components of research hypothesis

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The Craft of Writing a Strong Hypothesis

Table of Contents

Writing a hypothesis is one of the essential elements of a scientific research paper. It needs to be to the point, clearly communicating what your research is trying to accomplish. A blurry, drawn-out, or complexly-structured hypothesis can confuse your readers. Or worse, the editor and peer reviewers.

A captivating hypothesis is not too intricate. This blog will take you through the process so that, by the end of it, you have a better idea of how to convey your research paper's intent in just one sentence.

What is a Hypothesis?

The first step in your scientific endeavor, a hypothesis, is a strong, concise statement that forms the basis of your research. It is not the same as a thesis statement , which is a brief summary of your research paper .

The sole purpose of a hypothesis is to predict your paper's findings, data, and conclusion. It comes from a place of curiosity and intuition . When you write a hypothesis, you're essentially making an educated guess based on scientific prejudices and evidence, which is further proven or disproven through the scientific method.

The reason for undertaking research is to observe a specific phenomenon. A hypothesis, therefore, lays out what the said phenomenon is. And it does so through two variables, an independent and dependent variable.

The independent variable is the cause behind the observation, while the dependent variable is the effect of the cause. A good example of this is “mixing red and blue forms purple.” In this hypothesis, mixing red and blue is the independent variable as you're combining the two colors at your own will. The formation of purple is the dependent variable as, in this case, it is conditional to the independent variable.

Different Types of Hypotheses‌

Types of hypotheses

Some would stand by the notion that there are only two types of hypotheses: a Null hypothesis and an Alternative hypothesis. While that may have some truth to it, it would be better to fully distinguish the most common forms as these terms come up so often, which might leave you out of context.

Apart from Null and Alternative, there are Complex, Simple, Directional, Non-Directional, Statistical, and Associative and casual hypotheses. They don't necessarily have to be exclusive, as one hypothesis can tick many boxes, but knowing the distinctions between them will make it easier for you to construct your own.

1. Null hypothesis

A null hypothesis proposes no relationship between two variables. Denoted by H 0 , it is a negative statement like “Attending physiotherapy sessions does not affect athletes' on-field performance.” Here, the author claims physiotherapy sessions have no effect on on-field performances. Even if there is, it's only a coincidence.

2. Alternative hypothesis

Considered to be the opposite of a null hypothesis, an alternative hypothesis is donated as H1 or Ha. It explicitly states that the dependent variable affects the independent variable. A good  alternative hypothesis example is “Attending physiotherapy sessions improves athletes' on-field performance.” or “Water evaporates at 100 °C. ” The alternative hypothesis further branches into directional and non-directional.

• Directional hypothesis: A hypothesis that states the result would be either positive or negative is called directional hypothesis. It accompanies H1 with either the ‘<' or ‘>' sign.
• Non-directional hypothesis: A non-directional hypothesis only claims an effect on the dependent variable. It does not clarify whether the result would be positive or negative. The sign for a non-directional hypothesis is ‘≠.'

3. Simple hypothesis

A simple hypothesis is a statement made to reflect the relation between exactly two variables. One independent and one dependent. Consider the example, “Smoking is a prominent cause of lung cancer." The dependent variable, lung cancer, is dependent on the independent variable, smoking.

4. Complex hypothesis

In contrast to a simple hypothesis, a complex hypothesis implies the relationship between multiple independent and dependent variables. For instance, “Individuals who eat more fruits tend to have higher immunity, lesser cholesterol, and high metabolism.” The independent variable is eating more fruits, while the dependent variables are higher immunity, lesser cholesterol, and high metabolism.

5. Associative and casual hypothesis

Associative and casual hypotheses don't exhibit how many variables there will be. They define the relationship between the variables. In an associative hypothesis, changing any one variable, dependent or independent, affects others. In a casual hypothesis, the independent variable directly affects the dependent.

6. Empirical hypothesis

Also referred to as the working hypothesis, an empirical hypothesis claims a theory's validation via experiments and observation. This way, the statement appears justifiable and different from a wild guess.

Say, the hypothesis is “Women who take iron tablets face a lesser risk of anemia than those who take vitamin B12.” This is an example of an empirical hypothesis where the researcher  the statement after assessing a group of women who take iron tablets and charting the findings.

7. Statistical hypothesis

The point of a statistical hypothesis is to test an already existing hypothesis by studying a population sample. Hypothesis like “44% of the Indian population belong in the age group of 22-27.” leverage evidence to prove or disprove a particular statement.

Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis

Writing a hypothesis is essential as it can make or break your research for you. That includes your chances of getting published in a journal. So when you're designing one, keep an eye out for these pointers:

• A research hypothesis has to be simple yet clear to look justifiable enough.
• It has to be testable — your research would be rendered pointless if too far-fetched into reality or limited by technology.
• It has to be precise about the results —what you are trying to do and achieve through it should come out in your hypothesis.
• A research hypothesis should be self-explanatory, leaving no doubt in the reader's mind.
• If you are developing a relational hypothesis, you need to include the variables and establish an appropriate relationship among them.
• A hypothesis must keep and reflect the scope for further investigations and experiments.

Separating a Hypothesis from a Prediction

Outside of academia, hypothesis and prediction are often used interchangeably. In research writing, this is not only confusing but also incorrect. And although a hypothesis and prediction are guesses at their core, there are many differences between them.

A hypothesis is an educated guess or even a testable prediction validated through research. It aims to analyze the gathered evidence and facts to define a relationship between variables and put forth a logical explanation behind the nature of events.

Predictions are assumptions or expected outcomes made without any backing evidence. They are more fictionally inclined regardless of where they originate from.

For this reason, a hypothesis holds much more weight than a prediction. It sticks to the scientific method rather than pure guesswork. "Planets revolve around the Sun." is an example of a hypothesis as it is previous knowledge and observed trends. Additionally, we can test it through the scientific method.

Whereas "COVID-19 will be eradicated by 2030." is a prediction. Even though it results from past trends, we can't prove or disprove it. So, the only way this gets validated is to wait and watch if COVID-19 cases end by 2030.

Finally, How to Write a Hypothesis

Quick tips on writing a hypothesis

1.  Be clear about your research question

A hypothesis should instantly address the research question or the problem statement. To do so, you need to ask a question. Understand the constraints of your undertaken research topic and then formulate a simple and topic-centric problem. Only after that can you develop a hypothesis and further test for evidence.

2. Carry out a recce

Once you have your research's foundation laid out, it would be best to conduct preliminary research. Go through previous theories, academic papers, data, and experiments before you start curating your research hypothesis. It will give you an idea of your hypothesis's viability or originality.

Making use of references from relevant research papers helps draft a good research hypothesis. SciSpace Discover offers a repository of over 270 million research papers to browse through and gain a deeper understanding of related studies on a particular topic. Additionally, you can use SciSpace Copilot , your AI research assistant, for reading any lengthy research paper and getting a more summarized context of it. A hypothesis can be formed after evaluating many such summarized research papers. Copilot also offers explanations for theories and equations, explains paper in simplified version, allows you to highlight any text in the paper or clip math equations and tables and provides a deeper, clear understanding of what is being said. This can improve the hypothesis by helping you identify potential research gaps.

3. Create a 3-dimensional hypothesis

Variables are an essential part of any reasonable hypothesis. So, identify your independent and dependent variable(s) and form a correlation between them. The ideal way to do this is to write the hypothetical assumption in the ‘if-then' form. If you use this form, make sure that you state the predefined relationship between the variables.

In another way, you can choose to present your hypothesis as a comparison between two variables. Here, you must specify the difference you expect to observe in the results.

4. Write the first draft

Now that everything is in place, it's time to write your hypothesis. For starters, create the first draft. In this version, write what you expect to find from your research.

Clearly separate your independent and dependent variables and the link between them. Don't fixate on syntax at this stage. The goal is to ensure your hypothesis addresses the issue.

5. Proof your hypothesis

After preparing the first draft of your hypothesis, you need to inspect it thoroughly. It should tick all the boxes, like being concise, straightforward, relevant, and accurate. Your final hypothesis has to be well-structured as well.

Research projects are an exciting and crucial part of being a scholar. And once you have your research question, you need a great hypothesis to begin conducting research. Thus, knowing how to write a hypothesis is very important.

Now that you have a firmer grasp on what a good hypothesis constitutes, the different kinds there are, and what process to follow, you will find it much easier to write your hypothesis, which ultimately helps your research.

Now it's easier than ever to streamline your research workflow with SciSpace Discover . Its integrated, comprehensive end-to-end platform for research allows scholars to easily discover, write and publish their research and fosters collaboration.

It includes everything you need, including a repository of over 270 million research papers across disciplines, SEO-optimized summaries and public profiles to show your expertise and experience.

If you found these tips on writing a research hypothesis useful, head over to our blog on Statistical Hypothesis Testing to learn about the top researchers, papers, and institutions in this domain.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

1. what is the definition of hypothesis.

According to the Oxford dictionary, a hypothesis is defined as “An idea or explanation of something that is based on a few known facts, but that has not yet been proved to be true or correct”.

2. What is an example of hypothesis?

The hypothesis is a statement that proposes a relationship between two or more variables. An example: "If we increase the number of new users who join our platform by 25%, then we will see an increase in revenue."

3. What is an example of null hypothesis?

A null hypothesis is a statement that there is no relationship between two variables. The null hypothesis is written as H0. The null hypothesis states that there is no effect. For example, if you're studying whether or not a particular type of exercise increases strength, your null hypothesis will be "there is no difference in strength between people who exercise and people who don't."

4. What are the types of research?

• Fundamental research

• Applied research

• Qualitative research

• Quantitative research

• Mixed research

• Exploratory research

• Longitudinal research

• Cross-sectional research

• Field research

• Laboratory research

• Fixed research

• Flexible research

• Action research

• Policy research

• Classification research

• Comparative research

• Causal research

• Inductive research

• Deductive research

5. How to write a hypothesis?

• Your hypothesis should be able to predict the relationship and outcome.

• Avoid wordiness by keeping it simple and brief.

• Your hypothesis should contain observable and testable outcomes.

• Your hypothesis should be relevant to the research question.

6. What are the 2 types of hypothesis?

• Null hypotheses are used to test the claim that "there is no difference between two groups of data".

• Alternative hypotheses test the claim that "there is a difference between two data groups".

7. Difference between research question and research hypothesis?

A research question is a broad, open-ended question you will try to answer through your research. A hypothesis is a statement based on prior research or theory that you expect to be true due to your study. Example - Research question: What are the factors that influence the adoption of the new technology? Research hypothesis: There is a positive relationship between age, education and income level with the adoption of the new technology.

8. What is plural for hypothesis?

The plural of hypothesis is hypotheses. Here's an example of how it would be used in a statement, "Numerous well-considered hypotheses are presented in this part, and they are supported by tables and figures that are well-illustrated."

9. What is the red queen hypothesis?

The red queen hypothesis in evolutionary biology states that species must constantly evolve to avoid extinction because if they don't, they will be outcompeted by other species that are evolving. Leigh Van Valen first proposed it in 1973; since then, it has been tested and substantiated many times.

10. Who is known as the father of null hypothesis?

The father of the null hypothesis is Sir Ronald Fisher. He published a paper in 1925 that introduced the concept of null hypothesis testing, and he was also the first to use the term itself.

11. When to reject null hypothesis?

You need to find a significant difference between your two populations to reject the null hypothesis. You can determine that by running statistical tests such as an independent sample t-test or a dependent sample t-test. You should reject the null hypothesis if the p-value is less than 0.05.

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What is a Research Hypothesis: How to Write it, Types, and Examples

Any research begins with a research question and a research hypothesis . A research question alone may not suffice to design the experiment(s) needed to answer it. A hypothesis is central to the scientific method. But what is a hypothesis ? A hypothesis is a testable statement that proposes a possible explanation to a phenomenon, and it may include a prediction. Next, you may ask what is a research hypothesis ? Simply put, a research hypothesis is a prediction or educated guess about the relationship between the variables that you want to investigate.  

It is important to be thorough when developing your research hypothesis. Shortcomings in the framing of a hypothesis can affect the study design and the results. A better understanding of the research hypothesis definition and characteristics of a good hypothesis will make it easier for you to develop your own hypothesis for your research. Let’s dive in to know more about the types of research hypothesis , how to write a research hypothesis , and some research hypothesis examples .  

Table of Contents

What is a hypothesis ?  

A hypothesis is based on the existing body of knowledge in a study area. Framed before the data are collected, a hypothesis states the tentative relationship between independent and dependent variables, along with a prediction of the outcome.  

What is a research hypothesis ?  

Young researchers starting out their journey are usually brimming with questions like “ What is a hypothesis ?” “ What is a research hypothesis ?” “How can I write a good research hypothesis ?”   

A research hypothesis is a statement that proposes a possible explanation for an observable phenomenon or pattern. It guides the direction of a study and predicts the outcome of the investigation. A research hypothesis is testable, i.e., it can be supported or disproven through experimentation or observation.     

Characteristics of a good hypothesis  

Here are the characteristics of a good hypothesis :  

• Clearly formulated and free of language errors and ambiguity  
• Concise and not unnecessarily verbose  
• Has clearly defined variables  
• Testable and stated in a way that allows for it to be disproven  
• Can be tested using a research design that is feasible, ethical, and practical   
• Specific and relevant to the research problem  
• Rooted in a thorough literature search  
• Can generate new knowledge or understanding.  

How to create an effective research hypothesis  

A study begins with the formulation of a research question. A researcher then performs background research. This background information forms the basis for building a good research hypothesis . The researcher then performs experiments, collects, and analyzes the data, interprets the findings, and ultimately, determines if the findings support or negate the original hypothesis.  

Let’s look at each step for creating an effective, testable, and good research hypothesis :  

• Identify a research problem or question: Start by identifying a specific research problem.   
• Review the literature: Conduct an in-depth review of the existing literature related to the research problem to grasp the current knowledge and gaps in the field.   
• Formulate a clear and testable hypothesis : Based on the research question, use existing knowledge to form a clear and testable hypothesis . The hypothesis should state a predicted relationship between two or more variables that can be measured and manipulated. Improve the original draft till it is clear and meaningful.  
• State the null hypothesis: The null hypothesis is a statement that there is no relationship between the variables you are studying.   
• Define the population and sample: Clearly define the population you are studying and the sample you will be using for your research.  
• Select appropriate methods for testing the hypothesis: Select appropriate research methods, such as experiments, surveys, or observational studies, which will allow you to test your research hypothesis .  

Remember that creating a research hypothesis is an iterative process, i.e., you might have to revise it based on the data you collect. You may need to test and reject several hypotheses before answering the research problem.  

How to write a research hypothesis  

When you start writing a research hypothesis , you use an “if–then” statement format, which states the predicted relationship between two or more variables. Clearly identify the independent variables (the variables being changed) and the dependent variables (the variables being measured), as well as the population you are studying. Review and revise your hypothesis as needed.  

An example of a research hypothesis in this format is as follows:  

“ If [athletes] follow [cold water showers daily], then their [endurance] increases.”  

Population: athletes  

Independent variable: daily cold water showers  

Dependent variable: endurance  

You may have understood the characteristics of a good hypothesis . But note that a research hypothesis is not always confirmed; a researcher should be prepared to accept or reject the hypothesis based on the study findings.  

Research hypothesis checklist  

Following from above, here is a 10-point checklist for a good research hypothesis :  

• Testable: A research hypothesis should be able to be tested via experimentation or observation.  
• Specific: A research hypothesis should clearly state the relationship between the variables being studied.  
• Based on prior research: A research hypothesis should be based on existing knowledge and previous research in the field.  
• Falsifiable: A research hypothesis should be able to be disproven through testing.  
• Clear and concise: A research hypothesis should be stated in a clear and concise manner.  
• Logical: A research hypothesis should be logical and consistent with current understanding of the subject.  
• Relevant: A research hypothesis should be relevant to the research question and objectives.  
• Feasible: A research hypothesis should be feasible to test within the scope of the study.  
• Reflects the population: A research hypothesis should consider the population or sample being studied.  
• Uncomplicated: A good research hypothesis is written in a way that is easy for the target audience to understand.  

By following this research hypothesis checklist , you will be able to create a research hypothesis that is strong, well-constructed, and more likely to yield meaningful results.  

Types of research hypothesis  

Different types of research hypothesis are used in scientific research:  

1. Null hypothesis:

A null hypothesis states that there is no change in the dependent variable due to changes to the independent variable. This means that the results are due to chance and are not significant. A null hypothesis is denoted as H0 and is stated as the opposite of what the alternative hypothesis states.   

Example: “ The newly identified virus is not zoonotic .”  

2. Alternative hypothesis:

This states that there is a significant difference or relationship between the variables being studied. It is denoted as H1 or Ha and is usually accepted or rejected in favor of the null hypothesis.  

Example: “ The newly identified virus is zoonotic .”  

3. Directional hypothesis :

This specifies the direction of the relationship or difference between variables; therefore, it tends to use terms like increase, decrease, positive, negative, more, or less.   

Example: “ The inclusion of intervention X decreases infant mortality compared to the original treatment .”   

4. Non-directional hypothesis:

While it does not predict the exact direction or nature of the relationship between the two variables, a non-directional hypothesis states the existence of a relationship or difference between variables but not the direction, nature, or magnitude of the relationship. A non-directional hypothesis may be used when there is no underlying theory or when findings contradict previous research.  

Example, “ Cats and dogs differ in the amount of affection they express .”  

5. Simple hypothesis :

A simple hypothesis only predicts the relationship between one independent and another independent variable.  

Example: “ Applying sunscreen every day slows skin aging .”  

6 . Complex hypothesis :

A complex hypothesis states the relationship or difference between two or more independent and dependent variables.   

Example: “ Applying sunscreen every day slows skin aging, reduces sun burn, and reduces the chances of skin cancer .” (Here, the three dependent variables are slowing skin aging, reducing sun burn, and reducing the chances of skin cancer.)  

7. Associative hypothesis:  

An associative hypothesis states that a change in one variable results in the change of the other variable. The associative hypothesis defines interdependency between variables.  

Example: “ There is a positive association between physical activity levels and overall health .”  

8 . Causal hypothesis:

A causal hypothesis proposes a cause-and-effect interaction between variables.  

Example: “ Long-term alcohol use causes liver damage .”  

Note that some of the types of research hypothesis mentioned above might overlap. The types of hypothesis chosen will depend on the research question and the objective of the study.  

Research hypothesis examples  

Here are some good research hypothesis examples :  

“The use of a specific type of therapy will lead to a reduction in symptoms of depression in individuals with a history of major depressive disorder.”  

“Providing educational interventions on healthy eating habits will result in weight loss in overweight individuals.”  

“Plants that are exposed to certain types of music will grow taller than those that are not exposed to music.”  

“The use of the plant growth regulator X will lead to an increase in the number of flowers produced by plants.”  

Characteristics that make a research hypothesis weak are unclear variables, unoriginality, being too general or too vague, and being untestable. A weak hypothesis leads to weak research and improper methods.   

Some bad research hypothesis examples (and the reasons why they are “bad”) are as follows:  

“This study will show that treatment X is better than any other treatment . ” (This statement is not testable, too broad, and does not consider other treatments that may be effective.)  

“This study will prove that this type of therapy is effective for all mental disorders . ” (This statement is too broad and not testable as mental disorders are complex and different disorders may respond differently to different types of therapy.)  

“Plants can communicate with each other through telepathy . ” (This statement is not testable and lacks a scientific basis.)  

Importance of testable hypothesis  

If a research hypothesis is not testable, the results will not prove or disprove anything meaningful. The conclusions will be vague at best. A testable hypothesis helps a researcher focus on the study outcome and understand the implication of the question and the different variables involved. A testable hypothesis helps a researcher make precise predictions based on prior research.  

To be considered testable, there must be a way to prove that the hypothesis is true or false; further, the results of the hypothesis must be reproducible.  

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) on research hypothesis  

1. What is the difference between research question and research hypothesis ?  

A research question defines the problem and helps outline the study objective(s). It is an open-ended statement that is exploratory or probing in nature. Therefore, it does not make predictions or assumptions. It helps a researcher identify what information to collect. A research hypothesis , however, is a specific, testable prediction about the relationship between variables. Accordingly, it guides the study design and data analysis approach.

2. When to reject null hypothesis ?

A null hypothesis should be rejected when the evidence from a statistical test shows that it is unlikely to be true. This happens when the test statistic (e.g., p -value) is less than the defined significance level (e.g., 0.05). Rejecting the null hypothesis does not necessarily mean that the alternative hypothesis is true; it simply means that the evidence found is not compatible with the null hypothesis.  

3. How can I be sure my hypothesis is testable?  

A testable hypothesis should be specific and measurable, and it should state a clear relationship between variables that can be tested with data. To ensure that your hypothesis is testable, consider the following:  

• Clearly define the key variables in your hypothesis. You should be able to measure and manipulate these variables in a way that allows you to test the hypothesis.  
• The hypothesis should predict a specific outcome or relationship between variables that can be measured or quantified.   
• You should be able to collect the necessary data within the constraints of your study.  
• It should be possible for other researchers to replicate your study, using the same methods and variables.   
• Your hypothesis should be testable by using appropriate statistical analysis techniques, so you can draw conclusions, and make inferences about the population from the sample data.  
• The hypothesis should be able to be disproven or rejected through the collection of data.  

4. How do I revise my research hypothesis if my data does not support it?  

If your data does not support your research hypothesis , you will need to revise it or develop a new one. You should examine your data carefully and identify any patterns or anomalies, re-examine your research question, and/or revisit your theory to look for any alternative explanations for your results. Based on your review of the data, literature, and theories, modify your research hypothesis to better align it with the results you obtained. Use your revised hypothesis to guide your research design and data collection. It is important to remain objective throughout the process.  

5. I am performing exploratory research. Do I need to formulate a research hypothesis?  

As opposed to “confirmatory” research, where a researcher has some idea about the relationship between the variables under investigation, exploratory research (or hypothesis-generating research) looks into a completely new topic about which limited information is available. Therefore, the researcher will not have any prior hypotheses. In such cases, a researcher will need to develop a post-hoc hypothesis. A post-hoc research hypothesis is generated after these results are known.  

6. How is a research hypothesis different from a research question?

A research question is an inquiry about a specific topic or phenomenon, typically expressed as a question. It seeks to explore and understand a particular aspect of the research subject. In contrast, a research hypothesis is a specific statement or prediction that suggests an expected relationship between variables. It is formulated based on existing knowledge or theories and guides the research design and data analysis.

7. Can a research hypothesis change during the research process?

Yes, research hypotheses can change during the research process. As researchers collect and analyze data, new insights and information may emerge that require modification or refinement of the initial hypotheses. This can be due to unexpected findings, limitations in the original hypotheses, or the need to explore additional dimensions of the research topic. Flexibility is crucial in research, allowing for adaptation and adjustment of hypotheses to align with the evolving understanding of the subject matter.

8. How many hypotheses should be included in a research study?

The number of research hypotheses in a research study varies depending on the nature and scope of the research. It is not necessary to have multiple hypotheses in every study. Some studies may have only one primary hypothesis, while others may have several related hypotheses. The number of hypotheses should be determined based on the research objectives, research questions, and the complexity of the research topic. It is important to ensure that the hypotheses are focused, testable, and directly related to the research aims.

9. Can research hypotheses be used in qualitative research?

Yes, research hypotheses can be used in qualitative research, although they are more commonly associated with quantitative research. In qualitative research, hypotheses may be formulated as tentative or exploratory statements that guide the investigation. Instead of testing hypotheses through statistical analysis, qualitative researchers may use the hypotheses to guide data collection and analysis, seeking to uncover patterns, themes, or relationships within the qualitative data. The emphasis in qualitative research is often on generating insights and understanding rather than confirming or rejecting specific research hypotheses through statistical testing.

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How to Write a Great Hypothesis

Hypothesis Definition, Format, Examples, and Tips

Kendra Cherry, MS, is a psychosocial rehabilitation specialist, psychology educator, and author of the "Everything Psychology Book."

Amy Morin, LCSW, is a psychotherapist and international bestselling author. Her books, including "13 Things Mentally Strong People Don't Do," have been translated into more than 40 languages. Her TEDx talk,  "The Secret of Becoming Mentally Strong," is one of the most viewed talks of all time.

Verywell / Alex Dos Diaz

• The Scientific Method

Hypothesis Format

Falsifiability of a hypothesis.

• Operationalization

Hypothesis Types

Hypotheses examples.

• Collecting Data

A hypothesis is a tentative statement about the relationship between two or more variables. It is a specific, testable prediction about what you expect to happen in a study. It is a preliminary answer to your question that helps guide the research process.

Consider a study designed to examine the relationship between sleep deprivation and test performance. The hypothesis might be: "This study is designed to assess the hypothesis that sleep-deprived people will perform worse on a test than individuals who are not sleep-deprived."

At a Glance

A hypothesis is crucial to scientific research because it offers a clear direction for what the researchers are looking to find. This allows them to design experiments to test their predictions and add to our scientific knowledge about the world. This article explores how a hypothesis is used in psychology research, how to write a good hypothesis, and the different types of hypotheses you might use.

The Hypothesis in the Scientific Method

In the scientific method , whether it involves research in psychology, biology, or some other area, a hypothesis represents what the researchers think will happen in an experiment. The scientific method involves the following steps:

• Forming a question
• Performing background research
• Creating a hypothesis
• Designing an experiment
• Collecting data
• Analyzing the results
• Drawing conclusions
• Communicating the results

The hypothesis is a prediction, but it involves more than a guess. Most of the time, the hypothesis begins with a question which is then explored through background research. At this point, researchers then begin to develop a testable hypothesis.

Unless you are creating an exploratory study, your hypothesis should always explain what you  expect  to happen.

In a study exploring the effects of a particular drug, the hypothesis might be that researchers expect the drug to have some type of effect on the symptoms of a specific illness. In psychology, the hypothesis might focus on how a certain aspect of the environment might influence a particular behavior.

Remember, a hypothesis does not have to be correct. While the hypothesis predicts what the researchers expect to see, the goal of the research is to determine whether this guess is right or wrong. When conducting an experiment, researchers might explore numerous factors to determine which ones might contribute to the ultimate outcome.

In many cases, researchers may find that the results of an experiment  do not  support the original hypothesis. When writing up these results, the researchers might suggest other options that should be explored in future studies.

In many cases, researchers might draw a hypothesis from a specific theory or build on previous research. For example, prior research has shown that stress can impact the immune system. So a researcher might hypothesize: "People with high-stress levels will be more likely to contract a common cold after being exposed to the virus than people who have low-stress levels."

In other instances, researchers might look at commonly held beliefs or folk wisdom. "Birds of a feather flock together" is one example of folk adage that a psychologist might try to investigate. The researcher might pose a specific hypothesis that "People tend to select romantic partners who are similar to them in interests and educational level."

Elements of a Good Hypothesis

So how do you write a good hypothesis? When trying to come up with a hypothesis for your research or experiments, ask yourself the following questions:

• Is your hypothesis based on your research on a topic?
• Can your hypothesis be tested?
• Does your hypothesis include independent and dependent variables?

Before you come up with a specific hypothesis, spend some time doing background research. Once you have completed a literature review, start thinking about potential questions you still have. Pay attention to the discussion section in the  journal articles you read . Many authors will suggest questions that still need to be explored.

How to Formulate a Good Hypothesis

To form a hypothesis, you should take these steps:

• Collect as many observations about a topic or problem as you can.
• Evaluate these observations and look for possible causes of the problem.
• Create a list of possible explanations that you might want to explore.
• After you have developed some possible hypotheses, think of ways that you could confirm or disprove each hypothesis through experimentation. This is known as falsifiability.

In the scientific method ,  falsifiability is an important part of any valid hypothesis. In order to test a claim scientifically, it must be possible that the claim could be proven false.

Students sometimes confuse the idea of falsifiability with the idea that it means that something is false, which is not the case. What falsifiability means is that  if  something was false, then it is possible to demonstrate that it is false.

One of the hallmarks of pseudoscience is that it makes claims that cannot be refuted or proven false.

The Importance of Operational Definitions

A variable is a factor or element that can be changed and manipulated in ways that are observable and measurable. However, the researcher must also define how the variable will be manipulated and measured in the study.

Operational definitions are specific definitions for all relevant factors in a study. This process helps make vague or ambiguous concepts detailed and measurable.

For example, a researcher might operationally define the variable " test anxiety " as the results of a self-report measure of anxiety experienced during an exam. A "study habits" variable might be defined by the amount of studying that actually occurs as measured by time.

These precise descriptions are important because many things can be measured in various ways. Clearly defining these variables and how they are measured helps ensure that other researchers can replicate your results.

Replicability

One of the basic principles of any type of scientific research is that the results must be replicable.

Replication means repeating an experiment in the same way to produce the same results. By clearly detailing the specifics of how the variables were measured and manipulated, other researchers can better understand the results and repeat the study if needed.

Some variables are more difficult than others to define. For example, how would you operationally define a variable such as aggression ? For obvious ethical reasons, researchers cannot create a situation in which a person behaves aggressively toward others.

To measure this variable, the researcher must devise a measurement that assesses aggressive behavior without harming others. The researcher might utilize a simulated task to measure aggressiveness in this situation.

Hypothesis Checklist

• Does your hypothesis focus on something that you can actually test?
• Does your hypothesis include both an independent and dependent variable?
• Can you manipulate the variables?
• Can your hypothesis be tested without violating ethical standards?

The hypothesis you use will depend on what you are investigating and hoping to find. Some of the main types of hypotheses that you might use include:

• Simple hypothesis : This type of hypothesis suggests there is a relationship between one independent variable and one dependent variable.
• Complex hypothesis : This type suggests a relationship between three or more variables, such as two independent and dependent variables.
• Null hypothesis : This hypothesis suggests no relationship exists between two or more variables.
• Alternative hypothesis : This hypothesis states the opposite of the null hypothesis.
• Statistical hypothesis : This hypothesis uses statistical analysis to evaluate a representative population sample and then generalizes the findings to the larger group.
• Logical hypothesis : This hypothesis assumes a relationship between variables without collecting data or evidence.

A hypothesis often follows a basic format of "If {this happens} then {this will happen}." One way to structure your hypothesis is to describe what will happen to the  dependent variable  if you change the  independent variable .

The basic format might be: "If {these changes are made to a certain independent variable}, then we will observe {a change in a specific dependent variable}."

A few examples of simple hypotheses:

• "Students who eat breakfast will perform better on a math exam than students who do not eat breakfast."
• "Students who experience test anxiety before an English exam will get lower scores than students who do not experience test anxiety."​
• "Motorists who talk on the phone while driving will be more likely to make errors on a driving course than those who do not talk on the phone."
• "Children who receive a new reading intervention will have higher reading scores than students who do not receive the intervention."

Examples of a complex hypothesis include:

• "People with high-sugar diets and sedentary activity levels are more likely to develop depression."
• "Younger people who are regularly exposed to green, outdoor areas have better subjective well-being than older adults who have limited exposure to green spaces."

Examples of a null hypothesis include:

• "There is no difference in anxiety levels between people who take St. John's wort supplements and those who do not."
• "There is no difference in scores on a memory recall task between children and adults."
• "There is no difference in aggression levels between children who play first-person shooter games and those who do not."

Examples of an alternative hypothesis:

• "People who take St. John's wort supplements will have less anxiety than those who do not."
• "Adults will perform better on a memory task than children."
• "Children who play first-person shooter games will show higher levels of aggression than children who do not." 

Collecting Data on Your Hypothesis

Once a researcher has formed a testable hypothesis, the next step is to select a research design and start collecting data. The research method depends largely on exactly what they are studying. There are two basic types of research methods: descriptive research and experimental research.

Descriptive Research Methods

Descriptive research such as  case studies ,  naturalistic observations , and surveys are often used when  conducting an experiment is difficult or impossible. These methods are best used to describe different aspects of a behavior or psychological phenomenon.

Once a researcher has collected data using descriptive methods, a  correlational study  can examine how the variables are related. This research method might be used to investigate a hypothesis that is difficult to test experimentally.

Experimental Research Methods

Experimental methods  are used to demonstrate causal relationships between variables. In an experiment, the researcher systematically manipulates a variable of interest (known as the independent variable) and measures the effect on another variable (known as the dependent variable).

Unlike correlational studies, which can only be used to determine if there is a relationship between two variables, experimental methods can be used to determine the actual nature of the relationship—whether changes in one variable actually  cause  another to change.

The hypothesis is a critical part of any scientific exploration. It represents what researchers expect to find in a study or experiment. In situations where the hypothesis is unsupported by the research, the research still has value. Such research helps us better understand how different aspects of the natural world relate to one another. It also helps us develop new hypotheses that can then be tested in the future.

Thompson WH, Skau S. On the scope of scientific hypotheses .  R Soc Open Sci . 2023;10(8):230607. doi:10.1098/rsos.230607

Taran S, Adhikari NKJ, Fan E. Falsifiability in medicine: what clinicians can learn from Karl Popper [published correction appears in Intensive Care Med. 2021 Jun 17;:].  Intensive Care Med . 2021;47(9):1054-1056. doi:10.1007/s00134-021-06432-z

Eyler AA. Research Methods for Public Health . 1st ed. Springer Publishing Company; 2020. doi:10.1891/9780826182067.0004

Nosek BA, Errington TM. What is replication ?  PLoS Biol . 2020;18(3):e3000691. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3000691

Aggarwal R, Ranganathan P. Study designs: Part 2 - Descriptive studies .  Perspect Clin Res . 2019;10(1):34-36. doi:10.4103/picr.PICR_154_18

Nevid J. Psychology: Concepts and Applications. Wadworth, 2013.

By Kendra Cherry, MSEd Kendra Cherry, MS, is a psychosocial rehabilitation specialist, psychology educator, and author of the "Everything Psychology Book."

How to Write a Hypothesis: A Step-by-Step Guide

Introduction

An overview of the research hypothesis, different types of hypotheses, variables in a hypothesis, how to formulate an effective research hypothesis, designing a study around your hypothesis.

The scientific method can derive and test predictions as hypotheses. Empirical research can then provide support (or lack thereof) for the hypotheses. Even failure to find support for a hypothesis still represents a valuable contribution to scientific knowledge. Let's look more closely at the idea of the hypothesis and the role it plays in research.

As much as the term exists in everyday language, there is a detailed development that informs the word "hypothesis" when applied to research. A good research hypothesis is informed by prior research and guides research design and data analysis , so it is important to understand how a hypothesis is defined and understood by researchers.

What is the simple definition of a hypothesis?

A hypothesis is a testable prediction about an outcome between two or more variables . It functions as a navigational tool in the research process, directing what you aim to predict and how.

What is the hypothesis for in research?

In research, a hypothesis serves as the cornerstone for your empirical study. It not only lays out what you aim to investigate but also provides a structured approach for your data collection and analysis.

Essentially, it bridges the gap between the theoretical and the empirical, guiding your investigation throughout its course.

What is an example of a hypothesis?

If you are studying the relationship between physical exercise and mental health, a suitable hypothesis could be: "Regular physical exercise leads to improved mental well-being among adults."

This statement constitutes a specific and testable hypothesis that directly relates to the variables you are investigating.

What makes a good hypothesis?

A good hypothesis possesses several key characteristics. Firstly, it must be testable, allowing you to analyze data through empirical means, such as observation or experimentation, to assess if there is significant support for the hypothesis. Secondly, a hypothesis should be specific and unambiguous, giving a clear understanding of the expected relationship between variables. Lastly, it should be grounded in existing research or theoretical frameworks , ensuring its relevance and applicability.

Understanding the types of hypotheses can greatly enhance how you construct and work with hypotheses. While all hypotheses serve the essential function of guiding your study, there are varying purposes among the types of hypotheses. In addition, all hypotheses stand in contrast to the null hypothesis, or the assumption that there is no significant relationship between the variables .

Here, we explore various kinds of hypotheses to provide you with the tools needed to craft effective hypotheses for your specific research needs. Bear in mind that many of these hypothesis types may overlap with one another, and the specific type that is typically used will likely depend on the area of research and methodology you are following.

Null hypothesis

The null hypothesis is a statement that there is no effect or relationship between the variables being studied. In statistical terms, it serves as the default assumption that any observed differences are due to random chance.

For example, if you're studying the effect of a drug on blood pressure, the null hypothesis might state that the drug has no effect.

Alternative hypothesis

Contrary to the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis suggests that there is a significant relationship or effect between variables.

Using the drug example, the alternative hypothesis would posit that the drug does indeed affect blood pressure. This is what researchers aim to prove.

Simple hypothesis

A simple hypothesis makes a prediction about the relationship between two variables, and only two variables.

For example, "Increased study time results in better exam scores." Here, "study time" and "exam scores" are the only variables involved.

Complex hypothesis

A complex hypothesis, as the name suggests, involves more than two variables. For instance, "Increased study time and access to resources result in better exam scores." Here, "study time," "access to resources," and "exam scores" are all variables.

This hypothesis refers to multiple potential mediating variables. Other hypotheses could also include predictions about variables that moderate the relationship between the independent variable and dependent variable .

Directional hypothesis

A directional hypothesis specifies the direction of the expected relationship between variables. For example, "Eating more fruits and vegetables leads to a decrease in heart disease."

Here, the direction of heart disease is explicitly predicted to decrease, due to effects from eating more fruits and vegetables. All hypotheses typically specify the expected direction of the relationship between the independent and dependent variable, such that researchers can test if this prediction holds in their data analysis .

Statistical hypothesis

A statistical hypothesis is one that is testable through statistical methods, providing a numerical value that can be analyzed. This is commonly seen in quantitative research .

For example, "There is a statistically significant difference in test scores between students who study for one hour and those who study for two."

Empirical hypothesis

An empirical hypothesis is derived from observations and is tested through empirical methods, often through experimentation or survey data . Empirical hypotheses may also be assessed with statistical analyses.

For example, "Regular exercise is correlated with a lower incidence of depression," could be tested through surveys that measure exercise frequency and depression levels.

Causal hypothesis

A causal hypothesis proposes that one variable causes a change in another. This type of hypothesis is often tested through controlled experiments.

For example, "Smoking causes lung cancer," assumes a direct causal relationship.

Associative hypothesis

Unlike causal hypotheses, associative hypotheses suggest a relationship between variables but do not imply causation.

For instance, "People who smoke are more likely to get lung cancer," notes an association but doesn't claim that smoking causes lung cancer directly.

Relational hypothesis

A relational hypothesis explores the relationship between two or more variables but doesn't specify the nature of the relationship.

For example, "There is a relationship between diet and heart health," leaves the nature of the relationship (causal, associative, etc.) open to interpretation.

Logical hypothesis

A logical hypothesis is based on sound reasoning and logical principles. It's often used in theoretical research to explore abstract concepts, rather than being based on empirical data.

For example, "If all men are mortal and Socrates is a man, then Socrates is mortal," employs logical reasoning to make its point.

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In any research hypothesis, variables play a critical role. These are the elements or factors that the researcher manipulates, controls, or measures. Understanding variables is essential for crafting a clear, testable hypothesis and for the stages of research that follow, such as data collection and analysis.

In the realm of hypotheses, there are generally two types of variables to consider: independent and dependent. Independent variables are what you, as the researcher, manipulate or change in your study. It's considered the cause in the relationship you're investigating. For instance, in a study examining the impact of sleep duration on academic performance, the independent variable would be the amount of sleep participants get.

Conversely, the dependent variable is the outcome you measure to gauge the effect of your manipulation. It's the effect in the cause-and-effect relationship. The dependent variable thus refers to the main outcome of interest in your study. In the same sleep study example, the academic performance, perhaps measured by exam scores or GPA, would be the dependent variable.

Beyond these two primary types, you might also encounter control variables. These are variables that could potentially influence the outcome and are therefore kept constant to isolate the relationship between the independent and dependent variables . For example, in the sleep and academic performance study, control variables could include age, diet, or even the subject of study.

By clearly identifying and understanding the roles of these variables in your hypothesis, you set the stage for a methodologically sound research project. It helps you develop focused research questions, design appropriate experiments or observations, and carry out meaningful data analysis . It's a step that lays the groundwork for the success of your entire study.

Crafting a strong, testable hypothesis is crucial for the success of any research project. It sets the stage for everything from your study design to data collection and analysis . Below are some key considerations to keep in mind when formulating your hypothesis:

• Be specific : A vague hypothesis can lead to ambiguous results and interpretations . Clearly define your variables and the expected relationship between them.
• Ensure testability : A good hypothesis should be testable through empirical means, whether by observation , experimentation, or other forms of data analysis.
• Ground in literature : Before creating your hypothesis, consult existing research and theories. This not only helps you identify gaps in current knowledge but also gives you valuable context and credibility for crafting your hypothesis.
• Use simple language : While your hypothesis should be conceptually sound, it doesn't have to be complicated. Aim for clarity and simplicity in your wording.
• State direction, if applicable : If your hypothesis involves a directional outcome (e.g., "increase" or "decrease"), make sure to specify this. You also need to think about how you will measure whether or not the outcome moved in the direction you predicted.
• Keep it focused : One of the common pitfalls in hypothesis formulation is trying to answer too many questions at once. Keep your hypothesis focused on a specific issue or relationship.
• Account for control variables : Identify any variables that could potentially impact the outcome and consider how you will control for them in your study.
• Be ethical : Make sure your hypothesis and the methods for testing it comply with ethical standards , particularly if your research involves human or animal subjects.

Designing your study involves multiple key phases that help ensure the rigor and validity of your research. Here we discuss these crucial components in more detail.

Literature review

Starting with a comprehensive literature review is essential. This step allows you to understand the existing body of knowledge related to your hypothesis and helps you identify gaps that your research could fill. Your research should aim to contribute some novel understanding to existing literature, and your hypotheses can reflect this. A literature review also provides valuable insights into how similar research projects were executed, thereby helping you fine-tune your own approach.

Research methods

Choosing the right research methods is critical. Whether it's a survey, an experiment, or observational study, the methodology should be the most appropriate for testing your hypothesis. Your choice of methods will also depend on whether your research is quantitative, qualitative, or mixed-methods. Make sure the chosen methods align well with the variables you are studying and the type of data you need.

Preliminary research

Before diving into a full-scale study, it’s often beneficial to conduct preliminary research or a pilot study . This allows you to test your research methods on a smaller scale, refine your tools, and identify any potential issues. For instance, a pilot survey can help you determine if your questions are clear and if the survey effectively captures the data you need. This step can save you both time and resources in the long run.

Data analysis

Finally, planning your data analysis in advance is crucial for a successful study. Decide which statistical or analytical tools are most suited for your data type and research questions . For quantitative research, you might opt for t-tests, ANOVA, or regression analyses. For qualitative research , thematic analysis or grounded theory may be more appropriate. This phase is integral for interpreting your results and drawing meaningful conclusions in relation to your research question.

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Research Hypothesis: What It Is, Types + How to Develop?

A research study starts with a question. Researchers worldwide ask questions and create research hypotheses. The effectiveness of research relies on developing a good research hypothesis. Examples of research hypotheses can guide researchers in writing effective ones.

In this blog, we’ll learn what a research hypothesis is, why it’s important in research, and the different types used in science. We’ll also guide you through creating your research hypothesis and discussing ways to test and evaluate it.

What is a Research Hypothesis?

A hypothesis is like a guess or idea that you suggest to check if it’s true. A research hypothesis is a statement that brings up a question and predicts what might happen.

It’s really important in the scientific method and is used in experiments to figure things out. Essentially, it’s an educated guess about how things are connected in the research.

A research hypothesis usually includes pointing out the independent variable (the thing they’re changing or studying) and the dependent variable (the result they’re measuring or watching). It helps plan how to gather and analyze data to see if there’s evidence to support or deny the expected connection between these variables.

Importance of Hypothesis in Research

Hypotheses are really important in research. They help design studies, allow for practical testing, and add to our scientific knowledge. Their main role is to organize research projects, making them purposeful, focused, and valuable to the scientific community. Let’s look at some key reasons why they matter:

• A research hypothesis helps test theories.

A hypothesis plays a pivotal role in the scientific method by providing a basis for testing existing theories. For example, a hypothesis might test the predictive power of a psychological theory on human behavior.

• It serves as a great platform for investigation activities.

It serves as a launching pad for investigation activities, which offers researchers a clear starting point. A research hypothesis can explore the relationship between exercise and stress reduction.

• Hypothesis guides the research work or study.

A well-formulated hypothesis guides the entire research process. It ensures that the study remains focused and purposeful. For instance, a hypothesis about the impact of social media on interpersonal relationships provides clear guidance for a study.

• Hypothesis sometimes suggests theories.

In some cases, a hypothesis can suggest new theories or modifications to existing ones. For example, a hypothesis testing the effectiveness of a new drug might prompt a reconsideration of current medical theories.

• It helps in knowing the data needs.

A hypothesis clarifies the data requirements for a study, ensuring that researchers collect the necessary information—a hypothesis guiding the collection of demographic data to analyze the influence of age on a particular phenomenon.

• The hypothesis explains social phenomena.

Hypotheses are instrumental in explaining complex social phenomena. For instance, a hypothesis might explore the relationship between economic factors and crime rates in a given community.

• Hypothesis provides a relationship between phenomena for empirical Testing.

Hypotheses establish clear relationships between phenomena, paving the way for empirical testing. An example could be a hypothesis exploring the correlation between sleep patterns and academic performance.

• It helps in knowing the most suitable analysis technique.

A hypothesis guides researchers in selecting the most appropriate analysis techniques for their data. For example, a hypothesis focusing on the effectiveness of a teaching method may lead to the choice of statistical analyses best suited for educational research.

Characteristics of a Good Research Hypothesis

A hypothesis is a specific idea that you can test in a study. It often comes from looking at past research and theories. A good hypothesis usually starts with a research question that you can explore through background research. For it to be effective, consider these key characteristics:

• Clear and Focused Language: A good hypothesis uses clear and focused language to avoid confusion and ensure everyone understands it.
• Related to the Research Topic: The hypothesis should directly relate to the research topic, acting as a bridge between the specific question and the broader study.
• Testable: An effective hypothesis can be tested, meaning its prediction can be checked with real data to support or challenge the proposed relationship.
• Potential for Exploration: A good hypothesis often comes from a research question that invites further exploration. Doing background research helps find gaps and potential areas to investigate.
• Includes Variables: The hypothesis should clearly state both the independent and dependent variables, specifying the factors being studied and the expected outcomes.
• Ethical Considerations: Check if variables can be manipulated without breaking ethical standards. It’s crucial to maintain ethical research practices.
• Predicts Outcomes: The hypothesis should predict the expected relationship and outcome, acting as a roadmap for the study and guiding data collection and analysis.
• Simple and Concise: A good hypothesis avoids unnecessary complexity and is simple and concise, expressing the essence of the proposed relationship clearly.
• Clear and Assumption-Free: The hypothesis should be clear and free from assumptions about the reader’s prior knowledge, ensuring universal understanding.
• Observable and Testable Results: A strong hypothesis implies research that produces observable and testable results, making sure the study’s outcomes can be effectively measured and analyzed.

When you use these characteristics as a checklist, it can help you create a good research hypothesis. It’ll guide improving and strengthening the hypothesis, identifying any weaknesses, and making necessary changes. Crafting a hypothesis with these features helps you conduct a thorough and insightful research study.

Types of Research Hypotheses

The research hypothesis comes in various types, each serving a specific purpose in guiding the scientific investigation. Knowing the differences will make it easier for you to create your own hypothesis. Here’s an overview of the common types:

01. Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis states that there is no connection between two considered variables or that two groups are unrelated. As discussed earlier, a hypothesis is an unproven assumption lacking sufficient supporting data. It serves as the statement researchers aim to disprove. It is testable, verifiable, and can be rejected.

For example, if you’re studying the relationship between Project A and Project B, assuming both projects are of equal standard is your null hypothesis. It needs to be specific for your study.

02. Alternative Hypothesis

The alternative hypothesis is basically another option to the null hypothesis. It involves looking for a significant change or alternative that could lead you to reject the null hypothesis. It’s a different idea compared to the null hypothesis.

When you create a null hypothesis, you’re making an educated guess about whether something is true or if there’s a connection between that thing and another variable. If the null view suggests something is correct, the alternative hypothesis says it’s incorrect. 

For instance, if your null hypothesis is “I’m going to be $1000 richer,” the alternative hypothesis would be “I’m not going to get $1000 or be richer.”

03. Directional Hypothesis

The directional hypothesis predicts the direction of the relationship between independent and dependent variables. They specify whether the effect will be positive or negative.

If you increase your study hours, you will experience a positive association with your exam scores. This hypothesis suggests that as you increase the independent variable (study hours), there will also be an increase in the dependent variable (exam scores).

04. Non-directional Hypothesis

The non-directional hypothesis predicts the existence of a relationship between variables but does not specify the direction of the effect. It suggests that there will be a significant difference or relationship, but it does not predict the nature of that difference.

For example, you will find no notable difference in test scores between students who receive the educational intervention and those who do not. However, once you compare the test scores of the two groups, you will notice an important difference.

05. Simple Hypothesis

A simple hypothesis predicts a relationship between one dependent variable and one independent variable without specifying the nature of that relationship. It’s simple and usually used when we don’t know much about how the two things are connected.

For example, if you adopt effective study habits, you will achieve higher exam scores than those with poor study habits.

06. Complex Hypothesis

A complex hypothesis is an idea that specifies a relationship between multiple independent and dependent variables. It is a more detailed idea than a simple hypothesis.

While a simple view suggests a straightforward cause-and-effect relationship between two things, a complex hypothesis involves many factors and how they’re connected to each other.

For example, when you increase your study time, you tend to achieve higher exam scores. The connection between your study time and exam performance is affected by various factors, including the quality of your sleep, your motivation levels, and the effectiveness of your study techniques.

If you sleep well, stay highly motivated, and use effective study strategies, you may observe a more robust positive correlation between the time you spend studying and your exam scores, unlike those who may lack these factors.

07. Associative Hypothesis

An associative hypothesis proposes a connection between two things without saying that one causes the other. Basically, it suggests that when one thing changes, the other changes too, but it doesn’t claim that one thing is causing the change in the other.

For example, you will likely notice higher exam scores when you increase your study time. You can recognize an association between your study time and exam scores in this scenario.

Your hypothesis acknowledges a relationship between the two variables—your study time and exam scores—without asserting that increased study time directly causes higher exam scores. You need to consider that other factors, like motivation or learning style, could affect the observed association.

08. Causal Hypothesis

A causal hypothesis proposes a cause-and-effect relationship between two variables. It suggests that changes in one variable directly cause changes in another variable.

For example, when you increase your study time, you experience higher exam scores. This hypothesis suggests a direct cause-and-effect relationship, indicating that the more time you spend studying, the higher your exam scores. It assumes that changes in your study time directly influence changes in your exam performance.

09. Empirical Hypothesis

An empirical hypothesis is a statement based on things we can see and measure. It comes from direct observation or experiments and can be tested with real-world evidence. If an experiment proves a theory, it supports the idea and shows it’s not just a guess. This makes the statement more reliable than a wild guess.

For example, if you increase the dosage of a certain medication, you might observe a quicker recovery time for patients. Imagine you’re in charge of a clinical trial. In this trial, patients are given varying dosages of the medication, and you measure and compare their recovery times. This allows you to directly see the effects of different dosages on how fast patients recover.

This way, you can create a research hypothesis: “Increasing the dosage of a certain medication will lead to a faster recovery time for patients.”

10. Statistical Hypothesis

A statistical hypothesis is a statement or assumption about a population parameter that is the subject of an investigation. It serves as the basis for statistical analysis and testing. It is often tested using statistical methods to draw inferences about the larger population.

In a hypothesis test, statistical evidence is collected to either reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis or fail to reject the null hypothesis due to insufficient evidence.

For example, let’s say you’re testing a new medicine. Your hypothesis could be that the medicine doesn’t really help patients get better. So, you collect data and use statistics to see if your guess is right or if the medicine actually makes a difference.

If the data strongly shows that the medicine does help, you say your guess was wrong, and the medicine does make a difference. But if the proof isn’t strong enough, you can stick with your original guess because you didn’t get enough evidence to change your mind.

How to Develop a Research Hypotheses?

Step 1: identify your research problem or topic..

Define the area of interest or the problem you want to investigate. Make sure it’s clear and well-defined.

Start by asking a question about your chosen topic. Consider the limitations of your research and create a straightforward problem related to your topic. Once you’ve done that, you can develop and test a hypothesis with evidence.

Step 2: Conduct a literature review

Review existing literature related to your research problem. This will help you understand the current state of knowledge in the field, identify gaps, and build a foundation for your hypothesis. Consider the following questions:

• What existing research has been conducted on your chosen topic?
• Are there any gaps or unanswered questions in the current literature?
• How will the existing literature contribute to the foundation of your research?

Step 3: Formulate your research question

Based on your literature review, create a specific and concise research question that addresses your identified problem. Your research question should be clear, focused, and relevant to your field of study.

Step 4: Identify variables

Determine the key variables involved in your research question. Variables are the factors or phenomena that you will study and manipulate to test your hypothesis.

• Independent Variable: The variable you manipulate or control.
• Dependent Variable: The variable you measure to observe the effect of the independent variable.

Step 5: State the Null hypothesis

The null hypothesis is a statement that there is no significant difference or effect. It serves as a baseline for comparison with the alternative hypothesis.

Step 6: Select appropriate methods for testing the hypothesis

Choose research methods that align with your study objectives, such as experiments, surveys, or observational studies. The selected methods enable you to test your research hypothesis effectively.

Creating a research hypothesis usually takes more than one try. Expect to make changes as you collect data. It’s normal to test and say no to a few hypotheses before you find the right answer to your research question.

Testing and Evaluating Hypotheses

Testing hypotheses is a really important part of research. It’s like the practical side of things. Here, real-world evidence will help you determine how different things are connected. Let’s explore the main steps in hypothesis testing:

• State your research hypothesis.

Before testing, clearly articulate your research hypothesis. This involves framing both a null hypothesis, suggesting no significant effect or relationship, and an alternative hypothesis, proposing the expected outcome.

• Collect data strategically.

Plan how you will gather information in a way that fits your study. Make sure your data collection method matches the things you’re studying.

Whether through surveys, observations, or experiments, this step demands precision and adherence to the established methodology. The quality of data collected directly influences the credibility of study outcomes.

• Perform an appropriate statistical test.

Choose a statistical test that aligns with the nature of your data and the hypotheses being tested. Whether it’s a t-test, chi-square test, ANOVA, or regression analysis, selecting the right statistical tool is paramount for accurate and reliable results.

• Decide if your idea was right or wrong.

Following the statistical analysis, evaluate the results in the context of your null hypothesis. You need to decide if you should reject your null hypothesis or not.

• Share what you found.

When discussing what you found in your research, be clear and organized. Say whether your idea was supported or not, and talk about what your results mean. Also, mention any limits to your study and suggest ideas for future research.

The Role of QuestionPro to Develop a Good Research Hypothesis

QuestionPro is a survey and research platform that provides tools for creating, distributing, and analyzing surveys. It plays a crucial role in the research process, especially when you’re in the initial stages of hypothesis development. Here’s how QuestionPro can help you to develop a good research hypothesis:

• Survey design and data collection: You can use the platform to create targeted questions that help you gather relevant data.
• Exploratory research: Through surveys and feedback mechanisms on QuestionPro, you can conduct exploratory research to understand the landscape of a particular subject.
• Literature review and background research: QuestionPro surveys can collect sample population opinions, experiences, and preferences. This data and a thorough literature evaluation can help you generate a well-grounded hypothesis by improving your research knowledge.
• Identifying variables: Using targeted survey questions, you can identify relevant variables related to their research topic.
• Testing assumptions: You can use surveys to informally test certain assumptions or hypotheses before formalizing a research hypothesis.
• Data analysis tools: QuestionPro provides tools for analyzing survey data. You can use these tools to identify the collected data’s patterns, correlations, or trends.
• Refining your hypotheses: As you collect data through QuestionPro, you can adjust your hypotheses based on the real-world responses you receive.

A research hypothesis is like a guide for researchers in science. It’s a well-thought-out idea that has been thoroughly tested. This idea is crucial as researchers can explore different fields, such as medicine, social sciences, and natural sciences. The research hypothesis links theories to real-world evidence and gives researchers a clear path to explore and make discoveries.

QuestionPro Research Suite is a helpful tool for researchers. It makes creating surveys, collecting data, and analyzing information easily. It supports all kinds of research, from exploring new ideas to forming hypotheses. With a focus on using data, it helps researchers do their best work.

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What Is A Research (Scientific) Hypothesis? A plain-language explainer + examples

By:  Derek Jansen (MBA)  | Reviewed By: Dr Eunice Rautenbach | June 2020

If you’re new to the world of research, or it’s your first time writing a dissertation or thesis, you’re probably noticing that the words “research hypothesis” and “scientific hypothesis” are used quite a bit, and you’re wondering what they mean in a research context .

“Hypothesis” is one of those words that people use loosely, thinking they understand what it means. However, it has a very specific meaning within academic research. So, it’s important to understand the exact meaning before you start hypothesizing. 

Research Hypothesis 101

• What is a hypothesis ?
• What is a research hypothesis (scientific hypothesis)?
• Requirements for a research hypothesis
• Definition of a research hypothesis
• The null hypothesis

What is a hypothesis?

Let’s start with the general definition of a hypothesis (not a research hypothesis or scientific hypothesis), according to the Cambridge Dictionary:

Hypothesis: an idea or explanation for something that is based on known facts but has not yet been proved.

In other words, it’s a statement that provides an explanation for why or how something works, based on facts (or some reasonable assumptions), but that has not yet been specifically tested . For example, a hypothesis might look something like this:

Hypothesis: sleep impacts academic performance.

This statement predicts that academic performance will be influenced by the amount and/or quality of sleep a student engages in – sounds reasonable, right? It’s based on reasonable assumptions , underpinned by what we currently know about sleep and health (from the existing literature). So, loosely speaking, we could call it a hypothesis, at least by the dictionary definition.

But that’s not good enough…

Unfortunately, that’s not quite sophisticated enough to describe a research hypothesis (also sometimes called a scientific hypothesis), and it wouldn’t be acceptable in a dissertation, thesis or research paper . In the world of academic research, a statement needs a few more criteria to constitute a true research hypothesis .

What is a research hypothesis?

A research hypothesis (also called a scientific hypothesis) is a statement about the expected outcome of a study (for example, a dissertation or thesis). To constitute a quality hypothesis, the statement needs to have three attributes – specificity , clarity and testability .

Let’s take a look at these more closely.

Need a helping hand?

Hypothesis Essential #1: Specificity & Clarity

A good research hypothesis needs to be extremely clear and articulate about both what’ s being assessed (who or what variables are involved ) and the expected outcome (for example, a difference between groups, a relationship between variables, etc.).

Let’s stick with our sleepy students example and look at how this statement could be more specific and clear.

Hypothesis: Students who sleep at least 8 hours per night will, on average, achieve higher grades in standardised tests than students who sleep less than 8 hours a night.

As you can see, the statement is very specific as it identifies the variables involved (sleep hours and test grades), the parties involved (two groups of students), as well as the predicted relationship type (a positive relationship). There’s no ambiguity or uncertainty about who or what is involved in the statement, and the expected outcome is clear.

Contrast that to the original hypothesis we looked at – “Sleep impacts academic performance” – and you can see the difference. “Sleep” and “academic performance” are both comparatively vague , and there’s no indication of what the expected relationship direction is (more sleep or less sleep). As you can see, specificity and clarity are key.

Hypothesis Essential #2: Testability (Provability)

A statement must be testable to qualify as a research hypothesis. In other words, there needs to be a way to prove (or disprove) the statement. If it’s not testable, it’s not a hypothesis – simple as that.

For example, consider the hypothesis we mentioned earlier:

Hypothesis: Students who sleep at least 8 hours per night will, on average, achieve higher grades in standardised tests than students who sleep less than 8 hours a night.  

We could test this statement by undertaking a quantitative study involving two groups of students, one that gets 8 or more hours of sleep per night for a fixed period, and one that gets less. We could then compare the standardised test results for both groups to see if there’s a statistically significant difference. 

Again, if you compare this to the original hypothesis we looked at – “Sleep impacts academic performance” – you can see that it would be quite difficult to test that statement, primarily because it isn’t specific enough. How much sleep? By who? What type of academic performance?

So, remember the mantra – if you can’t test it, it’s not a hypothesis 🙂

Defining A Research Hypothesis

You’re still with us? Great! Let’s recap and pin down a clear definition of a hypothesis.

A research hypothesis (or scientific hypothesis) is a statement about an expected relationship between variables, or explanation of an occurrence, that is clear, specific and testable.

So, when you write up hypotheses for your dissertation or thesis, make sure that they meet all these criteria. If you do, you’ll not only have rock-solid hypotheses but you’ll also ensure a clear focus for your entire research project.

What about the null hypothesis?

You may have also heard the terms null hypothesis , alternative hypothesis, or H-zero thrown around. At a simple level, the null hypothesis is the counter-proposal to the original hypothesis.

For example, if the hypothesis predicts that there is a relationship between two variables (for example, sleep and academic performance), the null hypothesis would predict that there is no relationship between those variables.

At a more technical level, the null hypothesis proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of given observations and that any differences are due to chance alone.

And there you have it – hypotheses in a nutshell. 

If you have any questions, be sure to leave a comment below and we’ll do our best to help you. If you need hands-on help developing and testing your hypotheses, consider our private coaching service , where we hold your hand through the research journey.

Psst... there’s more!

This post was based on one of our popular Research Bootcamps . If you're working on a research project, you'll definitely want to check this out ...

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16 Comments

Very useful information. I benefit more from getting more information in this regard.

Very great insight,educative and informative. Please give meet deep critics on many research data of public international Law like human rights, environment, natural resources, law of the sea etc

In a book I read a distinction is made between null, research, and alternative hypothesis. As far as I understand, alternative and research hypotheses are the same. Can you please elaborate? Best Afshin

This is a self explanatory, easy going site. I will recommend this to my friends and colleagues.

Very good definition. How can I cite your definition in my thesis? Thank you. Is nul hypothesis compulsory in a research?

It’s a counter-proposal to be proven as a rejection

Please what is the difference between alternate hypothesis and research hypothesis?

It is a very good explanation. However, it limits hypotheses to statistically tasteable ideas. What about for qualitative researches or other researches that involve quantitative data that don’t need statistical tests?

In qualitative research, one typically uses propositions, not hypotheses.

could you please elaborate it more

I’ve benefited greatly from these notes, thank you.

This is very helpful

well articulated ideas are presented here, thank you for being reliable sources of information

Excellent. Thanks for being clear and sound about the research methodology and hypothesis (quantitative research)

I have only a simple question regarding the null hypothesis. – Is the null hypothesis (Ho) known as the reversible hypothesis of the alternative hypothesis (H1? – How to test it in academic research?

this is very important note help me much more

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Home » What is a Hypothesis – Types, Examples and Writing Guide

What is a Hypothesis – Types, Examples and Writing Guide

Table of Contents

Definition:

Hypothesis is an educated guess or proposed explanation for a phenomenon, based on some initial observations or data. It is a tentative statement that can be tested and potentially proven or disproven through further investigation and experimentation.

Hypothesis is often used in scientific research to guide the design of experiments and the collection and analysis of data. It is an essential element of the scientific method, as it allows researchers to make predictions about the outcome of their experiments and to test those predictions to determine their accuracy.

Types of Hypothesis

Types of Hypothesis are as follows:

Research Hypothesis

A research hypothesis is a statement that predicts a relationship between variables. It is usually formulated as a specific statement that can be tested through research, and it is often used in scientific research to guide the design of experiments.

Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis is a statement that assumes there is no significant difference or relationship between variables. It is often used as a starting point for testing the research hypothesis, and if the results of the study reject the null hypothesis, it suggests that there is a significant difference or relationship between variables.

Alternative Hypothesis

An alternative hypothesis is a statement that assumes there is a significant difference or relationship between variables. It is often used as an alternative to the null hypothesis and is tested against the null hypothesis to determine which statement is more accurate.

Directional Hypothesis

A directional hypothesis is a statement that predicts the direction of the relationship between variables. For example, a researcher might predict that increasing the amount of exercise will result in a decrease in body weight.

Non-directional Hypothesis

A non-directional hypothesis is a statement that predicts the relationship between variables but does not specify the direction. For example, a researcher might predict that there is a relationship between the amount of exercise and body weight, but they do not specify whether increasing or decreasing exercise will affect body weight.

Statistical Hypothesis

A statistical hypothesis is a statement that assumes a particular statistical model or distribution for the data. It is often used in statistical analysis to test the significance of a particular result.

Composite Hypothesis

A composite hypothesis is a statement that assumes more than one condition or outcome. It can be divided into several sub-hypotheses, each of which represents a different possible outcome.

Empirical Hypothesis

An empirical hypothesis is a statement that is based on observed phenomena or data. It is often used in scientific research to develop theories or models that explain the observed phenomena.

Simple Hypothesis

A simple hypothesis is a statement that assumes only one outcome or condition. It is often used in scientific research to test a single variable or factor.

Complex Hypothesis

A complex hypothesis is a statement that assumes multiple outcomes or conditions. It is often used in scientific research to test the effects of multiple variables or factors on a particular outcome.

Applications of Hypothesis

Hypotheses are used in various fields to guide research and make predictions about the outcomes of experiments or observations. Here are some examples of how hypotheses are applied in different fields:

• Science : In scientific research, hypotheses are used to test the validity of theories and models that explain natural phenomena. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the effects of a particular variable on a natural system, such as the effects of climate change on an ecosystem.
• Medicine : In medical research, hypotheses are used to test the effectiveness of treatments and therapies for specific conditions. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the effects of a new drug on a particular disease.
• Psychology : In psychology, hypotheses are used to test theories and models of human behavior and cognition. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the effects of a particular stimulus on the brain or behavior.
• Sociology : In sociology, hypotheses are used to test theories and models of social phenomena, such as the effects of social structures or institutions on human behavior. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the effects of income inequality on crime rates.
• Business : In business research, hypotheses are used to test the validity of theories and models that explain business phenomena, such as consumer behavior or market trends. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the effects of a new marketing campaign on consumer buying behavior.
• Engineering : In engineering, hypotheses are used to test the effectiveness of new technologies or designs. For example, a hypothesis might be formulated to test the efficiency of a new solar panel design.

How to write a Hypothesis

Here are the steps to follow when writing a hypothesis:

Identify the Research Question

The first step is to identify the research question that you want to answer through your study. This question should be clear, specific, and focused. It should be something that can be investigated empirically and that has some relevance or significance in the field.

Conduct a Literature Review

Before writing your hypothesis, it’s essential to conduct a thorough literature review to understand what is already known about the topic. This will help you to identify the research gap and formulate a hypothesis that builds on existing knowledge.

Determine the Variables

The next step is to identify the variables involved in the research question. A variable is any characteristic or factor that can vary or change. There are two types of variables: independent and dependent. The independent variable is the one that is manipulated or changed by the researcher, while the dependent variable is the one that is measured or observed as a result of the independent variable.

Formulate the Hypothesis

Based on the research question and the variables involved, you can now formulate your hypothesis. A hypothesis should be a clear and concise statement that predicts the relationship between the variables. It should be testable through empirical research and based on existing theory or evidence.

Write the Null Hypothesis

The null hypothesis is the opposite of the alternative hypothesis, which is the hypothesis that you are testing. The null hypothesis states that there is no significant difference or relationship between the variables. It is important to write the null hypothesis because it allows you to compare your results with what would be expected by chance.

Refine the Hypothesis

After formulating the hypothesis, it’s important to refine it and make it more precise. This may involve clarifying the variables, specifying the direction of the relationship, or making the hypothesis more testable.

Examples of Hypothesis

Here are a few examples of hypotheses in different fields:

• Psychology : “Increased exposure to violent video games leads to increased aggressive behavior in adolescents.”
• Biology : “Higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will lead to increased plant growth.”
• Sociology : “Individuals who grow up in households with higher socioeconomic status will have higher levels of education and income as adults.”
• Education : “Implementing a new teaching method will result in higher student achievement scores.”
• Marketing : “Customers who receive a personalized email will be more likely to make a purchase than those who receive a generic email.”
• Physics : “An increase in temperature will cause an increase in the volume of a gas, assuming all other variables remain constant.”
• Medicine : “Consuming a diet high in saturated fats will increase the risk of developing heart disease.”

Purpose of Hypothesis

The purpose of a hypothesis is to provide a testable explanation for an observed phenomenon or a prediction of a future outcome based on existing knowledge or theories. A hypothesis is an essential part of the scientific method and helps to guide the research process by providing a clear focus for investigation. It enables scientists to design experiments or studies to gather evidence and data that can support or refute the proposed explanation or prediction.

The formulation of a hypothesis is based on existing knowledge, observations, and theories, and it should be specific, testable, and falsifiable. A specific hypothesis helps to define the research question, which is important in the research process as it guides the selection of an appropriate research design and methodology. Testability of the hypothesis means that it can be proven or disproven through empirical data collection and analysis. Falsifiability means that the hypothesis should be formulated in such a way that it can be proven wrong if it is incorrect.

In addition to guiding the research process, the testing of hypotheses can lead to new discoveries and advancements in scientific knowledge. When a hypothesis is supported by the data, it can be used to develop new theories or models to explain the observed phenomenon. When a hypothesis is not supported by the data, it can help to refine existing theories or prompt the development of new hypotheses to explain the phenomenon.

When to use Hypothesis

Here are some common situations in which hypotheses are used:

• In scientific research , hypotheses are used to guide the design of experiments and to help researchers make predictions about the outcomes of those experiments.
• In social science research , hypotheses are used to test theories about human behavior, social relationships, and other phenomena.
• I n business , hypotheses can be used to guide decisions about marketing, product development, and other areas. For example, a hypothesis might be that a new product will sell well in a particular market, and this hypothesis can be tested through market research.

Characteristics of Hypothesis

Here are some common characteristics of a hypothesis:

• Testable : A hypothesis must be able to be tested through observation or experimentation. This means that it must be possible to collect data that will either support or refute the hypothesis.
• Falsifiable : A hypothesis must be able to be proven false if it is not supported by the data. If a hypothesis cannot be falsified, then it is not a scientific hypothesis.
• Clear and concise : A hypothesis should be stated in a clear and concise manner so that it can be easily understood and tested.
• Based on existing knowledge : A hypothesis should be based on existing knowledge and research in the field. It should not be based on personal beliefs or opinions.
• Specific : A hypothesis should be specific in terms of the variables being tested and the predicted outcome. This will help to ensure that the research is focused and well-designed.
• Tentative: A hypothesis is a tentative statement or assumption that requires further testing and evidence to be confirmed or refuted. It is not a final conclusion or assertion.
• Relevant : A hypothesis should be relevant to the research question or problem being studied. It should address a gap in knowledge or provide a new perspective on the issue.

Advantages of Hypothesis

Hypotheses have several advantages in scientific research and experimentation:

• Guides research: A hypothesis provides a clear and specific direction for research. It helps to focus the research question, select appropriate methods and variables, and interpret the results.
• Predictive powe r: A hypothesis makes predictions about the outcome of research, which can be tested through experimentation. This allows researchers to evaluate the validity of the hypothesis and make new discoveries.
• Facilitates communication: A hypothesis provides a common language and framework for scientists to communicate with one another about their research. This helps to facilitate the exchange of ideas and promotes collaboration.
• Efficient use of resources: A hypothesis helps researchers to use their time, resources, and funding efficiently by directing them towards specific research questions and methods that are most likely to yield results.
• Provides a basis for further research: A hypothesis that is supported by data provides a basis for further research and exploration. It can lead to new hypotheses, theories, and discoveries.
• Increases objectivity: A hypothesis can help to increase objectivity in research by providing a clear and specific framework for testing and interpreting results. This can reduce bias and increase the reliability of research findings.

Limitations of Hypothesis

Some Limitations of the Hypothesis are as follows:

• Limited to observable phenomena: Hypotheses are limited to observable phenomena and cannot account for unobservable or intangible factors. This means that some research questions may not be amenable to hypothesis testing.
• May be inaccurate or incomplete: Hypotheses are based on existing knowledge and research, which may be incomplete or inaccurate. This can lead to flawed hypotheses and erroneous conclusions.
• May be biased: Hypotheses may be biased by the researcher’s own beliefs, values, or assumptions. This can lead to selective interpretation of data and a lack of objectivity in research.
• Cannot prove causation: A hypothesis can only show a correlation between variables, but it cannot prove causation. This requires further experimentation and analysis.
• Limited to specific contexts: Hypotheses are limited to specific contexts and may not be generalizable to other situations or populations. This means that results may not be applicable in other contexts or may require further testing.
• May be affected by chance : Hypotheses may be affected by chance or random variation, which can obscure or distort the true relationship between variables.

About the author

Muhammad Hassan

Researcher, Academic Writer, Web developer

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2.1.4: Components of a Research Project

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LEARNING OBJECTIVES

• Describe useful strategies to employ when searching for literature.
• Describe why sociologists review prior literature and how they organize their literature reviews.
• Identify the main sections contained in scholarly journal articles.
• Identify and describe the major components researchers need to plan for when designing a research project.

In this section, we’ll examine the most typical components that make up a research project, bringing in a few additional components to those we have already discussed. Keep in mind that our purpose at this stage is simply to provide a general overview of research design. The specifics of each of the following components will vary from project to project. Further, the stage of a project at which each of these components comes into play may vary. In later chapters, we will consider more specifically how these components work differently depending on the research method being employed.

Searching for Literature

Familiarizing yourself with research that has already been conducted on your topic is one of the first stages of conducting a research project and is crucial for coming up with a good research design. But where to start? How to start? In  Chapter 1.3 "Beginning a Research Project" , you learned about some of the most common databases that house information about published sociological research. As you search for literature, you may have to be fairly broad in your search for articles.

I’m guessing you may feel you’ve heard enough about electronic gadget addiction in this chapter, so let’s consider a different example here. On my campus, much to the chagrin of a group of student smokers, smoking was recently banned. These students were so upset by the idea that they would no longer be allowed to smoke on university grounds that they staged several smoke-outs during which they gathered in populated areas around campus and enjoyed a puff or two together.

A student in my research methods class wanted to understand what motivated this group of students to engage in activism centered around what she perceived to be, in this age of smoke-free facilities, a relatively deviant act. Were the protesters otherwise politically active? How much effort and coordination had it taken to organize the smoke-outs? The student researcher began her research by attempting to familiarize herself with the literature on her topic. Yet her search in Sociological Abstracts for “college student activist smoke-outs,” yielded no results. Concluding there was no prior research on her topic, she informed me that she would need an alternative assignment to the  annotated bibliography  I required since there was no literature for her to review. How do you suppose I responded to this news? What went wrong with this student’s search for literature?

In her first attempt, the student had been too narrow in her search for articles. But did that mean she was off the hook for completing the annotated bibliography assignment? Absolutely not. Instead, she went back to Sociological Abstracts and searched again using different combinations of search terms. Rather than searching for “college student activist smoke-outs” she tried, among other sets of terms, “college student activism.” This time her search yielded a great many articles. Of course, they were not focused on prosmoking activist efforts, but they were focused on her population of interest, college students, and on her broad topic of interest, activism. I suggested that reading articles on college student activism might give her some idea about what other researchers have found in terms of what motivates college students to become involved in activist efforts. I also suggested she could play around with her search terms and look for research on activism centered on other sorts of activities that are perceived by some as deviant, such as marijuana use or veganism. In other words, she needed to be broader in her search for articles.

While this student found success by broadening her search for articles, her reading of those articles needed to be narrower than her search. Once she identified a set of articles to review by searching broadly, it was time to remind herself of her specific research focus: college student activist smoke-outs. Keeping in mind her particular research interest while reviewing the literature gave her the chance to think about how the theories and findings covered in prior studies might or might not apply to her particular point of focus. For example, theories on what motivates activists to get involved might tell her something about the likely reasons the students  she  planned to study got involved. At the same time, those theories might not cover all the particulars of student participation in smoke-outs. Thinking about the different theories then gave the student the opportunity to focus her research plans and even to develop a few hypotheses about what she thought she was likely to find.

Reviewing the Literature

Developing an annotated bibliography is often one of the early steps that researchers take as they begin to familiarize themselves with prior research on their topic. A second step involves a literature review in which a researcher positions his or her work within the context of prior scholarly work in the area. A literature review addresses the following matters: What sorts of questions have other scholars asked about this topic? What do we already know about this topic? What questions remain? As the researcher answers these questions, he or she synthesizes what is contained in the literature, possibly organizing prior findings around themes that are relevant to his or her particular research focus.

I once advised an undergraduate student who conducted a research project on speciesism, the belief that some species are superior to or have more value and rights than others. Her research question was “Why and how do humans construct divisions between themselves and animals?” This student organized her review of literature around the two parts of her research question: the why and the how. In the “why” section of her literature review, she described prior research that addressed questions of why humans are sometimes speciesist. She organized subsections around the three most common answers that were presented in the scholarly literature. She used the same structure in the “how” section of her literature review, arranging subsections around the answers posed in previous literature about  how  humans construct divisions between themselves and animals. This organizational scheme helped readers understand what we already know about the topic and what theories we rely on to help make sense of the topic. In addition, by also highlighting what we still don’t know, it helped the student set the stage for her own empirical research on the topic.

The preceding discussion about how to organize a review of scholarly literature assumes that we all know how to read scholarly literature. Yes, yes, I understand that you must know how to read. But reading scholarly articles can be a bit more challenging than reading a textbook. Here are a few pointers about how to do it successfully. First, it is important to understand the various sections that are typically contained in scholarly journals’ reports of empirical research. One of the most important and easiest to spot sections of a journal article is its  abstract , the short paragraph at the beginning of an article that summarizes the author’s research question, methods used to answer the question, and key findings. The abstract may also give you some idea about the theoretical proclivities of the author. As a result, reading the abstract gives you both a framework for understanding the rest of the article and the punch line. It tells you what the author(s) found and whether the article is relevant to your area of inquiry.

After the abstract, most journal articles will contain the following sections (although exact section names are likely to vary): introduction, literature review, methodology, findings, and discussion. Of course, there will also be a list of references cited,Lists of references cited are a useful source for finding additional literature in an area. and there may be a few tables, figures, or appendices at the end of the article as well. While you should get into the habit of familiarizing yourself with articles you wish to cite  in their entirety , there are strategic ways to read journal articles that can make them a little easier to digest. Once you have read the abstract and determined that this is an article you’d like to read in full, read through the discussion section at the end of the article next. Because your own review of literature is likely to emphasize findings from previous literature, you should make sure that you have a clear idea about what those findings are. Reading an article’s discussion section helps you understand what the author views as the study’s major findings and how the author perceives those findings to relate to other research.

As you read through the rest of the article, think about the elements of research design that we have covered in this chapter. What approach does the researcher take? Is the research exploratory, descriptive, or explanatory? Is it inductive or deductive? Idiographic or nomothetic? Qualitative or quantitative? What claims does the author make about causality? What are the author’s units of analysis and observation? Use what you have learned in this chapter about the promise and potential pitfalls associated with each of these research elements to help you responsibly read and understand the articles you review. Future chapters of this text will address other elements of journal articles, including choices about measurement, sampling, and research method. As you learn about these additional items, you will increasingly gain more knowledge that you can apply as you read and critique the scholarly literature in your area of inquiry.

Additional Important Components

Thinking about the overarching goals of your research project and finding and reviewing the existing literature on your topic are two of the initial steps you’ll take when designing a research project. Forming a clear research question, as discussed in  Chapter 1.3 "Beginning a Research Project" , is another crucial step. There are a number of other important research design components you’ll need to consider, and we will discuss those here.

At the same time that you work to identify a clear research question, you will probably also think about the overarching goals of your research project. Will it be exploratory, descriptive, or explanatory? Will your approach be idiographic or nomothetic, inductive or deductive? How you design your project might also be determined in part by whether you aim for your research to have some direct application or if your goal is to contribute more generally to sociological knowledge about your topic. Next, think about what your units of analysis and units of observation will be. These will help you identify the key concepts you will study. Once you have identified those concepts, you’ll need to decide how to define them, and how you’ll  know  that you’re observing them when it comes time to collect your data. Defining your concepts, and knowing them when you see them, has to do with conceptualization and operationalization. Of course, you also need to know what approach you will take to collect your data. Thus identifying your research method is another important part of research design. You also need to think about who your research participants will be and what larger group(s) they may represent. Last, but certainly not least, you should consider any potential ethical concerns that could arise during the course of your research project. These concerns might come up during your data collection, but they might also arise when you get to the point of analyzing or sharing your research results.

Decisions about the various research components do not necessarily occur in sequential order. In fact, you may have to think about potential ethical concerns even before zeroing in on a specific research question. Similarly, the goal of being able to make generalizations about your population of interest could shape the decisions you make about your method of data collection. Putting it all together, the following list shows some of the major components you’ll need to consider as you design your research project:

• Research question
• Literature review
• Research strategy (idiographic or nomothetic, inductive or deductive)
• Research goals (basic or applied)
• Units of analysis and units of observation
• Key concepts (conceptualization and operationalization)
• Method of data collection
• Research participants (sample and population)
• Ethical concerns

KEY TAKEAWAYS

• When identifying and reading relevant literature, be broad in your search  for  articles, but be narrower in your reading  of  articles.
• Writing an annotated bibliography can be a helpful first step to familiarize yourself with prior research in your area of interest.
• Literature reviews summarize and synthesize prior research.
• Literature reviews are typically organized around substantive ideas that are relevant to one’s research question rather than around individual studies or article authors.
• When designing a research project, be sure to think about, plan for, and identify a research question, a review of literature, a research strategy, research goals, units of analysis and units of observation, key concepts, method(s) of data collection, population and sample, and potential ethical concerns.
• Find and read a complete journal article that addresses a topic that is of interest to you (perhaps using Sociological Abstracts, which is introduced in  Chapter 3.1 "Beginning a Research Project" ). In four to eight sentences, summarize the author’s research question, theoretical framing, methods used, and major findings. Reread the article, and see how close you were in reporting these key elements. What did you understand and remember best? What did you leave out? What reading strategies may have helped you better recall relevant details from the article?
• Using the example of students’ electronic gadget addictions, design a hypothetical research project by identifying a plan for each of the nine components of research design that are presented in this section.

Research Hypothesis: Elements, Format, Types

When a proposition is formulated for empirical testing, we call it a hypothesis. Almost all studies begin with one or more hypotheses.

Let’s Understand Research Hypothesis.

What is a hypothesis.

A hypothesis, specifically a research hypothesis, is formulated to predict an assumed relationship between two or more variables of interest.

If we reasonably guess that a relationship exists between the variables of interest, we first state it as a hypothesis and then test it in the field.

Hypotheses are stated in terms of the particular dependent and independent variables that are going to be used in the study.

Research Hypothesis Definition

A research hypothesis is a conjectural statement, a logical supposition, a reasonable guess, and an educated prediction about the nature of the relationship between two or more variables that we expect to happen in our study.

Unless you are creating an exploratory study, your hypothesis should always explain what you expect to happen during your experiment or research.

Remember, a hypothesis does not have to be correct. While the hypothesis predicts what the researchers expect to see, the research aims to determine whether this guess is right or wrong.

When experimenting, researchers might explore different factors to determine which ones might contribute to the outcome.

In many cases, researchers may find that the results of an experiment do not support the original hypothesis. When writing up these results, the researchers might suggest other options that should be explored in future studies.

Elements of a Good Hypothesis

Regardless of the type of hypothesis, the goal of a good hypothesis is to help explain the focus and direction of the experiment or research. As such, a good hypothesis will

• State the purpose of the research.
• Identify which variables are to be used.

A good hypothesis;

• Needs to be logical.
• Must be precise in language.
• It should be testable with research or experimentation.

A hypothesis is usually written in a form where it proposes that if something is done, then something will occur.

Finally, when you are trying to come up with a good hypothesis for your research or experiments, ask yourself the following questions:

• Is your hypothesis based on any previous research on a topic?
• Can your hypothesis be tested?
• Does your hypothesis include independent and dependent variables?

Before you come up with a specific hypothesis, spend some time doing background research on your topic.

Once you have completed a literature review, start thinking of potential questions you still have. Pay attention to the discussion section in the journal articles you read. Many authors will suggest questions that still need to be explored.

Basic Format of a Good Hypothesis

A hypothesis often follows a basic format of “If {this happens}, then {this will happen}.” One way to structure your hypothesis is to describe what will happen to the dependent variable if you change the independent variable.

The basic format might be:

“If {these changes are made to a certain independent variable}, then we will observe {a change in a specific dependent variable}.”

A few examples:

• Students who eat breakfast will perform better on a math test than students who do not eat breakfast.
• Students who experience test anxiety before an exam get higher scores than students who do not experience test anxiety.
• Drivers who talk on their mobile phones while driving will be more likely to make errors when driving than those who do not talk on the phone.
• People with high exposure to ultraviolet light will have a higher frequency of skin cancer than those who do not have such exposure.

Look at the last example.

Here is the independent variable (exposure to ultraviolet light)) is specified, and the dependent variable (skin cancer) is also specified.

Notice also that this research hypothesis specifies a direction in that it predicts that people exposed to ultraviolet light will have a higher risk of cancer.

This is not always the case. Research hypotheses can also specify a difference without saying which group will be better or higher than the other.

For example, one might formulate a hypothesis of the type: ‘Religion does not make any significant difference in the performance of cultural activities.’

In general, however, it is considered a better hypothesis if you can specify a direction.

Research hypotheses serve several important functions. The most important one is to direct and guide the research.

A few of the other functions of the research hypothesis are enumerated below:

• A research hypothesis indicates the major independent variables to be included in the study;
• A research hypothesis suggests the type of data that must be collected and the type of analysis that must be conducted to measure the relationship;
• A research hypothesis identifies facts that are relevant and that are not;
• A research hypothesis suggests the type of research design to be employed.

Types of Research Hypothesis

Two types of research hypotheses are;

• Descriptive hypothesis.
• Relational hypothesis.

Descriptive Hypotheses

Descriptive hypotheses are propositions that typically state some variables’ existence, size, form, or distribution.

These hypotheses are formulated in the form of statements in which we assign variables to cases.

For example,

• The prevalence of contraceptive use among currently married women in India exceeds 60%.

In this example, the case is ‘currently married women,’ and the variable is ‘prevalence of contraceptives.’ As a second example,

• The public universities are currently experiencing budget difficulties.

Here,’ public universities’ is the case, and ‘budget difficulties’ is the variable.

• The National Board of Revenue claims that over 15% of potential taxpayers falsify in their income tax returns.
• At most, 75% of the pre-school children in community A have a protein-deficient diet.
• The average sales in a superstore exceed taka 25 lac per month.
• Smoking increases the risk of lung cancer.
• The average longevity of women is higher among females than among males.
• Gainfully employed women tend to have lower than average fertility.
• Women with child loss experience will have higher fertility than those who do not have such experiences.

All examples of descriptive hypotheses.

It is important to note that the Descriptive hypothesis does not always have variables that can be designated as independent or dependent.

Relational Hypotheses

Relational hypotheses, on the other hand, are statements that describe the relationship between variables concerning some cases.

• Communities with many modern facilities will have a higher rate of contraception than communities with few modern facilities.

In this instance, the case is ‘communities,’ and the variables are ‘rate of contraception’ and ‘modern facilities.’

Similarly, “People who use chewing tobacco have a higher risk of oral carcinoma than people who have never used chewing tobacco” is a relational hypothesis.

A relational hypothesis is again of two types: correlational hypothesis and the causal hypothesis.

A correlational hypothesis states that variables occur in some predictable relationships without implying that one variable causes the other to change or take on different values.

Here is an example of a co-relational hypothesis:

• Males are more efficient than their female counterparts in typing.

In making such a statement, we do not claim that sex (male-female) as a variable influences the other variable,’ typing efficiency’ (less efficient-more efficient). Here is one more example of a correlational hypothesis:

• Saving habit is more pronounced among Christians than the people of other religions.

Once again, religion is not believed to be a factor in saving habits, although a positive relationship has been observed.

Look at the following example:

• The participation of women in household decision making increases with age, their level of education, and the number of surviving children.

Here too, women’s education, several surviving children, or education does not guarantee their decision-making autonomy.

With causal hypotheses (also called explanatory hypotheses), on the other hand, there is an implication that a change in one variable causes a change or leads to an effect on the other variable.

A causal variable is typically called an independent variable, and the other is the dependent variable. It is important to note that the term “cause” roughly means “help make happen.” So, the independent variable need not be the sole reason for the existence of or change in the dependent variable. Here are some examples of causal hypotheses:

• An increase in family income leads to an increase in the income saved.
• Exposure of mothers to mass media increases their knowledge of malnutrition among their children.
• An offer of a discount in a department store enhances the sales volume.
• Chewing tobacco increases the risk of oral carcinoma.
• Goat farming contributes to poverty alleviation of rural people.
• The utilization of child welfare clinics is the lowest in those clinics in which the clinic personnel are poorly motivated to provide preventive services.
• An increase in bank interest rate encourages the customers for increased savings.

In the above example, we have ample reasons to believe that one variable (family income and savings, misuse of credit, and farm size) has a bearing on the other variable.

We cite two more examples to illustrate the hypothesis, general objective, ultimate objective, and a few specific objectives.

General objective:

• To compare the complications of acceptors of laparoscopic sterilization and mini-laparotomy among American women.

Research hypothesis:

• The risk of complications is higher in the mini-laparotomy method of sterilization than in laparoscopic sterilization.

Specific objectives:

• To assess the complications of laparoscopic sterilization and mini-laparotomy.
• To assess service providers’ knowledge and perception regarding the complications, preferences, and convenience of the two methods.

Ultimate Objectives:

• To introduce and popularize the laparoscopic female sterilization method in the National Family Planning Program to reduce the rapid population growth rate.

In a study designed to examine the living and working conditions of the overseas migrant workers from India and the pattern of remittances from overseas migrant workers, the general objective, specific objectives, and the ultimate objective were formulated as follows:

• To examine the living and working conditions of the overseas migrant workers from India.”
• Characteristics of migrant workers by significant migration channels;
• Countries of destination;
• The occupational skill of the workers;
• Pattern and procedures of remittances;
• Impact of remittances on government revenue;
• Better utilization of remittances.

Ultimate objective:

• To suggest ways and means to minimize the differences in the policy adopted by the public and private sectors in their recruitment process in the interest of the workers;
• To ascertain the possible exploitation of the workers by the private agencies and suggest remedies for such exploitation.
• Private agencies, in most cases, exploit migrant workers.

What are the elements of a good hypothesis?

A good hypothesis should state the purpose of the research, identify which variables are to be used, be logical, precise in language, and be testable with research or experimentation.

How is a hypothesis typically structured?

A hypothesis often follows a basic format of “If {this happens}, then {this will happen}.” It proposes that if something is done, then a specific outcome will occur.

What is a Descriptive hypothesis?

Descriptive hypotheses are propositions that typically state some variables’ existence, size, form, or distribution. They are formulated in the form of statements in which variables are assigned to cases.

What distinguishes a Relational hypothesis?

Relational hypotheses describe the relationship between variables concerning some cases. They can be correlational, where variables occur in a predictable relationship without implying causation, or causal, where a change in one variable causes a change in another.

What is the difference between a correlational hypothesis and a causal hypothesis?

A correlational hypothesis states that variables occur in some predictable relationships without implying that one variable causes the other to change. A causal hypothesis, on the other hand, implies that a change in one variable causes a change or leads to an effect on the other variable.

What are the two main types of research hypotheses?

The two main types of research hypotheses are Descriptive hypothesis and Relational hypothesis

What is a hypothesis in the context of academic research?

A hypothesis is a statement about an expected relationship between variables or an explanation of an occurrence that is clear, specific, and testable.

How does a research hypothesis differ from a general hypothesis?

A research hypothesis is more specific and clear about what’s being assessed and the expected outcome. It must also be testable, meaning there should be a way to prove or disprove it.

What are the essential attributes of a good research hypothesis?

A good research hypothesis should have specificity, clarity, and testability.

Why is testability crucial for a research hypothesis?

Testability ensures that empirical research can prove or disproven the hypothesis. If a statement isn’t testable, it doesn’t qualify as a research hypothesis.

What is the null hypothesis?

The null hypothesis is the counter-proposal to the original hypothesis. It predicts that there is no relationship between the variables in question.

How can one ensure that a hypothesis is clear and specific?

A hypothesis should clearly identify the variables involved, the parties involved, and the expected relationship type, leaving no ambiguity about its intent or meaning.

Why is it essential to avoid value judgments in a research hypothesis?

Value judgments are subjective and not appropriate for a hypothesis. A research hypothesis should strive to be objective, avoiding personal opinions.

What is the basic definition of a hypothesis in research?

A research hypothesis is a statement about an expected relationship between variables, or an explanation of an occurrence, that is clear, specific, and testable.

While a general hypothesis is an idea or explanation based on known facts but not yet proven, a research hypothesis is a clear, specific, and testable statement about the expected outcome of a study.

What are the essential characteristics of a good research hypothesis?

A good research hypothesis should possess specificity, clarity, and testability. It should clearly define what’s being assessed and the expected outcome, and it must be possible to prove or disprove the statement through experimentation.

How can one ensure that a hypothesis is testable?

A hypothesis is testable if there’s a possibility to prove both its truth and falsity. The results of the hypothesis should be reproducible, and it should be specific enough to allow for clear testing procedures.

What is the difference between a null hypothesis and an alternative hypothesis?

The null hypothesis proposes that no statistical significance exists in a set of observations, suggesting any differences are due to chance alone. The alternative hypothesis, on the other hand, predicts a relationship between the variables of the study and states that the results are significant to the research topic.

How should one formulate an effective research hypothesis?

To formulate an effective research hypothesis, one should state the problem clearly, use an ‘if-then’ statement structure, define the variables as dependent or independent, and scrutinize the hypothesis to ensure it meets the criteria of specificity, clarity, and testability.

What are some types of hypotheses in research?

Types of hypotheses include simple, complex, directional, non-directional, associative and causal, empirical, and statistical hypotheses. Each type serves a specific purpose and is used based on the nature of the research question or problem.

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Scientific Research and Methodology

1.6 the components of research.

The research process typically follows the process in Fig. 1.1 . This is not always possible or practical, and the process is not always linear (researchers may jump from step to step as necessary). Nonetheless, following this process is good practice when possible.

FIGURE 1.1: The six basic steps in research

All these steps are discussed in this book:

• Asking the question: Chap. 2 .
• Designing the study: Chaps. 3 to 9 .
• Collecting the data: Chap. 10 .
• Describing and summarising the data: Chaps. 11 to 14 .
• Analysing the data: Chaps. 15 to 35 .
• Reporting the results: Chaps. 36 and 37 .

The 3 Required Parts of a Hypothesis: Understanding the Basics

• by Brian Thomas
• October 9, 2023

Have you ever wondered what it takes to create a hypothesis? Whether you’re a student delving into scientific research or just curious about the world around you, understanding the key components of a hypothesis is essential. In this blog post, we’ll explore the three required parts of a hypothesis, breaking down their importance and providing real-world examples along the way.

A hypothesis serves as the foundation of any scientific investigation , allowing researchers to form predictions and test their ideas. But what are these three essential elements that make up a hypothesis? How do you develop a hypothesis that is effective and meaningful? Join us as we unravel the mysteries of hypothesis writing and explore the stages of hypothesis testing. By the end of this post, you’ll be equipped with the knowledge to craft your own hypotheses and embark on exciting scientific endeavors. So let’s dive in!

What Are the 3 Essential Components of a Hypothesis?

When it comes to hypotheses, the three key components are like the three musketeers of scientific inquiry. Each element plays an important role in shaping the hypothesis and guiding the research process. So, let’s dive into the three essential parts of a hypothesis and unravel their roles, shall we?

The Sneaky Subject: “If”

The first amigo of our hypothesis trio is the sneaky subject “If.” This little word sets the stage for your hypothesis, introducing the condition or factor you are exploring in your research. It’s like the Sherlock Holmes of hypotheses, searching for clues and connections. Without the “If,” our hypothesis would be as lost as a penguin in the Sahara.

The Clever Connection: “Then”

Ah, the clever companion “Then” joins the hypothesis party! This element helps you establish the expected outcome based on your “If” condition. It’s the bridge that connects your hypothesis to the results you hope to find. Think of it as the conductor of a symphony, orchestrating the relationship between the “If” and the “Then” in harmonious scientific fashion.

The Mighty Explanation: “Because”

Last but certainly not least, we have the mighty explanation “Because.” This component adds depth and substance to your hypothesis by providing a rationale or reason for your expected outcome. It’s like the wise old sage who imparts wisdom and knowledge. With the “Because” in place, your hypothesis transforms from a mere statement into a well-grounded prediction.

Putting It All Together

Now that we’ve met the three essential parts of a hypothesis, let’s see how they work together in a hypothetical example:

If eating chocolate leads to increased happiness, then individuals who consume chocolate daily because they have lower stress levels will report higher levels of satisfaction and well-being.

In this example, the “If” identifies the condition being explored (eating chocolate), the “Then” predicts the expected outcome (higher levels of satisfaction and well-being), and the “Because” provides the rationale (lower stress levels). It’s like a mini science equation, where each element contributes to the overall hypothesis.

Hypotheses are like the backbone of scientific research, guiding the direction and purpose of investigations. By understanding the three essential components – the sneaky “If,” clever “Then,” and mighty “Because” – you’re equipped to construct robust hypotheses that withstand the scrutiny of the scientific world. So, go forth and let your hypotheses shine like beacons of knowledge in the vast sea of research!

Remember, the next time you encounter a hypothesis, you’ll know its secret formula: “If” + “Then” + “Because” = scientific awesomeness!

FAQ: What are the 3 Required Parts of a Hypothesis?

Welcome to our comprehensive FAQ-style guide on hypotheses! If you’ve ever wondered about the key components of a hypothesis or how to develop one for your research paper, you’ve come to the right place. In this FAQ, we’ll address common questions and provide you with the information you need in a friendly, engaging, and even humorous way. So, grab a cup of coffee and let’s dive in!

What are the Requirements for a Hypothesis

A hypothesis is an essential part of the scientific method, serving as a description of the expected outcome of a research study. It must meet a few requirements to be considered valid:

Clear and Testable : A hypothesis should be formulated in a way that allows it to be empirically tested or proved wrong. Fuzzy or ambiguous hypotheses won’t hold up under scrutiny, so precision is key.

Based on Existing Knowledge : Your hypothesis should be grounded in previous research or observations. It should build upon what is already known in the field, helping to advance scientific understanding.

Specific and Measurable : A good hypothesis needs to be specific and measurable, allowing for objective evaluation. Vague statements won’t cut it – scientists want something concrete to sink their teeth into.

What Makes a Valid Hypothesis? 3 Things!

A valid hypothesis possesses three crucial characteristics, which we’ll explore in detail:

Dependent and Independent Variables : To create a valid hypothesis, you need to identify the dependent and independent variables. The dependent variable is the outcome you’re investigating, while the independent variable is the one manipulated to measure its effect on the dependent variable. This relationship forms the core of your hypothesis.

Directional Statement : Your hypothesis should include a directional statement that predicts the expected outcome of your research. Will the independent variable have a positive, negative, or no effect on the dependent variable? Don’t be shy – make a bold prediction!

Testability : A hypothesis must be testable through experiments or observations. This means you need to design a method to gather data and analyze whether it supports or refutes your hypothesis. It’s all about putting your hypothesis to the test and embracing scientific scrutiny.

What is a Hypothesis Example

Let’s put theory into practice with an example: – Hypothesis: “Increasing the amount of sunlight exposure will lead to faster plant growth.” – In this example, the dependent variable is plant growth, while the independent variable is the amount of sunlight exposure. The hypothesis is clear, testable, and includes a directional statement. Now go out there and test it with your green thumbs!

What are the Main Characteristics of a Hypothesis

A good hypothesis possesses several key characteristics. Take a look at these essential traits:

Precise : A hypothesis should be clear and unambiguous to avoid misinterpretation or confusion. Leave no room for doubt!

Falsifiable : For a hypothesis to be valid, it must be capable of being disproven or proven wrong. It should be open to testing and potential refutation.

Relevant : It’s important for a hypothesis to be relevant to the research question or problem at hand. It should address a specific aspect and contribute to the existing body of knowledge.

Logical : Logical coherence is crucial in a hypothesis. There should be a clear connection between the proposed relationship of variables and any supporting evidence or rationale.

What’s a Research Hypothesis

A research hypothesis is a statement formulated to predict a possible outcome of a research study. It serves as a proposed explanation or prediction based on existing knowledge and sets the groundwork for further investigation. Research hypotheses help guide scientific research and provide a clear focus for researchers to explore.

How Do You Write a Hypothesis for a Research Paper

When writing a hypothesis for a research paper, remember these steps:

Identify the Variables : Determine the dependent and independent variables in your study. The dependent variable is the outcome you’re interested in, while the independent variable is the one you’re manipulating.

Formulate a Question : Based on your research and variables, frame a clear and specific research question that links the variables together.

Craft a Statement : Turn your research question into a statement that predicts the relationship between the variables. Make it precise, testable, and include a directional statement.

Revise and Refine : Review your hypothesis for clarity, testability, and logical coherence. Refine it until it accurately represents your research expectations.

Research papers thrive on solid hypotheses, so take the time to craft yours with care!

What are Three Types of Scientific Studies

Scientific studies come in different flavors, each serving a unique purpose:

Observational Studies : These studies involve observing and analyzing existing data or phenomena without manipulating variables. They help identify associations or relationships but can’t establish causation.

Experimental Studies : Experimental studies involve manipulating variables to observe their effects on the dependent variable. These studies allow for causal relationships to be established.

Descriptive Studies : Descriptive studies seek to describe characteristics or behaviors within a population. They often involve surveys, interviews, or observations to collect data.

Consider the nature of your research to determine which type of study is most appropriate for your hypothesis.

How Do You Develop a Research Hypothesis

Developing a research hypothesis requires careful consideration and planning. Follow these steps:

Review Existing Literature : Familiarize yourself with the relevant research already conducted in your field. What questions remain unanswered? What potential gaps can you address?

Identify Variables : Determine the key variables involved in your study. Specify the independent and dependent variables that establish the relationship to be tested.

Formulate a Hypothesis : Create a clear and testable hypothesis that predicts the expected outcome. Make sure it aligns with previous research, is specific, and includes a directional statement.

Refine and Iterate : Continuously refine and iterate your hypothesis as you gather more information and insights. Adapt it based on feedback, new findings, or emerging theories.

Developing a research hypothesis is an iterative process that requires thoughtfulness and adaptability. Embrace the journey!

What are the Needs of Hypothesis in Research

Hypotheses play a vital role in the research process. Here are the key needs they fulfill:

Focus : Hypotheses provide a clear focus for research efforts by highlighting the expected outcome and guiding the investigation.

Testability : Hypotheses allow researchers to design experiments and collect data to test their predictions. This allows for objective evaluation and validation.

Advancement of Knowledge : By formulating hypotheses, researchers contribute to the existing body of knowledge in their field. They add new insights and build upon previous work.

Logic and Coherence : Hypotheses drive research by providing a logical framework and rationale for conducting the study. They ensure that research efforts are purposeful and well-grounded.

What are Types of Hypothesis

Hypotheses can fall into different categories based on their nature and purpose. Here are a few common types:

Null Hypothesis : The null hypothesis states that there is no significant relationship between the variables under investigation. Researchers aim to reject this hypothesis to support their alternative hypothesis.

Alternative Hypothesis : The alternative hypothesis reflects the researcher’s prediction of a specific relationship between variables. It’s the opposite of the null hypothesis and what researchers hope to support.

Directional Hypothesis : A directional hypothesis predicts the direction of the relationship between variables. It specifies whether the effect will be positive or negative, leaving no room for ambiguity.

Non-Directional Hypothesis : In contrast, a non-directional hypothesis simply predicts that a relationship exists between variables, without specifying the direction.

Consider the specific context of your research to determine the most appropriate type of hypothesis to formulate.

What are the Stages of Hypothesis

The hypothesis goes through several stages in the research process:

Formulation : In this initial stage, the researcher identifies the research question, variables, and constructs a hypothesis to guide the investigation.

Design : The hypothesis helps determine the research design and methodology. It guides the selection of variables, sample size, data collection methods, and statistical analyses.

Testing : During this stage, the researcher collects and analyzes data to evaluate the hypothesis. Statistical tests are often used to determine if the data supports or refutes the hypothesis.

Conclusion : Based on the analysis of the data, the researcher draws conclusions about the hypothesis. The hypothesis is either supported or rejected, leading to further research or new questions.

Remember, the hypothesis is not a one-time thing. It evolves throughout the research process, integrating new knowledge and findings.

What is the Process of Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis testing involves a systematic process to assess the validity of a hypothesis. Here’s a simplified overview:

State the Hypotheses : Clearly articulate the null and alternative hypotheses based on your research question and expected outcomes.

Collect Data : Gather relevant data through surveys, observations, or experiments, depending on your research design.

Analyze Data : Apply appropriate statistical analyses to your data, comparing it to the expected outcomes.

Determine Significance : Assess the statistical significance of your findings. If the p-value is below a predetermined threshold (often 0.05), you can reject the null hypothesis and support the alternative hypothesis.

Draw Conclusions : Based on the analysis, draw conclusions regarding the hypothesis and its implications for your research.

Remember, hypothesis testing is a crucial step in the scientific process, providing evidence to support or refute theories.

How Many Steps are Required to Conduct a Hypothesis Testing

Hypothesis testing typically involves the following four steps:

Formulate Hypotheses : Articulate the null and alternative hypotheses that reflect your research question and predicted outcomes accurately.

Choose a Significance Level : Determine the desired level of significance (usually 0.05), representing the probability of obtaining results as extreme as those observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.

Collect and Analyze Data : Gather data through experiments or observations, then analyze it using appropriate statistical tests, such as t-tests or chi-square tests.

Interpret Results : Evaluate the results and determine whether the data supports or refutes the null hypothesis. Consider the p-value, confidence intervals, and effect size when interpreting results.

Don’t let these steps intimidate you – they are the building blocks of scientific inquiry and help ensure robust conclusions.

What are the Key Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis

A good hypothesis possesses several key characteristics worth mentioning:

Testability : A hypothesis needs to be testable through empirical evidence, allowing researchers to gather data and substantiate it scientifically.

Specificity : A good hypothesis is precise and specific, leaving no room for ambiguity or misinterpretation. It focuses on a well-defined relationship between variables.

Relevance : A hypothesis should address a relevant research question or problem, contributing to the existing knowledge base in the field.

Logical Coherence : There should be a logical connection between the proposed relationship and any supporting evidence or theoretical framework.

Keep these characteristics in mind when crafting your hypothesis, and you’ll be well on your way to conducting sound research.

What are the 4 Steps of Hypothesis Testing

State the Hypotheses : Clearly articulate the null and alternative hypotheses, representing the current understanding and the researcher’s prediction, respectively.

Determine the Test Statistic : Select an appropriate test statistic based on the research question and type of data you’re analyzing.

Calculate the p-value : Calculate the p-value, which represents the probability of obtaining results as extreme as those observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.

Conclusion : Compare the calculated p-value to the predefined significance level to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. Make sure to interpret the results in the context of your research question.

These steps form the backbone of hypothesis testing, allowing you to draw meaningful conclusions based on statistical evidence.

Congratulations on making it to the end of our FAQ on the three required parts of a hypothesis! We’ve covered everything from the requirements of a hypothesis to types of hypotheses and even the stages of hypothesis testing. Armed with this knowledge, you’re ready to tackle your research projects with confidence. Remember, hypotheses are the backbone of scientific inquiry, so take your time to craft them, test them, and embrace the exciting process of discovery. Happy researching!

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as professional advice. Always consult with a qualified researcher before conducting any experiments or research studies.

• hypothesis testing
• independent variables
• mere statement
• null hypothesis
• observations
• research process
• research study
• scientific research

Brian Thomas

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Biology library

Course: biology library   >   unit 1, the scientific method.

• Controlled experiments
• The scientific method and experimental design

Introduction

• Make an observation.
• Ask a question.
• Form a hypothesis , or testable explanation.
• Make a prediction based on the hypothesis.
• Test the prediction.
• Iterate: use the results to make new hypotheses or predictions.

Scientific method example: Failure to toast

1. make an observation..

• Observation: the toaster won't toast.

2. Ask a question.

• Question: Why won't my toaster toast?

3. Propose a hypothesis.

• Hypothesis: Maybe the outlet is broken.

4. Make predictions.

• Prediction: If I plug the toaster into a different outlet, then it will toast the bread.

5. Test the predictions.

• Test of prediction: Plug the toaster into a different outlet and try again.
• If the toaster does toast, then the hypothesis is supported—likely correct.
• If the toaster doesn't toast, then the hypothesis is not supported—likely wrong.

Logical possibility

Practical possibility, building a body of evidence, 6. iterate..

• Iteration time!
• If the hypothesis was supported, we might do additional tests to confirm it, or revise it to be more specific. For instance, we might investigate why the outlet is broken.
• If the hypothesis was not supported, we would come up with a new hypothesis. For instance, the next hypothesis might be that there's a broken wire in the toaster.

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Product Talk

Make better product decisions.

The 5 Components of a Good Hypothesis

November 12, 2014 by Teresa Torres

Update: I’ve since revised this hypothesis format. You can find the most current version in this article:

• How to Improve Your Experiment Design (And Build Trust in Your Product Experiments)

“My hypothesis is …”

These words are becoming more common everyday. Product teams are starting to talk like scientists. Are you?

The internet industry is going through a mindset shift. Instead of assuming we have all the right answers, we are starting to acknowledge that building products is hard. We are accepting the reality that our ideas are going to fail more often than they are going to succeed.

Rather than waiting to find out which ideas are which after engineers build them, smart product teams are starting to integrate experimentation into their product discovery process. They are asking themselves, how can we test this idea before we invest in it?

This process starts with formulating a good hypothesis.

These Are Not the Hypotheses You Are Looking For

When we are new to hypothesis testing, we tend to start with hypotheses like these:

• Fixing the hard-to-use comment form will increase user engagement.
• A redesign will improve site usability.
• Reducing prices will make customers happy.

There’s only one problem. These aren’t testable hypotheses. They aren’t specific enough.

A good hypothesis can be clearly refuted or supported by an experiment. – Tweet This

To make sure that your hypotheses can be supported or refuted by an experiment, you will want to include each of these elements:

• the change that you are testing
• what impact we expect the change to have
• who you expect it to impact
• by how much
• after how long

The Change:  This is the change that you are introducing to your product. You are testing a new design, you are adding new copy to a landing page, or you are rolling out a new feature.

Be sure to get specific. Fixing a hard-to-use comment form is not specific enough. How will you fix it? Some solutions might work. Others might not. Each is a hypothesis in its own right.

Design changes can be particularly challenging. Your hypothesis should cover a specific design not the idea of a redesign.

In other words, use this:

• This specific design will increase conversions.
• Redesigning the landing page will increase conversions.

The former can be supported or refuted by an experiment. The latter can encompass dozens of design solutions, where some might work and others might not.

The Expected Impact:  The expected impact should clearly define what you expect to see as a result of making the change.

How will you know if your change is successful? Will it reduce response times, increase conversions, or grow your audience?

The expected impact needs to be specific and measurable. – Tweet This

You might hypothesize that your new design will increase usability. This isn’t specific enough.

You need to define how you will measure an increase in usability. Will it reduce the time to complete some action? Will it increase customer satisfaction? Will it reduce bounce rates?

There are dozens of ways that you might measure an increase in usability. In order for this to be a testable hypothesis, you need to define which metric you expect to be affected by this change.

Who Will Be Impacted: The third component of a good hypothesis is who will be impacted by this change. Too often, we assume everyone. But this is rarely the case.

I was recently working with a product manager who was testing a sign up form popup upon exiting a page.

I’m sure you’ve seen these before. You are reading a blog post and just as you are about to navigate away, you get a popup that asks, “Would you like to subscribe to our newsletter?”

She A/B tested this change by showing it to half of her population, leaving the rest as her control group. But there was a problem.

Some of her visitors were already subscribers. They don’t need to subscribe again. For this population, the answer to this popup will always be no.

Rather than testing with her whole population, she should be testing with just the people who are not currently subscribers.

This isn’t easy to do. And it might not sound like it’s worth the effort, but it’s the only way to get good results.

Suppose she has 100 visitors. Fifty see the popup and fifty don’t. If 45 of the people who see the popup are already subscribers and as a result they all say no, and of the five remaining visitors only 1 says yes, it’s going to look like her conversion rate is 1 out of 50, or 2%. However, if she limits her test to just the people who haven’t subscribed, her conversion rate is 1 out of 5, or 20%. This is a huge difference.

Who you test with is often the most important factor for getting clean results. – Tweet This

By how much: The fourth component builds on the expected impact. You need to define how much of an impact you expect your change to have.

For example, if you are hypothesizing that your change will increase conversion rates, then you need to estimate by how much, as in the change will increase conversion rate from x% to y%, where x is your current conversion rate and y is your expected conversion rate after making the change.

This can be hard to do and is often a guess. However, you still want to do it. It serves two purposes.

First, it helps you draw a line in the sand. This number should determine in black and white terms whether or not your hypothesis passes or fails and should dictate how you act on the results.

Suppose you hypothesize that the change will improve conversion rates by 10%, then if your change results in a 9% increase, your hypothesis fails.

This might seem extreme, but it’s a critical step in making sure that you don’t succumb to your own biases down the road.

It’s very easy after the fact to determine that 9% is good enough. Or that 2% is good enough. Or that -2% is okay, because you like the change. Without a line in the sand, you are setting yourself up to ignore your data.

The second reason why you need to define by how much is so that you can calculate for how long to run your test.

After how long:  Too many teams run their tests for an arbitrary amount of time or stop the results when one version is winning.

This is a problem. It opens you up to false positives and releasing changes that don’t actually have an impact.

If you hypothesize the expected impact ahead of time than you can use a duration calculator to determine for how long to run the test.

Finally, you want to add the duration of the test to your hypothesis. This will help to ensure that everyone knows that your results aren’t valid until the duration has passed.

If your traffic is sporadic, “how long” doesn’t have to be defined in time. It can also be defined in page views or sign ups or after a specific number of any event.

Putting It All Together

Use the following examples as templates for your own hypotheses:

• Design x [the change] will increase conversions [the impact] for search campaign traffic [the who] by 10% [the how much] after 7 days [the how long].
• Reducing the sign up steps from 3 to 1 will increase signs up by 25% for new visitors after 1,000 visits to the sign up page.
• This subject line will increase open rates for daily digest subscribers by 15% after 3 days.

After you write a hypothesis, break it down into its five components to make sure that you haven’t forgotten anything.

• Change: this subject line
• Impact: will increase open rates
• Who: for daily digest subscribers
• By how much: by 15%
• After how long: After 3 days

And then ask yourself:

• Is your expected impact specific and measurable?
• Can you clearly explain why the change will drive the expected impact?
• Are you testing with the right population?
• Did you estimate your how much based on a baseline and / or comparable changes? (more on this in a future post)
• Did you calculate the duration using a duration calculator?

It’s easy to give lip service to experimentation and hypothesis testing. But if you want to get the most out of your efforts, make sure you are starting with a good hypothesis.

Did you learn something new reading this article? Keep learning. Subscribe to the Product Talk mailing list to get the next article in this series delivered to your inbox.

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May 21, 2017 at 2:11 am

Interesting article, I am thinking about making forming a hypothesis around my product, if certain customers will find a proposed value useful. Can you kindly let me know if I’m on the right track.

“Certain customer segment (AAA) will find value in feature (XXX), to tackle their pain point ”

Change: using a feature (XXX)/ product Impact: will reduce monetary costs/ help solve a problem Who: for certain customers segment (AAA) By how much: by 5% After how long: 10 days

April 4, 2020 at 12:33 pm

Hi! Could you throw a little light on this: “Suppose you hypothesize that the change will improve conversion rates by 10%, then if your change results in a 9% increase, your hypothesis fails.”

I understood the rationale behind having a number x (10% in this case) associated with “by how much”, but could you explain with an example of how to ballpark a figure like this?

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Components of a research proposal.

In general, the proposal components include:

Introduction: Provides reader with a broad overview of problem in context.

Statement of problem: Answers the question, “What research problem are you going to investigate?”

Literature review: Shows how your approach builds on existing research; helps you identify methodological and design issues in studies similar to your own; introduces you to measurement tools others have used effectively; helps you interpret findings; and ties results of your work to those who’ve preceded you.

Research design and methods: Describes how you’ll go about answering your research questions and confirming your hypothesis(es). Lists the hypothesis(es) to be tested, or states research question you’ll ask to seek a solution to your research problem. Include as much detail as possible: measurement instruments and procedures, subjects and sample size.

The research design is what you’ll also need to submit for approval from the Institutional Review Board (IRB) or the Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee (IACUC) if your research involves human or animal subjects, respectively.

Timeline: Breaks your project into small, easily doable steps via backwards calendar.

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Hypothesis is a testable statement that explains what is happening or observed. It proposes the relation between the various participating variables. Hypothesis is also called Theory, Thesis, Guess, Assumption, or Suggestion. Hypothesis creates a structure that guides the search for knowledge.

In this article, we will learn what is hypothesis, its characteristics, types, and examples. We will also learn how hypothesis helps in scientific research.

What is Hypothesis?

A hypothesis is a suggested idea or plan that has little proof, meant to lead to more study. It’s mainly a smart guess or suggested answer to a problem that can be checked through study and trial. In science work, we make guesses called hypotheses to try and figure out what will happen in tests or watching. These are not sure things but rather ideas that can be proved or disproved based on real-life proofs. A good theory is clear and can be tested and found wrong if the proof doesn’t support it.

Hypothesis Meaning

A hypothesis is a proposed statement that is testable and is given for something that happens or observed.

• It is made using what we already know and have seen, and it’s the basis for scientific research.
• A clear guess tells us what we think will happen in an experiment or study.
• It’s a testable clue that can be proven true or wrong with real-life facts and checking it out carefully.
• It usually looks like a “if-then” rule, showing the expected cause and effect relationship between what’s being studied.

Characteristics of Hypothesis

Here are some key characteristics of a hypothesis:

• Testable: An idea (hypothesis) should be made so it can be tested and proven true through doing experiments or watching. It should show a clear connection between things.
• Specific: It needs to be easy and on target, talking about a certain part or connection between things in a study.
• Falsifiable: A good guess should be able to show it’s wrong. This means there must be a chance for proof or seeing something that goes against the guess.
• Logical and Rational: It should be based on things we know now or have seen, giving a reasonable reason that fits with what we already know.
• Predictive: A guess often tells what to expect from an experiment or observation. It gives a guide for what someone might see if the guess is right.
• Concise: It should be short and clear, showing the suggested link or explanation simply without extra confusion.
• Grounded in Research: A guess is usually made from before studies, ideas or watching things. It comes from a deep understanding of what is already known in that area.
• Flexible: A guess helps in the research but it needs to change or fix when new information comes up.
• Relevant: It should be related to the question or problem being studied, helping to direct what the research is about.
• Empirical: Hypotheses come from observations and can be tested using methods based on real-world experiences.

Sources of Hypothesis

Hypotheses can come from different places based on what you’re studying and the kind of research. Here are some common sources from which hypotheses may originate:

• Existing Theories: Often, guesses come from well-known science ideas. These ideas may show connections between things or occurrences that scientists can look into more.
• Observation and Experience: Watching something happen or having personal experiences can lead to guesses. We notice odd things or repeat events in everyday life and experiments. This can make us think of guesses called hypotheses.
• Previous Research: Using old studies or discoveries can help come up with new ideas. Scientists might try to expand or question current findings, making guesses that further study old results.
• Literature Review: Looking at books and research in a subject can help make guesses. Noticing missing parts or mismatches in previous studies might make researchers think up guesses to deal with these spots.
• Problem Statement or Research Question: Often, ideas come from questions or problems in the study. Making clear what needs to be looked into can help create ideas that tackle certain parts of the issue.
• Analogies or Comparisons: Making comparisons between similar things or finding connections from related areas can lead to theories. Understanding from other fields could create new guesses in a different situation.
• Hunches and Speculation: Sometimes, scientists might get a gut feeling or make guesses that help create ideas to test. Though these may not have proof at first, they can be a beginning for looking deeper.
• Technology and Innovations: New technology or tools might make guesses by letting us look at things that were hard to study before.
• Personal Interest and Curiosity: People’s curiosity and personal interests in a topic can help create guesses. Scientists could make guesses based on their own likes or love for a subject.

Types of Hypothesis

Here are some common types of hypotheses:

Simple Hypothesis

Complex hypothesis, directional hypothesis.

• Non-directional Hypothesis

Null Hypothesis (H0)

Alternative hypothesis (h1 or ha), statistical hypothesis, research hypothesis, associative hypothesis, causal hypothesis.

Simple Hypothesis guesses a connection between two things. It says that there is a connection or difference between variables, but it doesn’t tell us which way the relationship goes.

Complex Hypothesis tells us what will happen when more than two things are connected. It looks at how different things interact and may be linked together.

Directional Hypothesis says how one thing is related to another. For example, it guesses that one thing will help or hurt another thing.

Non-Directional Hypothesis

Non-Directional Hypothesis are the one that don’t say how the relationship between things will be. They just say that there is a connection, without telling which way it goes.

Null hypothesis is a statement that says there’s no connection or difference between different things. It implies that any seen impacts are because of luck or random changes in the information.

Alternative Hypothesis is different from the null hypothesis and shows that there’s a big connection or gap between variables. Scientists want to say no to the null hypothesis and choose the alternative one.

Statistical Hypotheis are used in math testing and include making ideas about what groups or bits of them look like. You aim to get information or test certain things using these top-level, common words only.

Research Hypothesis comes from the research question and tells what link is expected between things or factors. It leads the study and chooses where to look more closely.

Associative Hypotheis guesses that there is a link or connection between things without really saying it caused them. It means that when one thing changes, it is connected to another thing changing.

Causal Hypothesis are different from other ideas because they say that one thing causes another. This means there’s a cause and effect relationship between variables involved in the situation. They say that when one thing changes, it directly makes another thing change.

Hypothesis Examples

Following are the examples of hypotheses based on their types:

Simple Hypothesis Example

• Studying more can help you do better on tests.
• Getting more sun makes people have higher amounts of vitamin D.

Complex Hypothesis Example

• How rich you are, how easy it is to get education and healthcare greatly affects the number of years people live.
• A new medicine’s success relies on the amount used, how old a person is who takes it and their genes.

Directional Hypothesis Example

• Drinking more sweet drinks is linked to a higher body weight score.
• Too much stress makes people less productive at work.

Non-directional Hypothesis Example

• Drinking caffeine can affect how well you sleep.
• People often like different kinds of music based on their gender.
• The average test scores of Group A and Group B are not much different.
• There is no connection between using a certain fertilizer and how much it helps crops grow.

Alternative Hypothesis (Ha)

• Patients on Diet A have much different cholesterol levels than those following Diet B.
• Exposure to a certain type of light can change how plants grow compared to normal sunlight.
• The average smarts score of kids in a certain school area is 100.
• The usual time it takes to finish a job using Method A is the same as with Method B.
• Having more kids go to early learning classes helps them do better in school when they get older.
• Using specific ways of talking affects how much customers get involved in marketing activities.
• Regular exercise helps to lower the chances of heart disease.
• Going to school more can help people make more money.
• Playing violent video games makes teens more likely to act aggressively.
• Less clean air directly impacts breathing health in city populations.

Functions of Hypothesis

Hypotheses have many important jobs in the process of scientific research. Here are the key functions of hypotheses:

• Guiding Research: Hypotheses give a clear and exact way for research. They act like guides, showing the predicted connections or results that scientists want to study.
• Formulating Research Questions: Research questions often create guesses. They assist in changing big questions into particular, checkable things. They guide what the study should be focused on.
• Setting Clear Objectives: Hypotheses set the goals of a study by saying what connections between variables should be found. They set the targets that scientists try to reach with their studies.
• Testing Predictions: Theories guess what will happen in experiments or observations. By doing tests in a planned way, scientists can check if what they see matches the guesses made by their ideas.
• Providing Structure: Theories give structure to the study process by arranging thoughts and ideas. They aid scientists in thinking about connections between things and plan experiments to match.
• Focusing Investigations: Hypotheses help scientists focus on certain parts of their study question by clearly saying what they expect links or results to be. This focus makes the study work better.
• Facilitating Communication: Theories help scientists talk to each other effectively. Clearly made guesses help scientists to tell others what they plan, how they will do it and the results expected. This explains things well with colleagues in a wide range of audiences.
• Generating Testable Statements: A good guess can be checked, which means it can be looked at carefully or tested by doing experiments. This feature makes sure that guesses add to the real information used in science knowledge.
• Promoting Objectivity: Guesses give a clear reason for study that helps guide the process while reducing personal bias. They motivate scientists to use facts and data as proofs or disprovals for their proposed answers.
• Driving Scientific Progress: Making, trying out and adjusting ideas is a cycle. Even if a guess is proven right or wrong, the information learned helps to grow knowledge in one specific area.

How Hypothesis help in Scientific Research?

Researchers use hypotheses to put down their thoughts directing how the experiment would take place. Following are the steps that are involved in the scientific method:

• Initiating Investigations: Hypotheses are the beginning of science research. They come from watching, knowing what’s already known or asking questions. This makes scientists make certain explanations that need to be checked with tests.
• Formulating Research Questions: Ideas usually come from bigger questions in study. They help scientists make these questions more exact and testable, guiding the study’s main point.
• Setting Clear Objectives: Hypotheses set the goals of a study by stating what we think will happen between different things. They set the goals that scientists want to reach by doing their studies.
• Designing Experiments and Studies: Assumptions help plan experiments and watchful studies. They assist scientists in knowing what factors to measure, the techniques they will use and gather data for a proposed reason.
• Testing Predictions: Ideas guess what will happen in experiments or observations. By checking these guesses carefully, scientists can see if the seen results match up with what was predicted in each hypothesis.
• Analysis and Interpretation of Data: Hypotheses give us a way to study and make sense of information. Researchers look at what they found and see if it matches the guesses made in their theories. They decide if the proof backs up or disagrees with these suggested reasons why things are happening as expected.
• Encouraging Objectivity: Hypotheses help make things fair by making sure scientists use facts and information to either agree or disagree with their suggested reasons. They lessen personal preferences by needing proof from experience.
• Iterative Process: People either agree or disagree with guesses, but they still help the ongoing process of science. Findings from testing ideas make us ask new questions, improve those ideas and do more tests. It keeps going on in the work of science to keep learning things.

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Summary – Hypothesis

A hypothesis is a testable statement serving as an initial explanation for phenomena, based on observations, theories, or existing knowledge. It acts as a guiding light for scientific research, proposing potential relationships between variables that can be empirically tested through experiments and observations. The hypothesis must be specific, testable, falsifiable, and grounded in prior research or observation, laying out a predictive, if-then scenario that details a cause-and-effect relationship. It originates from various sources including existing theories, observations, previous research, and even personal curiosity, leading to different types, such as simple, complex, directional, non-directional, null, and alternative hypotheses, each serving distinct roles in research methodology. The hypothesis not only guides the research process by shaping objectives and designing experiments but also facilitates objective analysis and interpretation of data, ultimately driving scientific progress through a cycle of testing, validation, and refinement.

FAQs on Hypothesis

What is a hypothesis.

A guess is a possible explanation or forecast that can be checked by doing research and experiments.

What are Components of a Hypothesis?

The components of a Hypothesis are Independent Variable, Dependent Variable, Relationship between Variables, Directionality etc.

What makes a Good Hypothesis?

Testability, Falsifiability, Clarity and Precision, Relevance are some parameters that makes a Good Hypothesis

Can a Hypothesis be Proven True?

You cannot prove conclusively that most hypotheses are true because it’s generally impossible to examine all possible cases for exceptions that would disprove them.

How are Hypotheses Tested?

Hypothesis testing is used to assess the plausibility of a hypothesis by using sample data

Can Hypotheses change during Research?

Yes, you can change or improve your ideas based on new information discovered during the research process.

What is the Role of a Hypothesis in Scientific Research?

Hypotheses are used to support scientific research and bring about advancements in knowledge.

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Representation of research hypotheses

Larisa n soldatova.

1 Department of Computer Science, Penglais, Aberystwyth University, Wales, UK

Andrey Rzhetsky

2 Department of Medicine & Department of Human Genetics, the University of Chicago, USA

Hypotheses are now being automatically produced on an industrial scale by computers in biology, e.g. the annotation of a genome is essentially a large set of hypotheses generated by sequence similarity programs; and robot scientists enable the full automation of a scientific investigation, including generation and testing of research hypotheses.

This paper proposes a logically defined way for recording automatically generated hypotheses in machine amenable way. The proposed formalism allows the description of complete hypotheses sets as specified input and output for scientific investigations. The formalism supports the decomposition of research hypotheses into more specialised hypotheses if that is required by an application. Hypotheses are represented in an operational way – it is possible to design an experiment to test them. The explicit formal description of research hypotheses promotes the explicit formal description of the results and conclusions of an investigation. The paper also proposes a framework for automated hypotheses generation. We demonstrate how the key components of the proposed framework are implemented in the Robot Scientist “Adam”.

Conclusions

A formal representation of automatically generated research hypotheses can help to improve the way humans produce, record, and validate research hypotheses.

Availability

http://www.aber.ac.uk/en/cs/research/cb/projects/robotscientist/results/

Research hypotheses are the heart of scientific endeavours; the accurate, unambiguous and operational representation of them is vital for the formal recording and analysis of investigations. Hypotheses should be represented and recorded so as to accurately capture the semantic meaning of the hypothesis and to promote the manual (or automated) design of experiments to test these hypotheses.

A number of projects aim to address the need to represent and record research hypotheses in a semantically defined form. Hypotheses in the Semantic Web Applications in Neuroscience (SWAN) Alzheimer knowledge-base are portions of natural language text which are represented as research statements (discourse-elements), and these are linked (via discourse-relations) to other discourse elements and citations which specify the author's name, article, journal, etc. [ 1 ]. Similarly, the Ontology for Biomedical Investigations (OBI) models hypotheses as the class obi:hypothesis textual entity , (here and further in the text we use italic for ontological classes and relations where appropriate), where hypotheses are part of obi:objective specification of obi:investigation [ 2 , 3 ]. The ART project [ 4 ] considers scientific papers as textual representation of scientific investigations, and uses the key classes from the generic ontology of experiments EXPO [ 5 ] to annotate papers. The class expo:hypothesis is used to annotate sentences which describe research hypotheses. For example, the paper b310850 from the ART Corpus of 225 annotated by experts papers [ 6 ] contains a sentence which has been annotated as a hypothesis:

<s sid="41"><annotationART atype="GSC" type="Hyp" conceptID="Hyp1" novelty="None" advantage="None">This means that whereas a central ligand may change chemical properties somewhat, this should only be a second order effect on the properties we are studying here.</annotationART></s>

The extraction of hypotheses from literature as textual entities, and the deposition of these hypotheses into publicly available, comprehensive, and semantically annotated collections opens up new prospects for knowledge sharing and exchange. The open and easy access to a whole range of alternative hypotheses reflecting a plurality of often contrarian theories, opinions, and views could significantly speed up the scientific progress. Unfortunately, it is typically hard to capture the precise semantic meaning of a hypothesis expressed as a textual entity; as sometimes it is impossible to understand the meaning and correctly process the hypothesis without reading a considerable portion of the surrounding text. Textual representation of the hypotheses retrieved from literature is mostly intended for “consumption” by humans, and has limited value for automatic processing.

A number of projects try to overcome this limitation and translate hypotheses into a machine-processable format. The HyBrow (Hypothesis Browser) tool for designing hypotheses, and evaluating them for consistency with existing knowledge, uses an ontology of hypotheses to represent hypotheses in machine understandable form as relations between objects (agents) and processes [ 7 , 8 ]. A hypothesis event is considered to be an abstract biological event. The ontology accommodates currently available literature data, extracted primarily from Yeast Proteome Database at a coarse level of resolution [ 9 ]. The Large-Scale Discovery of Scientific Hypotheses project aims to collect and make visible, comparable, and computable contrarian (with respect to a standard paradigm) hypotheses produced by the communities focusing on three classes of disease phenotypes (cancer, neuropsychiatric and infectious disorders) [ 10 ]. In this project hypotheses and supporting evidences are collected and structured in the form of statements, and then formalised as a propositional graph.

It is now likely that the majority of hypotheses in biology are computer generated. Computers are increasingly automating the process of hypothesis formation, for example: machine learning programs (based on induction) are used in chemistry to help design drugs; and in biology, genome annotation is essentially a vast process of (abductive) hypothesis formation. Such computer-generated hypotheses have been necessarily expressed in a computationally amenable way, but it is still not common practice to deposit them into a public database and make them available for processing by other applications.

In this paper, we extend the representation of hypotheses as textual entities to the representation of hypotheses, which are automatically generated by a machine, as logical entities following the HyBrow approach. This approach is also consistent with the representation of hypotheses by the Large-Scale Discovery of Scientific Hypotheses project. The proposed representation of research hypotheses is based on LABORS (the LABoratory Ontology for Robot Scientists) [11, Suppl.], and the representation of structural research units is based on LABORS and DDI (an ontology for the Description of Drug Discovery investigations) [ 12 ]). Instances of the hypotheses defined in LABORS, and instances of the recorded research units, are stored in a publicly available database [ 11 , 13 ]. All the hypotheses discussed below have been automatically generated by the Robot Scientist “Adam” (A Discovery Machine) [ 14 ]. An explicit semantically defined representation of hypotheses enables improvements in the representation of investigations designed to test those hypotheses, and in the consistency and validity checking of the conclusions about those hypotheses within the investigations.

The main contribution of this paper is a formal representation of research hypotheses in a logically defined form which enables scientists (robots or humans) to capture the precise semantic meaning of the hypothesis statements, and also promotes the design of experiment to test these hypotheses. The proposed formalism supports the decomposition of a generic hypothesis into specific hypotheses, and the representation of hypotheses as members of an exhaustive set of hypotheses covering a specific domain. The paper also proposes a framework for automated hypotheses generation, and the key components of the proposed framework are implemented for Adam. The authors discuss some of the limitations of the “conventional realism” in biomedicine for the formalisation of research hypotheses. An extension of the proposed approach, the probabilistic representation of research hypotheses, is also discussed. Our experiences in formally recording research hypotheses, and analysing automatically generated hypotheses are summarised as “lessons learned”. The examples in this paper are from the investigations run by Adam, the investigation into re-discovery of gene functions in aromatic amino acids pathway, and the investigation into novel biological knowledge, which are reported in [ 14 ] and [ 11 ]; all the information about the investigations, including procedures and data, is available at the Robot Scientist project web site [ 13 ].

We have developed the Robot Scientist “Adam” with the intended application domain of Systems Biology and Functional Genomics. The idea of a Robot Scientist is to combine laboratory automation, automated hypothesis formation, and other techniques from Artificial Intelligence to “close the loop” and automate the whole scientific process (see Figure ​ Figure1) 1 ) [ 11 ]. Adam has a -20°C freezer, 3 incubators, 2 readers, 3 liquid handlers, 3 robotic arms, 2 robot tracks, a centrifuge, a washer, an environmental control system, etc. It is capable of initiating ~1,000 new experiments and >200,000 observations per day in a continuous cycle. The representations proposed in this paper have been tested on Adam.

A concept of a Robot Scientist. A Robot Scientist is a physically implemented system which is capable of running cycles of scientific experimentation in a fully automatic manner: hypothesis formation, experiment selection, experiment execution, and results interpretation. The Robot Scientist system uses initial background knowledge and outputs new or updated knowledge.

The proposed representation of research and negative hypotheses and its logical and textual representations are defined and tested within LABORS [ 11 , 15 ]. LABORS is designed to support investigations run by Adam for the area of Systems Biology and Functional Genomics. Thousands of experiments and corresponding hypotheses have been successfully recorded and re-used for further experimentation on the basis of LABORS. LABORS uses EXPO as an upper level ontology [ 5 ], and RO as a set of relations [ 16 ]. LABORS is expressed in W3C Ontology Web Language OWL-DL.

The modelling of structural research units is based on both LABORS and DDI. DDI was designed to support investigations run by the Robot Scientist “Eve” for the area of drug discovery [ 12 ], and developed as an application of OBI. As a consequence, DDI uses BFO (Basic Formal Ontology) as an upper level ontology. Several compromise solutions were made within DDI in order to fit into the BFO framework. For example, the class ddi:hypothesis is defined as the subclass of the class iao:information content entity. DDI has been recently submitted to OBO, and negotiations about possible compromises to adjust for different representations are in progress.

Both LABORS and the corresponding database representations have been translated into Datalog in order to enable reasoning with the use of SWI-Prolog engine. The is-a and instance-of hierarchy has been translated into datalog with the use of one-ary predicates:

classA(subclassB).

classA(instance-ofC).

Other triplets have been translated into datalog with the use of bi-ary predicates:

Relation(classA,classB).

where a relation is a defined in LABORS or an additional predicate.

Automatic generation of hypotheses

The Robot Scientist project is driven by the technological necessity to increase hypotheses production throughput (see Figure ​ Figure1). 1 ). Biological data are now produced at an industrial scale, while data analysis, and especially hypotheses formation, often remains manual. There is still strong belief that only human intelligence is capable of production of research hypotheses. The Robot Scientist project has proved that a machine can not only automatically generate scientifically valuable hypotheses, but also test them and make conclusions about their validity [ 14 ].

The nature of scientific discovery necessitates a succession of scientific theories: older dominant theories (paradigms) are contradicted by new experimental evidence, new paradigms are introduced, etc. [ 18 ]. The majority of discoveries in biomedicine are factual, e.g. gene G has function A, drug D can cure disease E, etc. The discovery of such scientific knowledge is based on abductive and deductive inferences, and modern technology is now able to automate the inference of possible new facts and their experimental confirmation [ 14 ]. The techniques for inductive inference are also in place, e.g. Inductive Logic Programming, but the results are still rather modest [ 17 ].

We argue that the automated formation of hypotheses requires the following key components:

1. Machine–computable representation of the domain knowledge.

2. Abductive or inductive inference of novel hypotheses.

3. An algorithm for the selection of hypotheses.

4. Deduction of the experimental consequences of hypotheses.

Adam has been designed to fully automate yeast growth experiments, and we show below how the key components of its hypothesis generation are implemented. The automated formation of hypotheses by Adam includes the following components:

1. Yeast metabolic model which encodes the background knowledge about yeast functional genomics domain. Our group has developed a logical formalism for modeling metabolic pathways (encoded in Prolog) [ 2 ]. This is essentially a directed graph with metabolites as nodes and enzymes as arcs. If a path can be found from cell inputs (metabolites in the growth medium) to all the cell outputs (essential compounds), then the cell can grow.

2. Abductive Logic Programming for the inference of missing arcs/labels in the yeast metabolic graph. Adam abductively hypothesizes new facts about yeast functional biology by inferring what is missing from a model. In our original work on robot scientists, we used a purely logical approach to hypothesis formation based on applying abductive logic programming to a logical model of a yeast metabolism subset [ 14 ]. Unfortunately, this general method is too inefficient to deal with large bioinformatic models. We therefore developed an alternative approach based on using standard bioinformatic methods – these are essentially based on abductive hypothesis formations [ 11 ]. Adam uses an automated strategy based on 1) finding the enzyme class (EC number) of the missing reaction, 2) finding genes that code for this EC class in other organisms, 3) finding homologous genes in yeast.

3. The procedure for selection of hypotheses which aims to satisfy the following combination of the selection criteria:

• it should encapsulate the maximum of information about a domain of interest;

• it should possess the maximum prior probability of being correct;

• it would require the minimum cost to test.

Adam investigates a finite hypothesis space, and uses a Bayesian approach that puts prior probabilities on the hypotheses. These priors have the potential to incorporate the complexity of the hypotheses [ 14 ].

4. The deduction of experimental outputs . Adam follows a hypothetico-deductive methodology. Adam abductively hypothesizes new facts about yeast functional biology, then it deduces the experimental consequences of these facts using its model of metabolism, which it then experimentally tests. To select experiments Adam takes into account the variable cost of experiments, and the different probabilities of hypotheses [ 14 ]. Adam chooses its experiments to minimise the expected cost of eliminating all but one hypothesis. This is in general a NP complete problem and Adam uses heuristics to find a solution. LABORS defines the class labors:expected output to model Adam's predictions for experiment results.

Representation of automatically generated hypotheses

The class labors:hypothesis is defined as the subclass of the class labors:proposition which is equivalent to the class iao:information content entity. Whilst, LABORS has been designed to support automated investigations run by robots and therefore it does not have textual definitions, a sister DDI ontology for the Robot Scientist “Eve” provides a textual definition for the class hypothesis: “information content entity that is an assertion which is intended to be tested” [ 12 ]. The classes labors:research hypothesis and labors:negative hypothesis are defined as the subclasses of the class labors:hypothesis. The class labors:hypothesis is linked via the relation has-representation to the class labors:representation which has the subclasses labors:textual representation and labors:logical representation.

Specification of hypotheses into different levels of granularity

The automated investigations of robot scientist are generally complex, involving multiple study domains, and different levels of granularity. For example, the investigation into automation of science, in which Adam discovered novel knowledge about yeast genes, involves four different domains, and has 10 levels (see Figure ​ Figure2) 2 ) [ 11 ]. The levels are defined by a number of features including the corresponding hypotheses. On the top level is the hypothesis that it is possible to fully automate scientific discovery. This hypothesis is further decomposed into more specialised hypotheses, e.g. is it possible to automatically re-discover biological knowledge, that manual experiments would confirm the results obtained automatically by the robot, etc. At the lowest level of the investigation are hypotheses about quantitative yeast growth rates which are linked to the experimental data – optical density (OD) readings. The classes labors:pregrowth optical data reading and labors:growth optical data are modelled as subclasses of the class labors:optical data reading which is a subclass of the class labors:experiment observation . Complicated logical inferences are required in order to make the conclusion that scientific discovery can be fully automated from the basis of a large number of ODs (the inference procedures are available at the Robot Scientist project website [ 13 ]). The representation of hypotheses plays an essential role in the logical representation of such complex investigations . A machine can operate with hypotheses if and only if they are represented in a machine operable form.

Levels of investigations run by Adam. An example of the levels of the representation of the investigation executed by the Robot Scientist “Adam” (a fragment). The relations are has part .

LABORS enables the recording and storage in a relational database of the instances of the classes labors:logical representation which are linked to the instances of the classes labors:research hypothesis (H 0 ) and labors:negative hypothesis (H 1 ) [ 11 ]. The robot operates in a “closed world”, where a finite number of reactions, metabolites, and yeast strains are present. Therefore, the logical negation of hypotheses is possible. However, ontological representations utilise the “open world assumption” (OWA), where nothing outside of the ontologically defined collection of facts is known to be true or false. Relational databases operate under the “closed world assumption” (CWA), where everything outside the stated facts is false. In order to enable reasoning about the Adam's world over orthogonal data and knowledge representations, namely ontology, database, and models in Prolog, we chose to explicitly define negative hypotheses instead of inferring them.

Let us consider the decomposition of hypotheses into more specialized ones in more detail (see Figure ​ Figure3). 3 ). Adam with the use of its background knowledge and bioinformatic facts, generates hypotheses about yeast genes and enzymes, i.e. gene YER152C encodes an enzyme with the enzyme class E.C.2.6.1.39 (the inference procedures are available at the Robot Scientist project website [ 13 , 20 ]) . The research hypotheses are encoded in the logical programming language Prolog, e.g.

Examples of hypotheses generated by Adam . Each of the research and negative hypotheses from the hypotheses set of the study level is derived into more specialised hypotheses which are members of the hypotheses set of the cycle of study level. The hypotheses have logical and corresponding textual representations.

encodes(yer152c,ec.2.6.1.39).

The enzyme class E. C. 2.6.1.39 is that of 2-aminoadipate transaminases. Adam also explicitly records the corresponding negative (null) hypotheses being tested:

not_encodes(yer152c,ec.2.6.1.39).

The research and negative hypotheses encoded in Prolog are stored in a relational database as instances of the class labors:logical representation . A logical representation of hypotheses is used to communicate with modules of Adam's software. For the convenience of humans, research hypotheses can be also translated into natural language text, i.e.:

gene YER152C encodes an enzyme with enzyme class E.C.2.6.1.39.

This is defined in LABORS as an instance of the class labors:textual representation .

Adam used abduction to form hypotheses. A real physical experiment is generally required to confirm (or to increase the probability) that a hypothesis is correct. However, such entities as the gene YER152C and an enzyme with the enzyme class E.C.2.6.1.39 exist only in Adam's memory, and not in Adam's physical world. In the real physical world Adam can operate only with yeast strains and metabolites. The hypothesis that gene YER152C encodes an enzyme with the enzyme class E.C.2.6.1.39 therefore has to be specialized to such a level that the robot can physically test the hypothesis. Using its background knowledge, Adam infers that if the research hypothesis is correct, then the addition of the following metabolites with the KEGG numbers {"type":"entrez-nucleotide","attrs":{"text":"C00047","term_id":"1432277","term_text":"C00047"}} C00047 , {"type":"entrez-nucleotide","attrs":{"text":"C00449","term_id":"55826153","term_text":"C00449"}} C00449 , and {"type":"entrez-nucleotide","attrs":{"text":"C00956","term_id":"1433186"}} C00956 , correspondingly, to growth medium for a yeast strain with a removed gene YER152C would restore the yeast growth rate (see Figure ​ Figure3 3 and [ 13 ] for the inference procedures):

affects_growth(c00047,delta YER152C).

affects_growth(c00449,delta YER152C).

affects_growth(c00956,delta YER152C).

An example of the text representation of these new hypotheses is:

addition of the metabolite lysine ( {"type":"entrez-nucleotide","attrs":{"text":"C00449","term_id":"55826153","term_text":"C00449"}} C00449 ) to a standard growth medium will differentially affect the growth of the yeast strain delta_YER152C compared to the wild type (Mat A, BBY4741).

If the metabolites are available, then using the yeast strain YER152C from its yeast strains library, Adam can physically test the hypotheses above. Adam designs microtitre plate layouts with controls and replicates in order to collect enough statistics to accurately analyse the results and runs the experiments. The class labors:plate layout is defined as the subclass of the class labors:design . In a series of experiments Adam tries to decide whether the difference in growth rate of two strains is significantly different and whether this difference can be attributed to differences in experimental conditions. In each case Adam compares four experimental setups: (1) a yeast strain with specific gene deleted and growing on a defined medium, (2) the same strain growing on the defined medium with a metabolite added, (3) wild type (WT) strain growing on the defined medium, and (4) WT strain growing on the defined medium and the metabolite. These experimental setups are combined within labors:trial . To make this decision, Adam uses decision trees and random forests combined with re-sampling methods. The deletion strains are mutant versions with genes removed that hypothesized to encode an orphan enzyme. Adam uses standard 96-well plates to grow the yeast, which enabled 24 repeats of each strain and medium combination. To control for intra-plate environmental effects, Adam uses labors:latin squares strategy of experiment design which is defined as the subclass of the class labors:normalization strategy .

The results of the study are represented with the use of the same terms that were employed to encode the hypotheses (see Figure ​ Figure4 4 ):

Examples of results and conclusions produced by Adam . Each of the research and negative hypotheses from the hypotheses set of the hypotheses set of the cycle of study level has been tested, observations analysed, decision procedures invoked and conclusions have been made. The results are expressed with the use of the same terms as the corresponding hypotheses. The results have logical and corresponding textual representations. Conclusions are made on the basis of the results with the use of decision procedures.

not_affects_growth(c00449,delta YER152C).

The corresponding textual representation of the result is:

addition of the metabolite lysine ( {"type":"entrez-nucleotide","attrs":{"text":"C00449","term_id":"55826153","term_text":"C00449"}} C00449 ) to a standard growth medium differentially does not affect the growth of the yeast strain delta_YER152C compared to the wild type (Mat A, BBY4741).

The corresponding labors:conclusion or interpretations of the experiment results are expressed in the following form:

hypothesis X has been confirmed.

hypothesis X has been denied.

The conclusions are made following the corresponding decision procedures on the basis of the results (see the procedures at [ 13 ]). A more generic conclusion is made on the basis of more specific conclusions that correspond to more specific hypotheses. For example, a conclusion that a generic hypothesis is confirmed may be made if two out of three more specific hypotheses have been confirmed.

LABORS supports explicit and unambiguous recording of not only observations (i.e. ODs) (which is commonly done), but also the experimental results (i.e. predicate(metabolite,yeast_strain)), the corresponding conclusions (i.e. hypothesis X has been confirmed), and decision procedures employed for making those conclusions. The classes labors:experiment observation , labors:result , labors:conclusion are subclasses of the class labors:research outcome .

If hypotheses and conclusions of an investigation are recorded in this way, then it is possible to check how exactly each conclusion has been made: on what basis, and following what assumptions. If everything is explicitly recorded, then it is objectively possible to check which procedures were used, if the conclusions are valid, if they correspond to the stated hypotheses or those hypotheses have been replaced by related but different ones, etc. We argue that in the future all scientific investigations will be (or, at least, should be) recorded and reported in a similar way to enable complete consistency and validity checking of the results - these checks could potentially be done automatically.

Sets of hypotheses for cyclic investigations

Robots can potentially generate thousands of hypotheses and test them in parallel. However, even for robots it is generally not practical to exhaustively test all possible hypotheses as hypothesis spaces can be very large. Adam selects hypotheses and designs experiments to test them following the combination of the selection criteria described in the previous sections. Such selected hypotheses are not completely independent, and LABORS models them as the class labors:hypotheses set (the subclass of the class labors:collection ) where each particular hypothesis is a member of the set. A set of hypotheses is tested in cycles. Each cycle of investigation has a specified input labors:hypotheses set . Adam designs and runs experiments to test each hypothesis from the set. Adam then analyses the results of the experiments, and makes conclusions about whether a particular hypothesis has been confirmed or rejected. The rejected hypotheses are eliminated from the input labors:hypotheses set and the remaining set of hypotheses are considered as a specified output of the current labors:cycle of study . Adam updates its current model of metabolism and generates a new set of hypotheses, where the rejected on previous cycles hypotheses are excluded. This labors:hypotheses set is considered as a specified input for the next labors:cycle of study . Adam continues to run cycles of studies until the labors:hypotheses set contains only one hypothesis or the robot runs out of resources [ 14 ]. In the event that all hypotheses are eliminated a backtracking procedure is invoked [ 11 ]. If all hypotheses are eliminated, then the correct hypothesis, which is known a priori to be in the set, has been rejected. This can occur because Adam's observations are noisy. In such a case a backtracking procedure does more experiments to try to decide which hypothesis has been wrongly eliminated.

The analysis of the research hypotheses which were produced within Adam's investigations enabled us to improve the logical representation of the structural units of general scientific investigations by introducing new research units: trial , study , cycle of study , and replicate (see the next section and [ 12 ] for more detail) .

Restrictions in the ontological representation of scientific discourse elements

Obi limitations.

Currently prevalent ontological representations are not sufficient for the recording of hypotheses sets and complex (particularly cyclic) investigations. The most advanced project with the aim to support formal description of scientific investigations is OBI [ 3 , 21 ]. OBI aims to support the detailed description of investigations from the whole area of biomedicine. OBI descriptors include all phases of the investigation process, such as planning, execution and reporting, information and material entities that participate in these processes, as well as roles and functions. OBI intends to serve as the standard for the recording of biomedical investigations.

OBI represents a state-of-the-art for a cross-disciplinary formalisation of biomedical investigations, but it has its limitations. OBI defines investigations and study design executions in such a way that they cannot have inputs. For example, hypotheses formed in obi:hypothesis generating investigation (an investigation in which data is generated and analysed with the purpose of generating new hypothesis) cannot be passed to obi:hypothesis driven investigation (an investigation with the goal to test one or more hypothesis) (see also the classes expo:hypothesis forming investigation and expo:hypothesis generating investigation which have been introduced before OBI [ 5 ]).

To overcome these difficulties both LABORS and DDI in addition to the class obi:investigation define a number of structural research units: study, cycle of study, trial, and replicate , mainly according to the hypotheses tested within the research unit. For example, replicates test identical hypotheses, and have identical study designs; and cycles of study test hypotheses sets in cycles (for more detail and definitions of the research units see [ 12 ]).

OBI aims to represent the most typical investigations in biomedicine. Biomedical investigations are often complicated, but they are rarely as complex as the automated investigations run by robot scientists. Therefore, we do not propose that the OBI Consortium has to define or import more structural research units in order to support the representation of automated investigations - although in the near future it may become a necessity. We instead suggest that the definition for the key class obi:investigation should be changed in such a way so biomedical investigations can have research hypotheses as specified inputs.

BFO limitations

The ontological representations of biomedical research have more serious limitations than those discussed in the previous section. The concern is how suitable they are for the representation of theories, models, and research hypotheses – essential components of science [ 22 ]. Contemporary biology is complex, multidisciplinary and information-rich science. It necessarily produces diverse and often competing theories and conclusions, alternative hypotheses, data conceptualizations and interpretations. Ontologies as formal representations of knowledge should enable common understanding of key elements of biological knowledge and support knowledge sharing and exchange.

Open Biomedical Ontologies (OBO) are designed to support annotation of biological data and results, multidisciplinary cross-domain queries, management and exchange of biomedical knowledge [ 23 ]. Members of the OBO Foundry are committed to using the same designing principles in order to ensure their interoperability and orthogonality. OBO Foundry recommends using BFO as an upper ontology to ensure that OBO-ontologies are compatibly organised [ 24 ]. The advantage of such an approach is that ontologies can be developed and curated in parallel without duplication of efforts, and that OBO-ontologies can be combined if applications require it.

However, due to their adherence to BFO, the OBO-ontologies are limited to only classes with instances in the real world. BFO does not allow the inclusion of universals (entities which can be instantiated in many things) that have no instances in the reality into BFO-based ontologies, and considers them to be outside of the realistic approach [ 16 , 19 , 22 ]. Thus, from the BFO point of view, unconfirmed theories, models, hypotheses do not exist. Yet, biologists need to communicate such key components of their research, and OBO-ontologies in the present state are straggling to support this requirement. The definition of hypotheses as textual entities (like in OBI, IAO) is a clever compromise between the biologists' needs for unconfirmed entities and BFO. Instances of textual entities do exist in reality, e.g. in printed texts. However, this is only a partial solution, and one which arguably masks the central problem; and it is ill suited for applications outside of text mining. For example, the hypothesis

at the time when Adam produced it has no instances in the reality. It exists only in the robot's memory as a number of charged transistors, and has no any associated textual entities. Only when the decision to select this hypothesis for the inclusion into a hypotheses set is made, and it is recorded in the database as a logical entity and also can be communicated to other programs and possibly to humans, does it exist as a textual entity. More importantly, it is unknown if the hypothesis statement is true or not. In fact, further experiments have confirmed that the statement is true with a certain degree of confidence. However, at a time of its confirmation the statement is no longer considered as a hypothesis, but as a result or a confirmed fact.

In general, in science there is no absolute confirmation: each hypothesis or theory with significant generality of claims is supported by evidences with a certain degree of confidence, and never reaching absolute certainty (while approaching it in some instances).

Another problem is how to include into a scientific ontology alternative and even contrary hypotheses and keep the ontology logically consistent. Researchers need a way to formalise various, sometimes contradictory, scientific discourse elements, e.g. different views, opinions, believes, and be able to reason over them. To support such needs, OBO Foundry might consider adopting a wider view on what exists.

Towards a hypothesis ontology: probabilistic reasoning

In their eloquent book, Howson and Urbach [ 25 ] argue that Bayesian inference provides the only logically consistent way of reasoning about scientific hypotheses. Competing hypotheses should be compared with each other in terms of their posterior probability on given evidence (data). When a hypothesis is formulated with the aid of probability calculus as a generative model (that is, it describes how evidence is generated stochastically according to the hypothesis), we can explicitly compute the probability of evidence. This probability is commonly computed when research requires estimating model parameters given particular scientific hypothesis. However, scientists implicitly use different prior probabilities for competing hypotheses. Any competitive scientific hypothesis must provide a positive probability of generating the already existing evidence (or it should be rejected). When the amount of evidence is moderate, prior probability of hypothesis can affect results in a profound way. Therefore, we suggest that ontological descriptions of hypotheses should explicitly address probabilistic relations between hypotheses and evidence, and the multiplicity of prior distributions over hypotheses.

Specifically, we should be able to represent prior probabilities associated with competing hypotheses. Obviously, for alternative or disjoint hypotheses (competing to explain the same evidence), these probabilities should not exceed 1 when summed. We would need to represent multiple sets of prior probabilities (associated with different experts) for the same set of hypotheses. We should be able to specify support of a given hypothesis with regard to specific evidence as a posterior probability of a research hypothesis given the dataset. The hypothesis ontology should also allow the description of relations among hypotheses (e.g., are two hypotheses compatible or mutually exclusive?).

Clearly, different scientists within the same community can weight the same set of hypotheses in very different ways. Humans are notoriously bad at estimating the uncertainty of probabilities. Therefore, we suggest that ontological descriptions of hypotheses should explicitly record how prior probabilities have been obtained and what their uncertainties are.

Finally, we should be able to represent expert–hypothesis–evidence relations (expert-hypothesis-dataset–specific posterior probabilities). We believe that ontological modelling of this type is essential for large-scale automation of scientific reasoning.

Here we summarise what lessons were learned from the representation of the automatically generated hypotheses by robots and how this might be useful for the improvement of the formulating and recording of research hypotheses produced by humans.

Explicitness. Research hypotheses should be expressed and recorded explicitly, unambiguously, and completely, so the semantic meaning of the hypothesis statement can be captured without additional information. (It is still common in the reporting of science for research hypotheses stated in the introduction to be implicitly replaced by other hypotheses in the conclusions [ 5 ]). It is also important to explicitly record hypotheses formed during investigations so that other researchers can easily find them (e.g. using text mining) and test them. This would speed up scientific progress.

Operational approach. Researchers should aim to formulate hypotheses in operational ways, so it is clear from hypotheses statements how to design experiments to test them. Hypothesis statements should contain only well defined entities and relations between them.

Systematic approach. The automated approach for hypotheses generation has an advantage of being systematic. All possible hypotheses for a study domain are considered, and the best are selected for testing. The concept of “the best hypothesis” is explicitly defined, i.e. as the most probable, cheapest, most informative one. Such a systematic approach should be adopted by humans for the assessment of research hypotheses.

Statistical significance and reliability . Researchers often report results that have been obtained without a sufficient number of experimental replicates, and therefore with unknown reliability. Adam executes 24 replicates of each study. This allows Adam to detect statistically significant differences in the yeast growth that are often missed by human-investigators [ 11 ]. This demonstrates the importance of the collecting the experimental data over a large enough number of repeated experiments to ensure statistical significance and reliable reproducibility of the results.

Learning from negative results. The hypotheses that have been rejected provide information about the domain of study. Therefore it is important to record and store the rejected hypotheses. Unfortunately, it is not a normal scientific practice to report negative results.

Authors' contributions

RDK has conceived and implemented the idea of automated hypotheses generation by robot scientists. LNS has suggested the hierarchical representation of hypotheses and hypotheses sets. LNS drafted the manuscript. AR has analysed the representation of alternative and contrarian hypotheses and theories, and drafted the discussion section. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Acknowledgements

We thank RC UK, BBSRC, SRIF 2,3 for funding the work reported in this paper. We thank all the members of the Computational Biology group at Aberystwyth University, UK for the dedicated work on the project. We thank members of the OBI Consortium for the fruitful discussions.

This article has been published as part of Journal of Biomedical Semantics Volume 2 Supplement 2, 2011: Proceedings of the Bio-Ontologies Special Interest Group Meeting 2010. The full contents of the supplement are available online at http://www.jbiomedsem.com/supplements/2/S2 .

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