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- Published: 14 May 2024
2023 summer warmth unparalleled over the past 2,000 years
- Jan Esper ORCID: orcid.org/0000-0003-3919-014X 1 , 2 ,
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Including an exceptionally warm Northern Hemisphere (NH) summer 1 ,2 , 2023 has been reported as the hottest year on record 3-5 . Contextualizing recent anthropogenic warming against past natural variability is nontrivial, however, because the sparse 19 th century meteorological records tend to be too warm 6 . Here, we combine observed and reconstructed June-August (JJA) surface air temperatures to show that 2023 was the warmest NH extra-tropical summer over the past 2000 years exceeding the 95% confidence range of natural climate variability by more than half a degree Celsius. Comparison of the 2023 JJA warming against the coldest reconstructed summer in 536 CE reveals a maximum range of pre-Anthropocene-to-2023 temperatures of 3.93°C. Although 2023 is consistent with a greenhouse gases-induced warming trend 7 that is amplified by an unfolding El Niño event 8 , this extreme emphasizes the urgency to implement international agreements for carbon emission reduction.
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Urban development pattern’s influence on extreme rainfall occurrences
The Arctic has warmed nearly four times faster than the globe since 1979
Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
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Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany
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Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno, Czech Republic
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Esper, J., Torbenson, M. & Büntgen, U. 2023 summer warmth unparalleled over the past 2,000 years. Nature (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-07512-y
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tutorial letter organisational research methods iop2601 semesters and department of industrial and organisational psychology please register on myunisa, Skip to document. University; High School. ... Research Methodology Exam Paper 2020. Course. Organisational Research Methodology (IOP2601) 67 Documents. Students shared 67 documents in this ...
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ANSWER QUESTION ONE IN SECTION A, TWO QUESTIONS FROM SECTION B AND ALL QUESTIONS IN SECTION C. IN VIEW OF SECTION C, ALL RESIT CANDIDATES ARE TO ANSWER AN ADDITIONAL QUESTION IN SECTION B. WRITE YOUR RESEARCH GROUP NUMBER OR RESIT (AS APPROPRIATE) ON THE COVER PAGE OF YOUR ANSWER BOOKLET. TIME ALLOWED: TWO AND HALF (2.5) HOURS.
Authors and Affiliations. Department of Geography, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany. Jan Esper & Max Torbenson. Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, Brno ...