applications and the diversity of the objectives. 

The main limitation for the choice of the null hypothesis is that the hypothesis suggested by the data is based on the reasoning which proves nothing. It means that if some hypothesis provides a summary of the data set, then there would be no value in the testing of the hypothesis on the particular set of data. 

Frequently Asked Questions on Null Hypothesis

What is meant by the null hypothesis.

In Statistics, a null hypothesis is a type of hypothesis which explains the population parameter whose purpose is to test the validity of the given experimental data.

What are the benefits of hypothesis testing?

Hypothesis testing is defined as a form of inferential statistics, which allows making conclusions from the entire population based on the sample representative.

When a null hypothesis is accepted and rejected?

The null hypothesis is either accepted or rejected in terms of the given data. If P-value is less than α, then the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis, and if the P-value is greater than α, then the null hypothesis is accepted in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

Why is the null hypothesis important?

The importance of the null hypothesis is that it provides an approximate description of the phenomena of the given data. It allows the investigators to directly test the relational statement in a research study.

How to accept or reject the null hypothesis in the chi-square test?

If the result of the chi-square test is bigger than the critical value in the table, then the data does not fit the model, which represents the rejection of the null hypothesis.

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What Is a Null Hypothesis?

How a null hypothesis works, the alternative hypothesis, examples of a null hypothesis.

  • Null Hypothesis and Investments
  • Null Hypothesis FAQs
  • Corporate Finance
  • Financial Ratios

Null Hypothesis: What Is It and How Is It Used in Investing?

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and behavioral finance. Adam received his master's in economics from The New School for Social Research and his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison in sociology. He is a CFA charterholder as well as holding FINRA Series 7, 55 & 63 licenses. He currently researches and teaches economic sociology and the social studies of finance at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.

null form hypothesis example

A null hypothesis is a type of statistical hypothesis that proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of given observations. Hypothesis testing is used to assess the credibility of a hypothesis by using sample data. Sometimes referred to simply as the "null," it is represented as H 0 .

The null hypothesis, also known as the conjecture, is used in quantitative analysis to test theories about markets, investing strategies, or economies to decide if an idea is true or false.

Key Takeaways

  • A null hypothesis is a type of conjecture in statistics that proposes that there is no difference between certain characteristics of a population or data-generating process.
  • The alternative hypothesis proposes that there is a difference.
  • Hypothesis testing provides a method to reject a null hypothesis within a certain confidence level.
  • If you can reject the null hypothesis, it provides support for the alternative hypothesis.
  • Null hypothesis testing is the basis of the principle of falsification in science.

Investopedia / Alex Dos Diaz

A null hypothesis is a type of conjecture in statistics that proposes that there is no difference between certain characteristics of a population or data-generating process. For example, a gambler may be interested in whether a game of chance is fair. If it is fair, then the expected earnings per play come to zero for both players. If the game is not fair, then the expected earnings are positive for one player and negative for the other. To test whether the game is fair, the gambler collects earnings data from many repetitions of the game, calculates the average earnings from these data, then tests the null hypothesis that the expected earnings are not different from zero.

If the average earnings from the sample data are sufficiently far from zero, then the gambler will reject the null hypothesis and conclude the alternative hypothesis—namely, that the expected earnings per play are different from zero. If the average earnings from the sample data are near zero, then the gambler will not reject the null hypothesis, concluding instead that the difference between the average from the data and zero is explainable by chance alone.

The null hypothesis assumes that any kind of difference between the chosen characteristics that you see in a set of data is due to chance. For example, if the expected earnings for the gambling game are truly equal to zero, then any difference between the average earnings in the data and zero is due to chance.

Analysts look to reject   the null hypothesis because doing so is a strong conclusion. This requires strong evidence in the form of an observed difference that is too large to be explained solely by chance. Failing to reject the null hypothesis—that the results are explainable by chance alone—is a weak conclusion because it allows that factors other than chance may be at work but may not be strong enough for the statistical test to detect them.

A null hypothesis can only be rejected, not proven.

An important point to note is that we are testing the null hypothesis because there is an element of doubt about its validity. Whatever information that is against the stated null hypothesis is captured in the alternative (alternate) hypothesis (H1).

For the above examples, the alternative hypothesis would be:

  • Students score an average that is  not  equal to seven.
  • The mean annual return of the mutual fund is  not  equal to 8% per year.

In other words, the alternative hypothesis is a direct contradiction of the null hypothesis.

Here is a simple example: A school principal claims that students in her school score an average of seven out of 10 in exams. The null hypothesis is that the population mean is 7.0. To test this null hypothesis, we record marks of, say, 30 students (sample) from the entire student population of the school (say 300) and calculate the mean of that sample.

We can then compare the (calculated) sample mean to the (hypothesized) population mean of 7.0 and attempt to reject the null hypothesis. (The null hypothesis here—that the population mean is 7.0—cannot be proved using the sample data. It can only be rejected.)

Take another example: The annual return of a particular  mutual fund  is claimed to be 8%. Assume that a mutual fund has been in existence for 20 years. The null hypothesis is that the mean return is 8% for the mutual fund. We take a random sample of annual returns of the mutual fund for, say, five years (sample) and calculate the sample mean. We then compare the (calculated) sample mean to the (claimed) population mean (8%) to test the null hypothesis.

For the above examples, null hypotheses are:

  • Example A : Students in the school score an average of seven out of 10 in exams.
  • Example B: Mean annual return of the mutual fund is 8% per year.

For the purposes of determining whether to reject the null hypothesis, the null hypothesis (abbreviated H 0 ) is assumed, for the sake of argument, to be true. Then the likely range of possible values of the calculated statistic (e.g., the average score on 30 students’ tests) is determined under this presumption (e.g., the range of plausible averages might range from 6.2 to 7.8 if the population mean is 7.0). Then, if the sample average is outside of this range, the null hypothesis is rejected. Otherwise, the difference is said to be “explainable by chance alone,” being within the range that is determined by chance alone.

How Null Hypothesis Testing Is Used in Investments

As an example related to financial markets, assume Alice sees that her investment strategy produces higher average returns than simply buying and holding a stock . The null hypothesis states that there is no difference between the two average returns, and Alice is inclined to believe this until she can conclude contradictory results.

Refuting the null hypothesis would require showing statistical significance, which can be found by a variety of tests. The alternative hypothesis would state that the investment strategy has a higher average return than a traditional buy-and-hold strategy.

One tool that can determine the statistical significance of the results is the p-value. A p-value represents the probability that a difference as large or larger than the observed difference between the two average returns could occur solely by chance.

A p-value that is less than or equal to 0.05 often indicates whether there is evidence against the null hypothesis. If Alice conducts one of these tests, such as a test using the normal model, resulting in a significant difference between her returns and the buy-and-hold returns (the p-value is less than or equal to 0.05), she can then reject the null hypothesis and conclude the alternative hypothesis.

How Is the Null Hypothesis Identified?

The analyst or researcher establishes a null hypothesis based on the research question or problem that they are trying to answer. Depending on the question, the null may be identified differently. For example, if the question is simply whether an effect exists (e.g., does X influence Y?) the null hypothesis could be H 0 : X = 0. If the question is instead, is X the same as Y, the H0 would be X = Y. If it is that the effect of X on Y is positive, H0 would be X > 0. If the resulting analysis shows an effect that is statistically significantly different from zero, the null can be rejected.

How Is Null Hypothesis Used in Finance?

In finance, a null hypothesis is used in quantitative analysis. A null hypothesis tests the premise of an investing strategy, the markets, or an economy to determine if it is true or false. For instance, an analyst may want to see if two stocks, ABC and XYZ, are closely correlated. The null hypothesis would be ABC ≠ XYZ.

How Are Statistical Hypotheses Tested?

Statistical hypotheses are tested by a four-step process . The first step is for the analyst to state the two hypotheses so that only one can be right. The next step is to formulate an analysis plan, which outlines how the data will be evaluated. The third step is to carry out the plan and physically analyze the sample data. The fourth and final step is to analyze the results and either reject the null hypothesis or claim that the observed differences are explainable by chance alone.

What Is an Alternative Hypothesis?

An alternative hypothesis is a direct contradiction of a null hypothesis. This means that if one of the two hypotheses is true, the other is false.

Sage Publishing. " Chapter 8: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing ," Pages 4–7.

Sage Publishing. " Chapter 8: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing ," Page 4.

Sage Publishing. " Chapter 8: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing ," Page 7.

null form hypothesis example

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When the Research Hypothesis Is the Null

Posted on May 13, 2024 by Miles Williams in Methods   Statistics  

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What should you do if your research hypothesis is the null hypothesis? In other words, how should you approach hypothesis testing if your theory predicts no effect between two variables? I and a coauthor are working on a paper where a couple of our proposed hypotheses look like this, and we got some push-back from a reviewer about it. This prompted me to go down a rabbit hole of journal articles and message boards to see how others handle this situation. I quickly found that I waded into a contentious issue that’s connected to a bigger philosophical debate about the merits of hypothesis testing in general and whether the null hypothesis in particular as a bench-mark for hypothesis testing is even logically sound.

There’s too much to unpack with this debate for me to cover in a single blog post (and I’m sure I’d get some of the key points wrong anyway if I tried). The main issue I want to explore in this post is the practical problem of how to approach testing a null research hypothesis. From an applied perspective, this is a tricky problem that raises issues with how we calculate and interpret p-values. Thankfully, there is a sound solution for the null research hypothesis which I explore in greater detail below. It’s called a two one-sided test, and it’s easy to implement once you know what it is.

The usual approach

Most of the time when doing research, a scientist usually has a research hypothesis that goes something like X has a positive effect on Y . For example, a political scientist might propose that a get-out-the-vote (GOTV) campaign ( X ) will increase voter turnout ( Y ).

The typical approach for testing this claim might be to estimate a regression model with voter turnout as the outcome and the GOTV campaign as the explanatory variable of interest:

Y = α + β X + ε

If the parameter β > 0, this would support the hypothesis that GOTV campaigns improve voter turnout. To test this hypothesis, in practice the researcher would actually test a different hypothesis that we call the null hypothesis. This is the hypothesis that says there is no true effect of GOTV campaigns on voter turnout.

By proposing and testing the null, we now have a point of reference for calculating a measure of uncertainty—that is, the probability of observing an empirical effect of a certain magnitude or greater if the null hypothesis is true. This probability is called a p-value, and by convention if it is less than 0.05 we say that we can reject the null hypothesis.

For the hypothetical regression model proposed above, to get this p-value we’d estimate β, then calculate its standard error, and then we’d take the ratio of the former to the latter giving us what’s called a t-statistic or t-value. Under the null hypothesis, the t-value has a known distribution which makes it really easy to map any t-value to a p-value. The below figure illustrates using a hypothetical data sample of size N = 200. You can see that the t-statistic’s distribution has a distinct bell shape centered around 0. You can also see the range of t-values in blue where if we observed them in our empirical data we’d fail to reject the null hypothesis at the p < 0.05 level. Values in gray are t-values that would lead us to reject the null hypothesis at this same level.

null form hypothesis example

When the null is the research hypothesis we want to test

There’s nothing new or special here. If you have even a basic stats background (particularly with Frequentist statistics), the conventional approach to hypothesis testing is pretty ubiquitous. Things get more tricky when our research hypothesis is that there is no effect. Say for a certain set of theoretical reasons we think that GOTV campaigns are basically useless at increasing voter turnout. If this argument is true, then if we estimate the following regression model, we’d expect β = 0.

The problem here is that our substantive research hypothesis is also the one that we want to try to find evidence against. We could just proceed like usual and just say that if we fail to reject the null this is evidence in support of our theory, but the problem with doing this is that failure to reject the null is not the same thing as finding support for the null hypothesis.

There are a few ideas in the literature for how we should approach this instead. Many of these approaches are Bayesian, but most of my research relies on Frequentist statistics, so these approaches were a no-go for me. However, there is one really simple approach that is consistent with the Frequentist paradigm: equivalence testing . The idea is simple. Propose some absolute effect size that is of minimal interest and then test whether an observed effect is different from it. This minimum effect is called the “smallest effect size of interest” (SESOI). I read about the approach in an article by Harms and Lakens (2018) in the Journal of Clinical and Translational Research .

Say, for example, that we deemed a t-value of +/-1.96 (the usual threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis) as extreme enough to constitute good evidence of a non-zero effect. We could make the appropriate adjustments to our t-distribution to identify a new range of t-values that would allow us to reject the hypothesis that an effect is non-zero. This is illustrated in the below figure. We can now see a range of t-values in the middle where we’d have t-values such that we could reject the non-zero hypothesis at the p < 0.05 level. This distribution looks like it’s been inverted relative to the usual null distribution. The reason is that with this approach what we’re doing is conducting a pair of alternative one-tailed tests. We’re testing both the hypothesis that β / se(β) - 1.96 > 0 and β / se(β) + 1.96 < 0. In the Harms and Lakens paper cited above, they call this approach two one-sided tests or TOST (I’m guessing this is pronounced “toast”).

null form hypothesis example

Something to pay attention to with this approach is that the observed t-statistic needs to be very small in absolute magnitude for us to reject the hypothesis of a non-zero effect. This means that the bar for testing a null research hypothesis is actually quite high. This is demonstrated using the following simulation in R. Using the {seerrr} package, I had R generate 1,000 random draws (each of size 200) for a pair of variables x and y where the former is a binary “treatment” and the latter is a random normal “outcome.” By design, there is no true causal relationship between these variables. Once I simulated the data, I then generated a set of estimates of the effect of x on y for each simulated dataset and collected the results in an object called sim_ests . I then visualized two metrics that that I calculated with the simulated results: (1) the rejection rate for the null hypothesis test and (2) the rejection rate for the two one-sided equivalence tests. As you can see, if we were to try to test a research null hypothesis the usual way, we’d expect to be able to fail to reject the null about 95% of the time. Conversely, if we were to use the two one-sided equivalence tests, we’d expect to reject the non-zero alternative hypothesis only about 25% of the time. I tested out a few additional simulations to see if a larger sample size would lead to improvements in power (not shown), but no dice.

null form hypothesis example

The two one-sided tests approach strikes me as a nice method when dealing with a null research hypothesis. It’s actually pretty easy to implement, too. The one downside is that this test is under-powered. If the null is true, it will only reject the alternative 25% of the time (though you could select a different non-zero alternative which would possibly give you more power). However, this isn’t all bad. The flip side of the coin is that this is a really conservative test, so if you can reject the alternative that puts you on solid rhetorical footing to show the data really do seem consistent with the null.

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  1. 15 Null Hypothesis Examples (2024)

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  2. Null hypothesis

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  3. Null Hypothesis

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  4. Examples of the Null Hypothesis

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  5. How to Write a Null Hypothesis (with Examples and Templates)

    null form hypothesis example

  6. Null Hypothesis Examples

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VIDEO

  1. Step 1. Form Null Hypothesis (H_0) and Alternative Hypothesis (H_1)

  2. Difference Between Null Hypothesis and Alternative Hypothesis

  3. What is Hypothesis? Example of Hypothesis [#shorts] [#statistics

  4. FA II Statistics/ Chapter no 7/ Testing of hypothesis/ Example no 7.1

  5. Steps to Write a Directional Hypothesis #mimtechnovate #hypothesis #researchmethodology

  6. Null Hypothesis and Alternate Hypothesis

COMMENTS

  1. How to Formulate a Null Hypothesis (With Examples)

    Examples of the Null Hypothesis. To write a null hypothesis, first start by asking a question. Rephrase that question in a form that assumes no relationship between the variables. In other words, assume a treatment has no effect. Write your hypothesis in a way that reflects this. Question.

  2. How to Write a Null Hypothesis (5 Examples)

    Whenever we perform a hypothesis test, we always write a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis, which take the following forms: H0 (Null Hypothesis): Population parameter =, ≤, ≥ some value. HA (Alternative Hypothesis): Population parameter <, >, ≠ some value. Note that the null hypothesis always contains the equal sign.

  3. Null Hypothesis: Definition, Rejecting & Examples

    When your sample contains sufficient evidence, you can reject the null and conclude that the effect is statistically significant. Statisticians often denote the null hypothesis as H 0 or H A.. Null Hypothesis H 0: No effect exists in the population.; Alternative Hypothesis H A: The effect exists in the population.; In every study or experiment, researchers assess an effect or relationship.

  4. Null & Alternative Hypotheses

    The null and alternative hypotheses offer competing answers to your research question. When the research question asks "Does the independent variable affect the dependent variable?": The null hypothesis ( H0) answers "No, there's no effect in the population.". The alternative hypothesis ( Ha) answers "Yes, there is an effect in the ...

  5. Null and Alternative Hypotheses

    The null and alternative hypotheses are two competing claims that researchers weigh evidence for and against using a statistical test: Null hypothesis (H0): There's no effect in the population. Alternative hypothesis (HA): There's an effect in the population. The effect is usually the effect of the independent variable on the dependent ...

  6. How to Write a Null Hypothesis (with Examples and Templates)

    Write a research null hypothesis as a statement that the studied variables have no relationship to each other, or that there's no difference between 2 groups. Write a statistical null hypothesis as a mathematical equation, such as. μ 1 = μ 2 {\displaystyle \mu _ {1}=\mu _ {2}} if you're comparing group means.

  7. 9.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses

    The actual test begins by considering two hypotheses.They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints. H 0, the —null hypothesis: a statement of no difference between sample means or proportions or no difference between a sample mean or proportion and a population mean or proportion. In other words, the difference equals 0.

  8. Null Hypothesis Examples

    An example of the null hypothesis is that light color has no effect on plant growth. The null hypothesis ... Then, rephrase the statement in a form that assumes there is no relationship between the variables or that a treatment has no effect. Example: A researcher tests whether a new drug speeds recovery time from a certain disease. The average ...

  9. Null hypothesis

    Basic definitions. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis are types of conjectures used in statistical tests to make statistical inferences, which are formal methods of reaching conclusions and separating scientific claims from statistical noise.. The statement being tested in a test of statistical significance is called the null hypothesis. . The test of significance is designed ...

  10. 8.3: The Null Hypothesis

    Using birthweight as an example, our null hypothesis takes the form: \[\mathrm{H}_{0}: \mu=7.47 \nonumber \] The number on the right hand side is our null hypothesis value that is informed by our research question. Notice that we are testing the value for \(μ\), the population parameter, NOT the sample statistic \(M\). This is for two reasons ...

  11. Examples of null and alternative hypotheses

    It is the opposite of your research hypothesis. The alternative hypothesis--that is, the research hypothesis--is the idea, phenomenon, observation that you want to prove. If you suspect that girls take longer to get ready for school than boys, then: Alternative: girls time > boys time. Null: girls time <= boys time.

  12. 9.1: Null and Alternative Hypotheses

    Review. In a hypothesis test, sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim.If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis, typically denoted with \(H_{0}\).The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise.

  13. 7.3: The Null Hypothesis

    7.3: The Null Hypothesis. The hypothesis that an apparent effect is due to chance is called the null hypothesis, written H0 H 0 ("H-naught"). In the Physicians' Reactions example, the null hypothesis is that in the population of physicians, the mean time expected to be spent with obese patients is equal to the mean time expected to be spent ...

  14. Null Hypothesis Definition and Examples, How to State

    Step 1: Figure out the hypothesis from the problem. The hypothesis is usually hidden in a word problem, and is sometimes a statement of what you expect to happen in the experiment. The hypothesis in the above question is "I expect the average recovery period to be greater than 8.2 weeks.". Step 2: Convert the hypothesis to math.

  15. Hypothesis Testing

    Table of contents. Step 1: State your null and alternate hypothesis. Step 2: Collect data. Step 3: Perform a statistical test. Step 4: Decide whether to reject or fail to reject your null hypothesis. Step 5: Present your findings. Other interesting articles. Frequently asked questions about hypothesis testing.

  16. How to Write a Strong Hypothesis

    5. Phrase your hypothesis in three ways. To identify the variables, you can write a simple prediction in if…then form. The first part of the sentence states the independent variable and the second part states the dependent variable. If a first-year student starts attending more lectures, then their exam scores will improve.

  17. Null and Alternative Hypotheses

    Concept Review. In a hypothesis test, sample data is evaluated in order to arrive at a decision about some type of claim.If certain conditions about the sample are satisfied, then the claim can be evaluated for a population. In a hypothesis test, we: Evaluate the null hypothesis, typically denoted with H 0.The null is not rejected unless the hypothesis test shows otherwise.

  18. 10.1

    10.1 - Setting the Hypotheses: Examples. A significance test examines whether the null hypothesis provides a plausible explanation of the data. The null hypothesis itself does not involve the data. It is a statement about a parameter (a numerical characteristic of the population). These population values might be proportions or means or ...

  19. 5.2

    5.2 - Writing Hypotheses. The first step in conducting a hypothesis test is to write the hypothesis statements that are going to be tested. For each test you will have a null hypothesis ( H 0) and an alternative hypothesis ( H a ). Null Hypothesis. The statement that there is not a difference in the population (s), denoted as H 0.

  20. Null Hypothesis

    Example 1: A medical experiment and trial is conducted to check if a particular drug can serve as the vaccine for Covid-19, and can prevent from occurrence of Corona. Write the null hypothesis and the alternate hypothesis for this situation. Solution: The given situation refers to a possible new drug and its effectiveness of being a vaccine for Covid-19 or not.

  21. Null Hypothesis

    Here, the hypothesis test formulas are given below for reference. The formula for the null hypothesis is: H 0 : p = p 0. The formula for the alternative hypothesis is: H a = p >p 0, < p 0 ≠ p 0. The formula for the test static is: Remember that, p 0 is the null hypothesis and p - hat is the sample proportion.

  22. Null-Hypothesis

    Null-hypothesis refers to a statistical approach where the sample value deems to be the same as the population data. In this condition, their statistical significance lies somewhere within the confidence level. In contrast, for an alternate hypothesis, the sample value differs from the population data.

  23. Null Hypothesis: What Is It and How Is It Used in Investing?

    Null Hypothesis: A null hypothesis is a type of hypothesis used in statistics that proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of given observations. The null hypothesis attempts to ...

  24. Establishing a Null Hypothesis in Business Studies

    Formulating your null hypothesis is about stating that there is no association or difference between the variables you're investigating. It's a declarative sentence that typically takes the form ...

  25. When the Research Hypothesis Is the Null

    Say, for example, that we deemed a t-value of +/-1.96 (the usual threshold for rejecting the null hypothesis) as extreme enough to constitute good evidence of a non-zero effect. We could make the appropriate adjustments to our t-distribution to identify a new range of t-values that would allow us to reject the hypothesis that an effect is non-zero.